The 2018-19 NCAA football regular season kicks off this week and there are a lot of sleeper buzz around many teams this year.
There an abnormally large numbers of major programs change head coaches this offseason. Jimbo Fisher is now at Texas A&M, Chip Kelly is at UCLA, Willie Taggart is at Florida State, etc…will any of these experienced coaches make huge Year 1 improvements?
I’ve been working on these picks for quite awhile. I underestimated the amount of time these picks would take. I penciled in two days to really tackle these, but it ended up taking six days. I’m a bit of a perfectionist when it comes to picking over/under totals…and a stomach bug didn’t help.
There are a lot of even win totals, so if I pick ‘PUSH’, it’s mostly just advising you to avoid betting on this team, since the win total will most likely be the real win total. I don’t want you to basically loan your betting site x-amount of dollars just to get back the same amount in early-December.
I also need to point out that these over/under win totals are only regular season wins. Conference championship games as well as bowl games do not count towards these totals.
I excluded a few teams due to sportsbooks pulling a few schools win totals from the board.
Air Force Falcons – 4.5 Wins – UNDER
Akron Zips – 4.5 Wins – UNDER
Alabama Crimson Tide – 11 Wins – PUSH
Appalachian State Mountaineers – 8.5 Wins – OVER
Arizona Wildcats – 7.5 Wins – OVER
Arizona State Sun Devils – 4.5 Wins – UNDER
Arkansas State Red Wolves – 8.5 Wins – OVER
Army Black Knights – 7.5 Wins – OVER
Auburn Tigers – 9 Wins – PUSH
BYU Cougars – 5.5 Wins – UNDER
Ball State Cardinals – 4 Wins – PUSH
Baylor Bears – 6 Wins – UNDER
Boise State Broncos – 10 Wins – PUSH
Boston College Eagles – 6.5 Wins – UNDER
Bowling Green Falcons – 4.5 Wins – OVER
Buffalo Bulls – 6.5 Wins – OVER
California Golden Bears – 5.5 Wins – UNDER
Central Michigan Chippewas – 4.5 Wins – OVER
Charlotte 49ers – 3.5 Wins – UNDER
Cincinnati Bearcats – 5 Wins – OVER
Clemson Tigers – 11 Wins – PUSH
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers – 4 Wins – OVER
Colorado Buffaloes – 5 Wins – UNDER
UConn Huskies – 3.5 Wins – UNDER
Duke Blue Devils – 6 Wins – OVER
East Carolina Pirates – 3.5 Wins – UNDER
Eastern Michigan Eagles – 5.5 Wins – OVER
Florida Gators – 8 Wins – UNDER
Florida Atlantic Owls – 8 Wins – OVER
Florida International Panthers – 5 Wins – OVER
Florida State Seminoles – 7.5 Wins – UNDER
Fresno State Bulldogs – 8 Wins – PUSH
Georgia Bulldogs – 10.5 Wins – UNDER
Georgia Southern Eagles – 5.5 Wins – UNDER
Georgia State Panthers – 4.5 Wins – OVER
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets – 6.5 Wins – OVER
Houston Cougars – 7.5 Wins – UNDER
Illinois Fighting Illini – 3.5 Wins – UNDER
Indiana Hoosiers – 5.5 Wins – UNDER
Iowa Hawkeyes – 7.5 Wins – OVER
Iowa State Cyclones – 6.5 Wins – UNDER
Kansas Jayhawks – 3 Wins – UNDER
Kansas State Wildcats – 6.5 Wins – UNDER
Kent State Golden Flashes – 2.5 Wins – OVER
Kentucky Wildcats – 5.5 Wins – OVER
LSU Tigers – 7.5. Wins – UNDER
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs – 7 Wins – PUSH
