Category Archives: point spreads

2018 NFL Week 11 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-3-1 against the spread last week. I’ve went 18-6-1 over the last two weeks. This makes up for hovering around .500 in the first-half of the year.

I started the year off pretty bland, but I’m getting a better feel for the teams now. I just had to adjust my rankings a bit. Also, the half-point losses were a killer early this season. I’ve been on the right side of those the last month.

There are a few marquee games that could decide divisions (Minnesota at Chicago) and one that could be a Super Bowl preview (Kansas City at L.A. Rams).

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 11 of the 2018 NFL season.

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 11 Betting Picks Against Spread

I finished 15-9-1 against the spread last week.

The college football playoff picture is more in focus after some big games last week. Georgia is basically on their way to the SEC Championship game after beating Kentucky. Also, Alabama made a huge statement in their shutout win against LSU.

There are some big Big Ten games this week with both Penn State and Ohio State having big games that could alter the conference title game picture.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 11 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (November, 10th, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2018 NFL Week 10 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 10-3 against the spread last week.

Which teams are tanking for a draft pick? The Raiders, Browns, Giants and Bills are making a run to the bottom of the league. You could make a case that all but one of those teams are in the market for a talented young quarterback.

Should tanking affect your betting strategy? Yes, but it’s a little too early to hold that against most teams…but the Raiders are definitely tanking right now.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 10 of the 2018 NFL season.

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 10 Betting Picks Against Spread

I finished 12-12-1 against the spread last week.

After this weekend, there should be a pretty clear picture of what the College Football Playoff may look like at the end of the year.

There are some de facto CFP elimination games this week. Alabama vs LSU is the biggest of them all. I am interested in seeing two of the current top-four CFP ranked teams face-off.

Also, the Georgia game versus Kentucky has playoff implications as well. The winner will most likely win their division in the SEC and play in the conference championship game.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 10 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (November, 3rd, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2018 NFL Week 9 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-7 against the spread last week.

I went .500 with my NFL and college football picks last week. I didn’t have a huge string of wins, it was just win, loss, win, loss, all weekend long.

The trade deadline is now behind us. There were some notable trades, but the big names like Pittsburgh RB Le’Veon Bell didn’t get moved.

It’s clear that there are a handful of teams that have officially packed it in for the year. It’s easy to just write them off, but remember, there are 53 players on every team looking to improve their stock and keep their jobs next season. Just because a general manager wants a top draft pick next season doesn’t mean that team will lose every game left on the schedule.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 9 of the 2018 NFL season.

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Is the Longer Extra-Point Hurting NFL Bettors?

The NFL moved their extra-point try back to a 33-yard attempt before the 2015 season. They first tried it during the preseason and found that moving it back gave the game a little extra drama that extra-points lacked. Also, kickers weren’t having any trouble connecting with the point after touchdown, the move wasn’t expected to have much more than just the appearance of drama.

Fans and NFL officials realized that kickers were becoming too darn good. Not only were kickers rarely missing extra points, but field goal success rate beyond 45 yards was at an all-time high. You would think that moving back extra-points to the 15-yard line wouldn’t be a huge change, but kickers started to miss them more than expected.

Through eight weeks of football, there have been 32 missed extra-points. In Week 8 alone, there were five missed, two in the Bengals/Bucs game on Sunday.

With all the missed extra-points the last three-and-a-half years, has the new rule cost bettors a win from what used to be a gimme point?

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 9 Betting Picks Against Spread

I finished 16-9 against the spread last week.

After a few weeks of near .500 against the spread in college football, I finally had a week to hang my hat on.

I was getting frustrated and there was a couple weeks where I was a bit sluggish on writing my betting picks. They came out a day or two later than I normally write them (late-Wednesdays). I just had to re-evaluate some teams and tweak my own personal rankings.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 9 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (October, 27th, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 8 Betting Picks Against Spread

I finished under .500 (again) last week, but I think nearly everyone bombed last week. There were so many upsets that nearly half of the Top 25 lost and we have about half as many unbeaten teams left.

Try not to completely abandon your betting strategy if you had a bad week. It seems like every October there is one week out of the month that is just wacky. I hope you were able to land on an upset moneyline or two last week, because it was hard to volume bet games.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 8 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (October, 20th, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 7 Betting Picks Against Spread

I finished a little under .500 last week, but felt some of my losses were still solid bets. There were two that were trap games in hindsight. Sometimes there is only so much a person can do with stats and a little luck.

I tried to stay away from a lot of the huge point spreads for in-conference games. I am only betting on those games if there is still some value left on the bone.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 7 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (October, 13th, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2018 NFL Week 6 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-7-1 against the spread last week.

I nearly had a heart attack after whiffing on most of the early games last week. I came back and made it back to even after nailing the late games and the Monday night game.

I decided to focus on home underdogs this week. They have been paying pretty well this year and I’ve missed on some this year. I’ve also been underrating defense. It’s easy to do since there are so many excellent offenses in the NFL.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 6 of the 2018 NFL season.

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 6 Betting Picks Against Spread

I finished 14-11 last week, but really lost steam when it came to the late games. I got off to a great start, but the Pac-12 games and two nationally-televised late games ruined what could have been a pretty epic week. I still finished three games above .500, which isn’t a total loss.

There are some big games this weekend that weren’t viewed as important before the season. Indiana travels to Ohio State and Texas A&M hosts undefeated Kentucky. No one circled those games before the year, but now they are pretty darn important.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 6 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (October, 6th, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2018 NFL Week 5 – Betting Picks Against Spread

There were some close-to-the-betting-line games last week. There were three ties in my weekly bets. I still finished slightly under .500, which was aggravating. I missed two games by a point or less. I’m limping a little, but I’m feeling strong this week.

Vegas is predicting another week of close games. There is only one double-digit point spread and nearly half of the games are within a field goal. I may not have any nails left on my hands by Monday night.

The rookie quarterbacks were 0-4 outright last week. Will they bounce back this week?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 5 of the 2018 NFL season.

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