Category Archives: point spreads

2017 NFL Week 9 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I had a solid week picking NFL games against the spread last week. I went 9-4, but totally whiffed on the Thursday game (again). Miami ended up playing one of the worst games this season.

There are thirteen games on the schedule again with six teams on bye. There are only two more weeks of byes and then we are back to a full 16-game schedule.

The slate of games last week was very enjoyable. I especially loved the Seattle/Houston game. Hell, the Colts/Bengals game was even unexpectedly close in the final minutes.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 9 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading

2017 NCAA Football – Week 10 Betting Picks Against Spread

I hit the most popular college football games, but missed on a lot of under-the-radar games. I’m still well above .500 on the season, but really struggled picking the early games last Saturday. 

The big game against Ohio State and Penn State really paid off last week. It was a fun watch and came down to the final minute of the game. This week’s big game is Oklahoma at Oklahoma State. Can the Cowboys cover the game at home?

Iowa State, Georgia Tech and Notre Dame have been awesome against the spread this season. Can all three cover this weekend?

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 10 of the NCAA Football season (November 4th, 2017). We also pick some smaller conference games.

Continue reading

2017 NFL Week 8 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-6-2 against the spread last week. I am due for a big week and hopefully it happens this week.

There are thirteen games on the schedule with six teams on bye. 

Last week’s slate of games were kind of disappointing. There were a lot of games I was excited to see, but there were too many non-competitive games for my taste.

There are some whopper double-digit spreads this week. There’s even one in the London game, which could be a tough cover for the Vikings.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 8 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading

2017 NCAA Football – Week 9 Betting Picks Against Spread

Your boy had another .500 week, actually a game above that mark. I nailed nearly every marquee game, but my smaller school bets didn’t go very well. This is the opposite of how it usually goes for me. In my years of betting on college football, I’ve made most of my money betting small schools. I can usually find value there, something that is rarely ever there in SEC or Big Ten games.

There are some big rivalry games this weekend. The biggest is #3 Penn State traveling to Columbus to take on Ohio State. Can the Buckeyes ruin Penn State’s perfect season? Can they cover the -6.5 spread in a big pressure game?

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 9 of the NCAA Football season (October 28th, 2017). We pick some smaller conference games.

Continue reading

2017 NFL Week 7 – Betting Picks Against Spread

Your boy got roughed up a bit last week. I went 6-8 and a few games were pretty ugly. I was doing well this year, but I didn’t adjust a few of my rankings. It didn’t help that injuries to quarterbacks Aaron Rodgers and Jameis Winston probably decided two of those games.

There are fifteen games on the schedule this week. The only two teams that are on bye are the Houston Texans and Detroit Lions

I may have had a down week, but I did accomplish something…I broke my Thursday Night Football streak of ineptitude. The Eagles bailed me out with their cover at Carolina.

Can the Falcons (+3.5) win in their Super Bowl rematch against the Patriots?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 7 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading

2017 NCAA Football – Week 8 Betting Picks Against Spread

I started out the year strong, but I’ve been hovering around .500 the last few weeks. I actually needed some late games to go my way last week to make it out alive. Upsets happened all over the place. I knew last week was going to be weird when both Clemson and Washington State lost Friday night. The ‘weirdness’ continued into Saturday.

Let’s hope this week’s games have a little more consistency and less wild upset blowouts. Every bettor I know took a wash in some form last week.

There are some big marquee games this weekend with one of them being the yearly contest between USC and Notre Dame. The Trojans have gotten the best of the Irish over the last two decades, but can the Irish cover the 3.5-point spread in South Bend?

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 8 of the NCAA Football season (October 21st, 2017). We also focus on small conference games…our bread and butter!

Continue reading

2017 NFL Week 6 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-5-1 last week against the spread.

I once again hit all the late games and went 1-0-1 ATS on Sunday and Monday nights. I just need to do better on my Thursday and early game picks. I would have hit the Thursday game, but current former Tampa Bay kicker Nick Folk forgot how to use his feet.

This is the first week I have noticed a big uptick in double-digit point spreads. Those will become more rampant as the season goes on, but I didn’t find this week’s double-digit point spreads to be egregious.

