Category Archives: minnesota vikings

Dramatic Shifts in Lombardi Odds: How the 2024 NFL Season’s First Five Weeks Shaped Super Bowl Contenders

The 2024 NFL season is well underway, and there has been no shortage of shocks in the opening five weeks of the campaign. The Cincinnati Bengals were considered genuine Lombardi contenders by many, but their shocking overtime defeat to their AFC North rival Baltimore Ravens on week five has left them 1-4 and with their postseason hopes in tatters. Over in Washington State, the Seattle Seahawks had surprised many with their impressive start to the campaign, but a stunning loss at home to the lowly New York Giants has left supporters reevaluating their hopes for the season.

One thing that has remained constant however is the dominance of the Kansas City Chiefs. Led by the mercurial Patrick Mahomes, the Missouri outfit claimed their second straight Lombardi at Super Bowl LVIII last term, and they show no sign of slowing down. They have begun the new campaign with four straight wins to emphasize their status as favorites to complete the first-ever NFL three-peat.

But while their odds on Lombardi glory remain sturdy, there have been plenty of market movers throughout the first five weeks of the season. Here are the four biggest of them. Continue reading →

2024 NFL Week 5 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-9 against the spread in Week 4.

I had a rough start to my NFL bets as I was 2-8 after the early game session on Sunday. Thankfully, I nearly ran perfect with the remainder of the games to save my bankroll.

We have some fun games on the schedule with Baltimore at Cincinnati and Buffalo at Houston are the marquee games of the week. Those almost makes up for forcing a part of the country to sit through Las Vegas at Denver (ugh!).

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season.

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2024 NFL Week 4 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-8 against the spread in Week 3.

I jumped out to a great Week 1, but I’ve been just slightly better than .500 over the last two weeks. I still managed to slightly profit last week thanks to a Commanders moneyline play.

We have two Monday night games again this week, so two more opportunities to ‘get even or get even worse’ from any Sunday losses.

Can Panthers QB Andy Dalton replicated last week’s success against his former team?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 14 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 6-7 against the spread during Week 13.

I apologize for being so late with this week’s NFL picks. I’ve had a busy week and another project has taken up way too much of my free time.

We are almost back to a full slate of games, but we are getting to the point where Saturday games will happen soon. This week’s weird due to two Monday Night Football games, so keep an eye on the TV schedule as not all the games will happen on Sundays going forward.

Can the Eagles sweep the Cowboys this season?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 12 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 6-8 against the spread in Week 11.

I’ve historically done really well against the spread on Thanksgiving. I’ve swept the day many times over the years. I’m crawling into the holiday beaten up after a tough week. I hope to continue my Thanksgiving good luck on Thursday.

I worry about the Cincinnati Bengals going forward. QB Joe Burrow is gone for the season and his arm has played such a big part of their win-loss record. Early this season, Burrow wasn’t 100% and the team went on a losing streak. They need strong quarterback play for their offense to work. They could try to lean on RB Joe Mixon, but I’m afraid he’s past his prime.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 12 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 11 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-6-1 against the spread in Week 10.

Injuries are ballooning point spreads and we are seeing more double-digit advantages again this week. It’s becoming the normal as we near Thanksgiving. The bad teams are already looking at the upcoming draft class. I just assume teams like the Giants will see double-digit spreads (or near it), the rest of the season.

Will the change in play-calling duties help the Bills and Panthers this week?

Can QB Joshua Dobbs continue his hot streak for the Vikings?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 10 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 11-3 against the spread in Week 9.

I had my best week of the year and I feel like I have a pretty good grasp on a handful of teams. A lot of the marquee teams are on bye this week (Chiefs, Eagles), so a lot of the middle-of-the-road teams will get more action.

The Cincinnati Bengals continued their resurgence and Denver Broncos are officially in the under-the-radar category. They’ve covered against the Packers and Chiefs in their last two games.

Will the San Francisco 49ers rebound from their three-game outright losing streak?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 9 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 9-6-1 against the spread in Week 8.

I was once again perfect for all the Primetime games, but was subpar or average on Sunday afternoon. I still ended up positive for the week and I hope to build on this momentum.

After a rough start to the season, it appears that the Cincinnati Bengals are back playing like a possible Super Bowl contender. They have a big test this week as they face the Buffalo Bills.

How will the Vikings fare without starting QB Kirk Cousins?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 9 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 8 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 6-7 against the spread in Week 7.

I had an awful Sunday afternoon, but I was able to not completely lose my shirt by going 3-0 ATS on Thursday, late-Sunday and Monday night.

The most shocking outcome last week had to be the Ravens blowout win over the Lions. Baltimore had a stretch of games with a lot of key guys on the injured list. They are getting healthy, and if they acquire a running back, Baltimore could be one of the favorites in the AFC.

We have a full slate of games with zero teams out on bye this week.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 8 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 7 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-7 against the spread in Week 6.

I just can’t shake my streak of mediocrity. I’ve been stagnant at .500-ish for awhile now and I need a big week.

Last week, there were a couple huge underdogs that won against the spread. Double-digit point spreads are notoriously difficult to cover, but one of those underdogs won outright (Browns), and another was damn close (Giants).

I don’t want to spoil my picks this week, but I’ve went heavy on the points. I feel like there is money to be made on the underdogs this week. I would even suggest betting the moneyline on a few ‘dogs this weekend.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 7 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 5 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 9-7 against the spread in Week 4.

My bets were looking fantastic through the first-half of many games this week, but teams just made some key adjustments and a lot of my bets turned sideways late in the game. I was above .500, but didn’t hit on any parlays this week.

I was high on the Bengals going into this season, but they’ve really disappointed everyone. QB Joe Burrow isn’t 100% and the offense is just broken. They face the a beatable Cardinals team this week, can they turn it around?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season.

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2023 NFL Week 4 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 11-5 against the spread in Week 3.

I finally recorrected and was able to put together a positive week. I think we are finally starting to figure out which teams were overrated to start the year.

This could be my last ‘bare bones’ NFL article going forward. The break was very positive for my overall health and just adjusting to the loss of my longtime pet, and adding a new one to my life, has went well so far.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season.

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