Louisville Cardinals – 7 Wins – OVER
Marshall Thundering Herd – 8 Wins – PUSH
Maryland Terrapins – 5 Wins – UNDER
Memphis Tigers – 8.5 Wins – OVER
Miami (FL) Hurricanes – 9.5 Wins – OVER
Miami (OH) Redhawks – 6.5 Wins – OVER
Michigan Wolverines – 9.5 Wins – UNDER
Michigan State Spartans – 8.5 Wins – OVER
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders – 7 Wins – PUSH
Minnesota Golden Gophers – 6 Wins – UNDER
Mississippi State Bulldogs – 8.5 Wins – UNDER
Missouri Tigers – 7 Wins – OVER
North Carolina State Wolfpack – 7.5 Wins – UNDER
Navy Midshipmen – 7 Wins – UNDER
Nebraska Cornhuskers – 6.5 Wins – UNDER
Nevada Wolf Pack – 5.5 Wins – UNDER
New Mexico Lobos – 4 Wins – UNDER
North Carolina Tar Heels – 5.5 Wins – OVER
North Texas Mean Green – 8 Wins – UNDER
Northern Illinois Huskies – 6.5 Wins – OVER
Northwestern Wildcats – 6 Wins – PUSH
Notre Dame Fighting Irish – 8.5 Wins – OVER
Ohio Bobcats – 8.5 Wins – OVER
Ohio State Buckeyes – 10.5 Wins – OVER
Oklahoma Sooners – 10 Wins – UNDER
Oklahoma State Cowboys – 8 Wins – OVER
Old Dominion Monarchs – 5.5 Wins – UNDER
Ole Miss Rebels – 6 Wins – OVER
Oregon Ducks – 8.5 Wins – OVER
Oregon State Beavers – 2.5 Wins – UNDER
Penn State Nittany Lions – 9.5 Wins – UNDER
Pittsburgh Panthers – 5.5 Wins – UNDER
Purdue Boilermakers – 6 Wins – UNDER
Rutgers Scarlet Knights – 3.5 Wins – OVER
SMU Mustangs – 5.5 Wins – OVER
San Diego State Aztecs – 8.5 Wins – UNDER
San Jose State Spartans – 2.5 Wins – OVER
South Alabama Jaguars – 4.5 Wins – OVER
South Carolina Gamecocks – 7 Wins – PUSH
South Florida Bulls – 8.5 Wins – OVER
Southern Miss Golden Eagles – 6.5 Wins – UNDER
Stanford Cardinal – 8.5 Wins – UNDER
Syracuse Orange – 5.5 Wins – UNDER
TCU Horned Frogs – 7.5 Wins – OVER
Temple Owls – 6.5 Wins – OVER
Tennessee Volunteers – 5.5 Wins – UNDER
Texas Longhorns – 8.5 Wins – UNDER
Texas A&M Aggies – 7.5 Wins – UNDER
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners – 5 Wins – PUSH
Texas State Bobcats – 3.5 Wins – OVER
Texas Tech Red Raiders – 6 Wins – PUSH
Toledo Rockets – 8 Wins – OVER
Troy Trojans – 7.5 Wins – OVER
Tulane Green Wave – 5.5 Wins – UNDER
Tulsa Golden Hurricane – 4.5 Wins – UNDER
UAB Blazers – 7.5 Wins – OVER
UCF Knights – 9.5 Wins – OVER
UCLA Bruins – 5.5 Wins – UNDER
UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns – 4.5 Wins – UNDER
UL-Monroe Warhawks – 5.5 Wins – OVER
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels – 6 Wins – PUSH
USC Trojans – 8.5 Wins – OVER
UTEP Miners – 2.5 Wins – UNDER
Utah Utes – 7 Wins – OVER
Utah State Aggies – 7.5 Wins – OVER
Vanderbilt Commodores – 4.5 Wins – UNDER
Virginia Cavaliers – 5 Wins – UNDER
Virginia Tech Hokies – 8.5 Wins – UNDER
Wake Forest Demon Deacons – 6.5 Wins – OVER
Washington Huskies – 10 Wins – OVER
Washington State Cougars – 6 Wins – PUSH
West Virginia Mountaineers – 7.5 Wins – UNDER
Western Michigan Broncos – 6.5 Wins – UNDER
Wisconsin Badgers – 10 Wins – PUSH
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About the Author…
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob.