Category Archives: sports gambling

2018 NFL Week 1 – Betting Picks Against Spread

Were you one of those guys who bet on NFL preseason games?

I get it. You were excited to wager on football again and just jumped the gun a little. It’s now time to bet on some games that count!

We had a pretty good year betting on NFL games last year. We went 144-115-16 and hit on a few underdog moneylines to come out in the black for the season.

There are a ton of new quarterbacks making their first starts for their new teams this weekend. Veteran quarterbacks like Kirk Cousins, Alex Smith and Sam Bradford hope to lead their new teams to successful seasons. Also, quarterbacks Andrew Luck, Deshaun Watson and Ryan Tannehill return from injuries. Which quarterback will make the biggest impact in Week 1?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 1 of the 2018 NFL season.

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Betting Picks: 2018 NFL Over/Under Season Wins

We are just a few days away from the start of the 2018 NFL regular season. This is the very last minute to start thinking about possible bets for over/under regular season team wins. I wanted to wait until all the ‘this guy will miss the season due to an injury that occurred in a game that doesn’t count’ announcements. Also, it was helpful to know that Buffalo is already punting the season by naming Nathan Peterman as the starting quarterback.

We didn’t just look at the lines and guess at our over/under picks. We went through the entire schedule in the NFL and picked every game.

A lot can happen from now until the end of the season (injuries, coaching changes, etc). We will attempt to help you make a better decision on which teams to lay bets on.

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Betting Picks: 2018 College Football Over/Under Season Wins

The 2018-19 NCAA football regular season kicks off this week and there are a lot of sleeper buzz around many teams this year. 

There an abnormally large numbers of major programs change head coaches this offseason. Jimbo Fisher is now at Texas A&M, Chip Kelly is at UCLA, Willie Taggart is at Florida State, etc…will any of these experienced coaches make huge Year 1 improvements?

I’ve been working on these picks for quite awhile. I underestimated the amount of time these picks would take. I penciled in two days to really tackle these, but it ended up taking six days. I’m a bit of a perfectionist when it comes to picking over/under totals…and a stomach bug didn’t help.

There are a lot of even win totals, so if I pick ‘PUSH’, it’s mostly just advising you to avoid betting on this team, since the win total will most likely be the real win total. I don’t want you to basically loan your betting site x-amount of dollars just to get back the same amount in early-December.

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 1 Betting Picks Against Spread

I rarely do Week 1 college football gambling picks, but I feel like I’ve done so much research, it’s time I do it this year.

The reason I rarely do Week 1 college football picks is because I like a little more information. I can see how teams do and a lot of college coaches like to wait until the last minute to officially name a starting QB (I’m looking at you UCLA & Alabama). Teams can vary so much in college that there’s a lot of risk in Week 1…but on the other hand, if you’re prepared, there’s also a lot of value in betting heavy in the first two weeks of the season.

There are some big games this week as Notre Dame, Florida State, Auburn, Washington and Michigan all face tough opponents to start the season.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 1 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (September 1st, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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Early Heisman Trophy Betting Favorites

It’s only June, but it’s never too early to start thinking about your college football betting strategy.

The betting odds for the 2018-19 Heisman Trophy were released today. This list is full of many new names, but one of this year’s favorites isn’t new to preseason Heisman buzz. Last year’s Heisman runner-up Stanford RB Bryce Love is near the top of this year’s early Heisman favorites.

Is is a lock for Love will win the Heisman this season? Early Heisman favorites haven’t been so lucky in recent years. Oregon QB Marcus Mariota is the only early top favorite in the last decade that went on to win the Heisman. Last year’s winner Oklahoma Baker Mayfield had the second-best odds of winning it going into last season, behind USC QB Sam Darnold.

Who are this year’s early Heisman favorites? Do any standout as a nice value bet?

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MLB – Think About the Playoffs

All 30 MLB teams enter the 2018 season with a fighting spirit of achieving end of season glory. Yet the ongoing arms race among the top teams dwindle the number of legitimate playoff contenders. Just a few number of fans will not like their team’s listed odds of triumphing in the Fall Classic in the MLB sports betting odds. When powerhouses like the Houston Astros, Los Angeles Dodgers and Cleveland Indians appear as immovable obstacles, even a solid club with feasible playoff dreams becomes an overwhelming underdog.