Can the Chiefs keep winning and beat the Steelers Sunday afternoon?

Will my Thursday Night Football streak of futility snap this week?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 6 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading

2017 NCAA Football – Week 7 Betting Picks Against Spread

I went .500 again last week, but still felt pretty good about my picks. I missed a few by a field goal or less and a play or two didn’t fall in my favor.

This is the time of year when weather reports could become important. I don’t see any extreme weather conditions this weekend though. The Midwest looks like it will mostly be in the 70’s.

The best teams in the nation are starting to receive some ridiculous point spreads. Alabama and Georgia both have spreads of 28 points and higher. Can these SEC beasts cover these against other SEC teams?

Neither Los Angeles school has been very good against the spread this season. Can USC and UCLA avoid another loss against the spread?

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 7 of the NCAA Football season (October 14th, 2017). We also focus on small conference games…our bread and butter!

Continue reading

2017 NFL Week 5 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 11-5 last week against the spread.

I hit both Sunday night and Monday night football games and all of the afternoon games. If only I picked the Thursday game and the early games better.

Thursday night games have been my kryptonite. I have only hit on one all season. I am guilty of overthinking those games. It’s a hangover from last year when Thursday games were extremely unpredictable. I’ve taken an unpopular positions on Thursday game, but that will change. 

Let’s talk about how good the Kansas City Chiefs are this year. The addition of rookie RB Kareem Hunt made a huge difference, but he isn’t the only improvement. QB Alex Smith is playing with new life in his arm. Who knew that think could throw passes farther than 12 yards?

Can the Chiefs keep winning and beat the Texans on Sunday night football?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 5 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading

2017 NCAA Football – Week 6 Betting Picks Against Spread

I went .500 last week, but hit on a couple moneylines to make up for a few bad beats. A few of those beats came during garbage time, which is always a mood killer.

There are some traditional rivalry games like Florida State/Miami, LSU/Florida and Michigan State/Michigan games that could be tricky. Records can be deceiving when rivals face each other. It’s nice to go back and look at historical data, but only if some impact players have played in those seasons.

We are approaching the time when you can start comparing teams with common foes. If ‘X’ beat ‘Y’ and ‘Y’ beat ‘Z’, ‘X’ should be favored against ‘Z’. It’s not always the case, but it can held you maintain your own rankings.

Can Washington State cover at Oregon?

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 6 of the NCAA Football season (October 7th, 2017). We also focus on small conference games…our bread and butter!

Continue reading

2017 NFL Week 4 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 9-7 last week against the spread.

As many of you know, I’m a Colts fan. I’m often quite overly negative and pessimistic about the team. I’m not happy that Andrew Luck will miss this marquee game against the Seahawks on Sunday Night Football. Russell Wilson and Luck has only faced each other one other time and it may be a few more years until they play each other again.

When Luck had his shoulder surgery, I never heard a single word that the recovery would eat into the regular season. It wasn’t until the Summer and we heard that hey may not be ready for the start of the season and now it looks like he may be out another few weeks. It just blows that we have to see Jacoby Brissett in Luck’s spot in what I expect to be a blowout.

Can Cam Newton break out of his slump and upset the reigning Super Bowl champions?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 4 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading

2017 NCAA Football – Week 5 Betting Picks Against Spread

I finished around .500 last week against the spread. I had trouble in the early games, but the late games bailed me out. There were some unexpected outcomes that I thought came out of nowhere. I thought Penn State and Florida would both cover the spread easy, but Iowa and Kentucky held on tight. I did call the NC State upset over Florida State, so I scored some jellybeans from the moneyline.

A few things I took away from last week was that Georgia is better than I thought, Oklahoma State isn’t bulletproof and USC QB Sam Darnold is still in the middle of a sophomore slump.

Now that it is in the fifth week of college football. Everyone is deep in their conference schedule. A lot more empirical data to use due to more head-to-head history,

Will USC QB Sam Darnold snap out of his slump against Washington State?

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 5 of the NCAA Football season (September 30th, 2017). We also focus on small conference games…our bread and butter!

Continue reading