Tag Archives: Kansas City Chiefs

Super Bowl 58 – Betting Picks Against Spread & Prop Bets

Super Bowl 58 is this Sunday and it’s a prop bets smorgasbord.

I LOVE prop bets. I actually get more joy out of betting Super Bowl prop bets than betting against the spread. Yes, most are a crap shoot, but with the right research, you can end up winning bets with very favorable odds.

I’m not saying you can research who will win the coin toss, but there are many other player and team prop bets out there that have nice odds.

Some prop bets aren’t worth the money (the juice isn’t worth the slight risk), but sometimes you just have to lay a few bucks down, cross your fingers and wish for the best.

I picked out some of the most popular prop bets for Super Bowl 58 (or Super Bowl LVIII for Roman numeral fans)…and we also pick the game against the spread.

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2024 NFL Conference Championships – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 2-2 against the spread during the Divisional playoff games.

Up to this point, we’ve had an entertaining slate of playoff of games. We haven’t seen many games that weren’t up for grabs deep into the fourth quarter of the games. I think we will see more of that this weekend.

The Lions are playing with house money right now and all the pressure is on the 49ers on Sunday. Can Brock Purdy handle this big of a moment?

Can Jason Kelce continue to be the best person alive?

We pick both NFL Conference Championship game against the spread and pick over/under point totals in those contests.

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2024 NFL Divisional Playoff Games – Betting Picks Against Spread

I whiffed pretty bad during Wild Card Weekend. I went favorite-heavy, but the underdogs had a big weekend. The weather played a huge factor in many of the over/under point totals as well.

We have two double-digit point spreads on Saturday, which isn’t very common. We usually see about half of the games on Wild Card Weekend with touchdown (and over) point spreads, but covering double-digit spreads this deep into the postseason is very hard…but I am not betting against both of them.

Can the Detroit Lions continue their playoff run?

We pick every NFL Divisional Playoff game against the spread.

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2024 NFL Wild Card Playoff Games – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-6 against the spread in the final regular season games.

I would have loved to have went more in-depth for every game this weekend, but a light fell while I was away from home and knocked over a drink I had next to my laptop, thus frying said laptop. I am posting this on my old laptop that I spent thousand of hours on, but almost impossible to type anything of length due to the letter ‘M’ not working. I have to copy and paste other Ms in this post. I would lose my mind if I did this in a 3k-word NFL post.

We only have one double digit point spread this week. We usually had more than that in recent years, so we should have some tight games this weekend.

We pick every NFL Wild Card Weekend game against the spread.

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2023 NFL Week 18 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-8 against the spread during Week 17.

I’m sorry about getting my picks out so late this week. I was waiting on more info on which teams will be sitting starters, and then life got super busy. I unfortunately miss the deadline for Saturday games, but I am picking the remaining 14 games on the schedule.

I have a feeling that we will see a lot of coaches on the chopping block late-Sunday and on Black Monday. Most of the coaches on the hot seat have unfortunate match-ups on Sunday. We could see as many as seven coaches without a job soon.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 17 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-8-1 against the spread during Week 16.

I’ve had back-to-back near.500 weeks and we need to finish the regular season strong.

This week’s trendy thing to do is for head coaches to start their backup quarterbacks. Some are forced to do so, but the Broncos and Commanders are opting to bench their starters to see what their backups can do at this point in the season. I’m curious to see if Jarrett Stidham can do better under center for the Broncos than Russell “Let’s Ride” Wilson.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 17 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 15 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 9-4-2 against the spread during Week 14.

It was a solid week overall, but I got my picks up super late. The lines are well-adjusted at that point and it’s hard to get an edge up on them, so it was a nice surprise.

This week, there are a ton of tight point spreads. A lot of home favorite are at -3 and below. These games are notorious for being coinflips, so it could be a tricky week.

We have a full slate of games with sixteen games on Thursday, Saturday, Sunday and Monday.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 13 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 9-6-1 against the spread during Week 12.

I didn’t go a perfect 3-0 on Thanksgiving, but got myself out to a nice 2-1 start. The favorites had a big week with twelve of the sixteen games being covered by the favorites. I feel this week will be favorite-heavy as well, but we shall see.

The Eagles have had a murderer’s row of opponents of late. I’m interested in seeing if they come into their game against the Niners a big banged up after facing the Cowboys, Chiefs and Bills over their last three games.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 13 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 11 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-6-1 against the spread in Week 10.

Injuries are ballooning point spreads and we are seeing more double-digit advantages again this week. It’s becoming the normal as we near Thanksgiving. The bad teams are already looking at the upcoming draft class. I just assume teams like the Giants will see double-digit spreads (or near it), the rest of the season.

Will the change in play-calling duties help the Bills and Panthers this week?

Can QB Joshua Dobbs continue his hot streak for the Vikings?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 9 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 9-6-1 against the spread in Week 8.

I was once again perfect for all the Primetime games, but was subpar or average on Sunday afternoon. I still ended up positive for the week and I hope to build on this momentum.

After a rough start to the season, it appears that the Cincinnati Bengals are back playing like a possible Super Bowl contender. They have a big test this week as they face the Buffalo Bills.

How will the Vikings fare without starting QB Kirk Cousins?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 9 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 8 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 6-7 against the spread in Week 7.

I had an awful Sunday afternoon, but I was able to not completely lose my shirt by going 3-0 ATS on Thursday, late-Sunday and Monday night.

The most shocking outcome last week had to be the Ravens blowout win over the Lions. Baltimore had a stretch of games with a lot of key guys on the injured list. They are getting healthy, and if they acquire a running back, Baltimore could be one of the favorites in the AFC.

We have a full slate of games with zero teams out on bye this week.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 8 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 6 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-7 against the spread in Week 5.

I’ve been hovering around .500 for the last two weeks. I’m still trying to get a feel for a few teams and the recent injuries aren’t helping me.

We have some stars that won’t be playing for awhile. Vikings WR Justin Jefferson and Colts rookie QB Anthony Richardson both landed on injured-reserve this week. The Vikings are still in decent shape at receiver, but his loss will still hurt. The Colts have one of the best backup QBs in the league and I expect the Colts to stay afloat with QB Gardner Minshew and the returning RB Jonathan Taylor.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season.

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