Category Archives: buffalo bills

2026 NFL Week 4 – Betting Picks Against Spread

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Brock Purdy dottedI went 7-9 in the third week of the 2026 NFL season.

I think I’m 0-3 on Thursday Night Football games. I have historically done very well on those – not this year.

The Atlanta Falcons played pretty darn good with QB Michael Penix back. They face a much improved Saints team on Monday Night Football this week.

Caleb Williams had to sit out last week do to a hamstring injury that occurred in Week 2. Case Keenum turned back the clock and was impressive in last week’s win.

How will the Giants look without QB Jaxson Dart?

We pick almost every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season.

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2026 NFL Week 3 – Betting Picks Against Spread

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https://americaswhiteboy.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/jared-goff-lions-dotted.jpgI went 8-8 in the second week of the 2026 NFL season.

I start out rough, ended rough, but was near-perfect in the middle.

It’s always bad when one of the worst teams in the league (Atlanta) is featured in one of the Primetime games. I guess we are lucky they aren’t playing against the lowly Dolphins.

Can the Saints keep up their improved play this week? Will Bears QB Caleb Williams (hamstring) be fully-healed by Monday night?

We pick almost every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season.

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2026 NFL Week 2 – Betting Picks Against Spread

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2026 NFL Week 2 - Betting Picks Against SpreadI went 7-9 in the first week of the 2026 NFL season.

I feel like there weren’t many surprises in Week 1.

The question mark about the health of the left knee of Patrick Mahomes…it was more than fine.

Was it a huge mistake for the Rams to travel to Australia the day of the game? Yes, of course, a big, big mistake.

Are the New York Jets still garbage? Yes, but the Titans are even more of a dumpster fire.

Can the Bills open their new stadium with a win and cover on Thursday Night Football?

We pick almost every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 2 of the 2026 NFL season.

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2026 NFL Week 1 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I’m excited for the start of football season. I think this will be a fun year.

Are you prepared for the season? It feels awfully sudden, but it always feels that way for me.

This will be a make-it-or-break-it year for many current quarterbacks. The next draft is absolutely stacked with quality quarterback prospects. Which quarterbacks will have a Daniel Jones-like season to resurrect their careers?

Can the Bears make a huge leap and be a great betting team?

We pick almost every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season.

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2025 NFL Week 17 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 9-5-1 in Week 15 of the NFL football season.

We have three games on Christmas Day this year. The NFL is putting the screws to the NBA, who once dominated the holiday.

I am fighting my way back to avoid my first losing season in all the years I’ve been posting my picks against the spread. Last week’s games helps close the deficit to just three games. That can easily be made up with two more of the regular season and the playoffs left.

We have a pair of new third-string quarterbacks taking the ball this week. The Commanders and Chiefs will both have new faces under center.

Can the Bears clinch the NFC North?

We pick almost every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 16 of the 2025 NFL season.

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2025 NFL Week 16 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 6-9 in Week 15 of the NFL football season.

I was extraordinarily late posting my picks, so I wasn’t able to pick the Thursday night game, so I only had 15 picks last week.

I need some big weeks to climb back and avoid my first-ever below .500 season since I started doing this many years ago.

We have some changes at quarterback this week, so there are a few tough games to handicap on the schedule.

We pick almost every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 15 of the 2025 NFL season.

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2025 NFL Week 15 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 6-8 in Week 14 of the NFL football season.

I was extraordinarily late posting my picks, so I was unable to post my Thursday Night Football pick in time for the game.

We have some strange teams battling for their playoff lives right now. The Chiefs, Ravens and Bills could see their playoff hopes take a huge dive with losses this week. Those teams are usually on cruise control for their division crown, or at least have a lead to do so.

We pick every almost every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season.

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2025 NFL Week 12 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-6-2 against the spread during the tenth week of the 2025 NFL season.

The betting lines were extremely close to the actual outcomes last week. We will start to see this more as sportsbooks and bettors are dialing in on teams.

We saw some injuries at quarterback the last few weeks, The Falcons lost QB Michael Penix for the year, and Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers broke his wrist. On the flipside, the Giants will get rookie QB Jaxson Dart back from concussion.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 12 of the 2025 NFL season.

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2025 NFL Week 10 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-7 against the spread during the ninth week of the 2025 NFL season.

We have another week of with 14 games on the schedule.

I’ve been hovering around .500 for nearly the entire season. I needed to make some changes to my rankings after the midway point in the season. I moved some teams, but I didn’t do anything drastic.

The trade deadline was interesting this year. There were some big names that movies, but mostly on the defensive side. The Jets were the biggest seller at the deadline, but their season was already in the tubes.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 10 of the 2025 NFL season.

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2025 NFL Week 8 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-7 against the spread during the seventh week of the 2025 NFL season.

We have a light schedule this week with six teams on a bye week.

There are quite a few games dealing with notable injuries at quarterback that could affect betting lines the closer we get to Sunday.

The major injury status to keep an eye on is Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, who just returned to practice, but as of Thursday morning, his status is up in the air for their game against the Bears.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 8 of the 2025 NFL season.

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2025 NFL Week 6 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 6-8 against the spread during the fifth week of the 2025 NFL season.

I started out very rough with the early games, but was able to run the table on the afternoon games.

Last week, we saw a lot of outright upsets against perennial powerhouses. The Eagles, Bills and Chiefs all went down, which probably hasn’t happened in the same week in a long time.

Will the Lions cover on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 6 of the 2025 NFL season.

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2025 NFL Week 4 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-7-1 against the spread during the third week of the 2025 NFL season.

There were some lopsided wins last week, and I was on the losing end on almost all of those games. I did work my way back for some underdog picks.

After the fourth week is when I tend to pivot on some teams. I have already done that with a couple teams just based off injuries. I think teams like the Rams and Colts are destined to be moved up by rankings. This week’s game will prove a lot about both of those teams. The Buccaneers have a shot to make a big jump as well.

Who will win last year’s playoff rematch between the Baltimore Ravens and the Kansas City Chiefs?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 4 of the 2025 NFL season.

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