Category Archives: atlanta falcons

2025 NFL Week 12 – Betting Picks Against Spread

Leave a reply

I went 7-6-2 against the spread during the tenth week of the 2025 NFL season.

The betting lines were extremely close to the actual outcomes last week. We will start to see this more as sportsbooks and bettors are dialing in on teams.

We saw some injuries at quarterback the last few weeks, The Falcons lost QB Michael Penix for the year, and Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers broke his wrist. On the flipside, the Giants will get rookie QB Jaxson Dart back from concussion.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 12 of the 2025 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2025 NFL Week 9 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-6 against the spread during the eighth week of the 2025 NFL season.

We are back to having fourteen games on the schedule this week.

We have a few marquee games this week. The biggest one being the Kansas City Chiefs travelling to Buffalo to face the Bills. Kansas City is on a roll and are playing like the best team in the league.

We have quite a few quarterbacks listed as day-to-day heading into this week’s games. Niners QB Brock Purdy, Arizona QB Kyler Murray and Washington QB Jayden Daniels playing statuses aren’t clear right now.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 9 of the 2025 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2025 NFL Week 8 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-7 against the spread during the seventh week of the 2025 NFL season.

We have a light schedule this week with six teams on a bye week.

There are quite a few games dealing with notable injuries at quarterback that could affect betting lines the closer we get to Sunday.

The major injury status to keep an eye on is Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, who just returned to practice, but as of Thursday morning, his status is up in the air for their game against the Bears.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 8 of the 2025 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2025 NFL Week 7 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 6-9 against the spread during the sixth week of the 2025 NFL season.

I got the panted beat off me last week. It was by far the worst week I’ve had against the spread, in the NFL or college football.

We have almost another full slate of games this week, with only two teams on bye.

How will the Buccaneers passing offense fare against a banged up Lions secondary?

Can the Bears win their four game in-a-row?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 7 of the 2025 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2025 NFL Week 3 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 11-5 against the spread during the second week of the 2025 NFL season.

I could have easily went 13-3 had I not pivoted so early on two of my picks. I usually hold steady, barring injuries, with my own preseason rankings. I tend to view a season in four parts, so I alter my rankings after a team’s fourth game.

We have a huge game on Monday Night Football. The Lions and Ravens meet, which has a shot to be a Super Bowl preview.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 3 of the 2025 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2025 NFL Week 1 – Betting Picks Against Spread

Are you ready to place your bets?

I went 158-120-8 against the spread last season. It wasn’t my best year, as I just hovered around .500 most weeks, but did have a few huge weeks to make my final numbers look much better. I hope to start the year off with a big week.

I have written a monster post that somewhat acts like miniature season previews for every team. I don’t expect to reach 4,000 words again this year, but you never know.

Which sophomore quarterback will take a big leap in Year Two?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2024 NFL Week 17 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I had a rough 8-7-1 record against the spread in Week 16.

First off, to have a Wednesday afternoon game this late in the season is just psychotic. Teams like to keep things more secret this time of the year. It’s insanely difficult to handicap games on Tuesday night for games that mostly happen on Sunday.

We have games nearly every single day from Christmas Day through Sunday. I’m not sure if I want these Christmas Day games to be a hit or not since games will end up on Tuesdays and Wednesday a few times each decade.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 17 of the 2024 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2024 NFL Week 16 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I had a rough 11-5 record against the spread in Week 15.

It was nice to have a rebound after a couple weeks of middling results. I feel like there was value in many of the betting lines last week.

We have a few more double-digit point spreads this week Don’t get too comfortable now that a 17-point spread covered last week. Double-digit point spreads are still a tough cover in the NFL.

Can the Detroit Lions stay afloat amid a flurry of injuries?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 16 of the 2024 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2024 NFL Week 15 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I had a rough 5-8 record against the spread in Week 14.

I apologize for the abridged version of this week’s picks. I had a cold to start the week and I had to cram about three days worth of work in a day-and-a-half.

I was still able to give you guys some information about every game and explain my picks for the week.

We have two huge games this week. The Bills/Lions and Steelers/Eagles games could easily be Super Bowl previews.

Can the Panthers cover (as the favorite) against the Cowboys?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 15 of the 2024 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2024 NFL Week 11 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 6-8 against the spread in Week 10.

I had a rough performance in the early games on Sunday, but I was able to do much better from that point on. I was coming off some solid weeks, so this will hopefully be just a small setback.

There are a lot of fun games on the schedule this week. I want to say that there are four must-watch games this week. Unfortunately, due to injury, the Monday night game between the Texans and Cowboys isn’t one of them.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2024 NFL Week 10 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 10-5 against the spread in Week 9.

I really needed a strong showing on Sunday after getting wrecked by my college football bets. I was able to recoup a large portion of my losses thanks to a three-team parlay.

Injuries have really hit some teams hard this season. It appears that the 49ers may be a near-full strength soon now that RB Christian McCaffrey (Achilles) returned to practice. On the other side of the coin, the Cowboys may lose QB Dake Prescott (hamstring) for a couple games.

Can the Lions continue their hot streak?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 10 of the 2024 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2024 NFL Week 9 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-8 against the spread in Week 8.

I was up and down all week and finally finished even last weekend. The betting lines were close overall, but they should probably start to jack up the Detroit Lions point spreads.

We have 15 games on the schedule this week. It’s still a rather full slate of games, which seems odd for this time of the year.

Now that we are at the halfway point in the year, we can look back and see which teams were undervalued to begin the season. The Broncos top that list, as we didn’t factor in their easy early-season schedule.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season.

Continue reading →