Supporters of top-tier squads will also desire and wish for a higher championship probability, but no one team could cart away with favorable odds since winner must survive a grueling and unpredictable postseason hurdles.

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Sportsbooks Dominate NBA ‘Season Wins’ Prop Bets

We love posting season win over/under picks for the NBA, MLB and NFL. Sportsbooks are often very close to the actual win totals, which makes it hard for a bettor to win. They do have bad years, but the 2017-18 NBA season was very good for sportsbooks.

Out of the the 30 NBA team’s season win totals this preseason, the sportsbooks were +/- a single win for nine of them. That’s an insanely good year prognosticating the NBA this season. I guess the betting public also had a say in it as well.

People think sportsbooks try to guess the exact total of wins in a season or score of a game. That’s actually not the case most of the time. They try to get bets on both outcomes as evenly as possible. This is why lines move as a bet becomes lopsided. A lot of novice bettors may not understand that either.

Here are where the sportsbooks picked the NBA teams over/under season win totals and how many wins each NBA team had this season.

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2018 NBA Second-Half Dark Horse Betting Picks

We went a perfect 3-0 with our betting picks for the NBA Saturday Night skills competition. We didn’t go with a favorite in any event and made out like a bandit. Our only regret is that we didn’t put them in a parlay.

The second-half of the NBA season is set to start later this week. There are still plenty of regular season and postseason NBA future bets that still have some value.

There are a few bets that are now only two-man races, like Ben Simmons and Donovan Mitchell are by far the favorites to win Rookie of the Year. It would take a miracle for a guy like Dennis Smith Jr. or Jayson Tatum to surpass those guys. There isn’t a single dark horse worth throwing some jellybeans towards.

Can a surprise team come out of the Western or Eastern Conferences and make it to the NBA Finals? 

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Super Bowl 52 – Betting Picks Against Spread & Prop Bets

I LOVE prop bets. I actually get more joy out of betting Super Bowl prop bets than betting against the spread. Yes, most are a crap shoot, but with the right research, you can end up winning bets with very favorable odds.

I’m not saying you can research who will win the coin toss, but there are many other player and team prop bets out there that have nice odds.

Some prop bets aren’t worth the money (the vig isn’t worth the slight risk), but sometimes you just have to lay a few bucks down, cross your fingers and wish for the best.

I picked out some of the most popular (and the most absurd) prop bets for Super Bowl 52 (or Super Bowl LII for Roman numeral fans)…and we also pick the game against the spread.

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2018 NFL Conference Championship Games – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 3-0-1 against the spread last week, but whiffed in my over/under picks. The last-second touchdown from Vikings WR Stefon Diggs helped me avoid a loss. I was really hoping they would kick the extra point, but they downed it instead, which lead to a push.

Weather ‘might’ be a factor since both Conference Championship games are being played outdoors. Keep a close eye on weather reports and make sure there isn’t a snowstorm or an arctic blast that pops up this weekend.

Should the Patriots really be a nine-point favorite against the Jaguars?

Can Case Keenum pull out another miracle and lead the Vikings to the Super Bowl?

We pick both NFL Conference Championship games against the spread.

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2018 NFL Divisional Round Playoff Games – Betting Picks Against Spread

I whiffed on my picks against the spread last week, but my over/under picks bailed me out (a little). I went 3-5 and I’m a bit punch drunk after all the underdog covers last week.

Weather ‘could’ become a factor in the Divisional Round NFL playoff games. Pittsburgh and New England forecasts could become important information as they are playing outdoors in those games.

Should the Eagles be an underdog at home?

Can the Jaguars keep things close in Pittsburgh in what could be snowy conditions?

We pick every NFL Divisional Round Playoff games against the spread.

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2018 NFL Wild Card Playoff Games – Betting Picks Against Spread

I finished the year 136-105-15 against the spread during the NFL regular season.

Since there aren’t many games in the playoffs, I also pick over/under point totals as well.

A few of these Wild Card teams were big underdogs to even make the postseason. The Bills needed a near-miracle and found themselves in the playoffs for the first time since 1999. Buffalo fans are donating money to Bengals QB Andy Dalton’s charity to thank him for his last-second touchdown pass to knock the Ravens out of playoff contention.

Is Buffalo just happy to be in the playoffs or are they a real threat to knockoff Jacksonville?

We pick every NFL Wild Card Weekend game against the spread.

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