I went 7-9 in the third week of the 2026 NFL season.
I think I’m 0-3 on Thursday Night Football games. I have historically done very well on those – not this year.
The Atlanta Falcons played pretty darn good with QB Michael Penix back. They face a much improved Saints team on Monday Night Football this week.
Caleb Williams had to sit out last week do to a hamstring injury that occurred in Week 2. Case Keenum turned back the clock and was impressive in last week’s win.
How will the Giants look without QB Jaxson Dart?
We pick almost every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (+2.5) – My pick is Cleveland Browns +2.5
Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders (+3.5) – My pick is Indianapolis Colts -3.5
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) – My pick is Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) – My pick is Tampa Buccaneers +3.5
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans (-3.5) – My pick is Dallas Cowboys +3.5
Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants (+2.5) – My pick is New York Giants +2.5
New York Jets at Chicago Bears (-3.5) – My pick is Chicago Bears -3.5
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens (-11.5) – My pick is Baltimore Ravens -11.5
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5) – My pick is Cincinnati Bengals -2.5
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (-6.5) – My pick is Buffalo Bills -6.5
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings (-10.5) – My pick is Minnesota Vikings -10.5
Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers (-2.5) – My pick is San Francisco 49ers -2.5
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks (-7.5) – My pick is Los Angeles Chargers +7.5
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders (+4.5) – My pick is Kansas City Chiefs -4.5
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers (+3.5) – My pick is Detroit Lions -3.5
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (+4.5) – My pick is New Orleans Saints -2.5
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Sweetbob’s NFL picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
2013: 133-95-10
2014: 131-114-9
2015: 150-108-9
2016: 143-120-13
2017: 144-115-16
2018: 141-118-13
2019: 159-119-7
2020: 152-121-8
2021: 155-129-6
2022: 148-133-8
2023: 132-116-6
2024: 158-120-8
2025: 117-117-5
2026: 22-26-0
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About the Author…
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on X at @Sweetbob