Category Archives: nfl

2023 NFL Week 7 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-7 against the spread in Week 6.

I just can’t shake my streak of mediocrity. I’ve been stagnant at .500-ish for awhile now and I need a big week.

Last week, there were a couple huge underdogs that won against the spread. Double-digit point spreads are notoriously difficult to cover, but one of those underdogs won outright (Browns), and another was damn close (Giants).

I don’t want to spoil my picks this week, but I’ve went heavy on the points. I feel like there is money to be made on the underdogs this week. I would even suggest betting the moneyline on a few ‘dogs this weekend.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 7 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 6 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-7 against the spread in Week 5.

I’ve been hovering around .500 for the last two weeks. I’m still trying to get a feel for a few teams and the recent injuries aren’t helping me.

We have some stars that won’t be playing for awhile. Vikings WR Justin Jefferson and Colts rookie QB Anthony Richardson both landed on injured-reserve this week. The Vikings are still in decent shape at receiver, but his loss will still hurt. The Colts have one of the best backup QBs in the league and I expect the Colts to stay afloat with QB Gardner Minshew and the returning RB Jonathan Taylor.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 5 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 9-7 against the spread in Week 4.

My bets were looking fantastic through the first-half of many games this week, but teams just made some key adjustments and a lot of my bets turned sideways late in the game. I was above .500, but didn’t hit on any parlays this week.

I was high on the Bengals going into this season, but they’ve really disappointed everyone. QB Joe Burrow isn’t 100% and the offense is just broken. They face the a beatable Cardinals team this week, can they turn it around?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 4 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 11-5 against the spread in Week 3.

I finally recorrected and was able to put together a positive week. I think we are finally starting to figure out which teams were overrated to start the year.

This could be my last ‘bare bones’ NFL article going forward. The break was very positive for my overall health and just adjusting to the loss of my longtime pet, and adding a new one to my life, has went well so far.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 3 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I had another sub-.500 week, but it wasn’t as bad with a 7-9 record in Week 2.

This week’s article is another bare bones post. It may only be another week or two, but it helped me dedicate some time to work on my mental health. It’s been a rough month or so after my dog passed away. He was 14 years old and was by co-pilot on my lap, or below my feet, for nearly every betting article on this site.

One big positive that happened this week is that I decided to open up my heart to another dog. I was able to get another shih tzu and he’s been amazing. Training a puppy will be a bit difficult, but this little guy is pretty smart.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 2 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I had a rough start to the NFL season, but we know go into Week 2 with a lot more information.

This week’s article is bare bones and it may be like this for a week or two. I’ve been dealing with something personal and my mental health is absolute trash right now. I really hit a low about this time last week and didn’t think I could put myself through writing 12k+ words across my normal three weekly articles.

I really do love doing this, but it’s near-impossible when I can’t muster enough attention span to stitch two everyday tasks together. This change will probably be just a week or two.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 2 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 1 – Betting Picks Against Spread

Are you ready to place your bets?

I went 148-133-8 against the spread last season. It wasn’t a banner year and I just hovered around .500 all season long. I hope to start the year off with a big week.

I decided to kick off the season a little different this season. I decided to get some help fleshing out the opening week’s column. I asked Google’s Generative AI to add some season preview insight about every team. Their input is the first two paragraphs of every game breakdown. Artificial Intelligence still has a long way to go for accuracy, so I had to correct some items…as it thought Mike McCarthy was the Patriots head coach.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Fantasy Football Start/Sit – Week 1

How are you feeling about your team before Week 1?

Did you play it safe with your picks or did you take some risks with some young talent?

There are a lot of question marks at quarterback right now. Will the three rookie starting quarterbacks struggle early in their careers? Can Patriots QB Mac Jones do enough early in the year to keep Coach Belichick happy?

Will any Detroit Lions shine in their opener against the Chiefs?

Here is our Fantasy Football Sit/Start for Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season…and enjoy our awesome MS Paint masterpiece of QB Trevor Lawrence of the Jacksonville Jaguars.

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2023 Fantasy Football Sleepers: Running Backs

It’s a bit difficult to pinpoint sleeper fantasy running backs this year. There are many teams that could have three running backs receive 5+ touches a game. Most teams run a dual-running back offense and it’s much better to own the pass-catching back in PPR leagues.

The incoming running back rookie class should make some noise this season. There are a handful backs taken in the third round (or later) that could be smart pickups to stash.

Which Indianapolis running back will benefit the most from the Jonathan Taylor drama?

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2023 Fantasy Football Sleepers: Quarterbacks

Many of you will soon be drafting your fantasy football teams for the 2023 season. It’s nearly impossible to win a league these days without a stud quarterback. The days of owning LaDanian Tomlinson and plowing through the league are long over.

We all know the studs in fantasy and if you own a quarterback like Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen, barring an injury, you have a great head-start on the year. Unfortunately, not everyone can have those two men on your team, especially in a deep league.

In a fantasy draft, you usually don’t roll the dice and take a deep quarterback sleeper, unless you’re in a twenty-team league. I accrued a list that gets progressively more sleeper-ish as you read. There’s a mix of talent of guys who should be drafted in all standard leagues and, “I’ve never heard that name before” sleepers.

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Super Bowl 57 – Betting Picks Against Spread & Prop Bets

Super Bowl 57 is this Sunday and it’s a prop bets smorgasbord.

I LOVE prop bets. I actually get more joy out of betting Super Bowl prop bets than betting against the spread. Yes, most are a crap shoot, but with the right research, you can end up winning bets with very favorable odds.

I’m not saying you can research who will win the coin toss, but there are many other player and team prop bets out there that have nice odds.

Some prop bets aren’t worth the money (the juice isn’t worth the slight risk), but sometimes you just have to lay a few bucks down, cross your fingers and wish for the best.

I picked out some of the most popular prop bets for Super Bowl 57 (or Super Bowl LVII for Roman numeral fans)…and we also pick the game against the spread.

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2023 NFL Conference Championship Games – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 4-0 against the spread last week).

Last week’s slate of playoff games weren’t as good as the Wild Card week, but it was still a lot of fun.

Three of these four teams appeared in the conference championship last year. The Bengals and Chiefs met last year (with the Bengals winning outright) and the Niners make an appearance for the second season in-a-row. The Eagles find themselves in new territory as they got good in a hurry under first-year head coach Nick Sirianni.

We pick both NFL Conference Championship games against the spread and over/under point totals.

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