Category Archives: sports gambling

2018 NCAA Football – Week 5 Betting Picks Against Spread

I finished under .500 last weekend, but came out even after hitting on two upset moneyline plays.

It’s time to really adjust your rankings. Teams are now all in conference play and it’s important to remember non-conference game performance.

Also, it’s important to note that you can’t just look at a team’s past performance against a conference foe. There is a ton of data out there, but a lot of it is bad data. The turnover rate is too high in college football and most teams will not have certain impact players still at their school.

There are some traditional marquee games this weekend, like Ohio State at Penn State and Stanford at Notre Dame that should be fun television.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 5 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (September 29th, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2018 NFL Week 4 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-9 last week and missed two games by a half-point. I was also surprised by the Bills/Vikings and Jaguars/Titans outcomes. I did not have a very good overall week. I guess it should have been expected in a week with a ton of -3 games. It was going to be a difficult week to handicap.

This is another week with plenty close games. There are also some home underdogs worth keeping an eye on.

There are a handful of new quarterbacks starting this week. Rookie quarterbacks Baker Mayfield and Josh Rosen make their first starts and Niners second-year QB C.J. Beathard takes over for injured Jimmy Garoppolo.

Will any of the new faces make an impact for their teams? 

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 4 of the 2018 NFL season.

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 4 Betting Picks Against Spread

Thanks to some cancelled games last week, I went 11-11-1 with college football picks against the spread in Week 3. I usually pick 25 games, but a few went unplayed thanks to the hurricane that hit the East Coast.

There are some marquee games this weekend. Texas A&M vs Alabama, TCU at Texas and Stanford at Oregon starts the first week of a lot of conference games. Most teams start to play conference games next week, so we won’t get many out-of-conference games going forward.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 4 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (September 22nd, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2018 NFL Week 3 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-8-1 against the spread last week, but I am still over .500 on the season.

There are a ton of -3 games out there. This week should be a very fun week of NFL football

Eagles QB Carson Wentz is set to return from injury and face the Colts. The offense should improve as they were a bit stagnant in both games so far.

Are the Steelers locker room imploding? They are without Le’Veon Bell due to a contract dispute and now start WR Antonio Brown is causing problems. Can they bounce back this week on Monday Night Football?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 3 of the 2018 NFL season.

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 3 Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 14-11 with college football picks against the spread in Week 2.

Betting the second week of the season is much easier after seeing teams play the week before. There is a lot of value in riding a couple teams every week until they fail to cover the spread. Also, it could be time to readjust your own personal rankings.

There are some important games this weekend. Ohio State at TCU is huge in the grand scheme of things. Also, USC at Texas may not factor in the title picture, but it’s always fun when these two teams meet up early in the year.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 3 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (September 15th, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2018 NFL Week 2 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I started the year off on a good note by going 9-6-1 against the spread in Week 1.

Not only did some teams surprise everyone (Jets & Bucs), but there were some nice underdog moneylines that paid out.

We didn’t get out of Week 1 without dealing with some injuries. RB Leonard Fournette, WR Doug Baldwin and TE Delanie Walker all may miss multiple weeks due to injuries. It’s important to keep an eye on injury reports early in the year. There are some big names on there this week.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 2 of the 2018 NFL season.

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 2 Betting Picks Against Spread

I kicked off the season with a limp. I only went 11-13-1 with my college football gambling picks last week.

I don’t usually bet the first week of college football, but I gave it a go this year. I made some smart plays, but a few teams just pulled their starters too early in blowout games. I missed a few blowout covers by less than a touchdown.

There are some big rivalry games this week. USC at Stanford is an interesting game. You should know each team’s talent by the end of that contest. Can Stanford RB Bryce Love brush off a rough start to the season?

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 2 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (September 8th, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2018 NFL Week 1 – Betting Picks Against Spread

Were you one of those guys who bet on NFL preseason games?

I get it. You were excited to wager on football again and just jumped the gun a little. It’s now time to bet on some games that count!

We had a pretty good year betting on NFL games last year. We went 144-115-16 and hit on a few underdog moneylines to come out in the black for the season.

There are a ton of new quarterbacks making their first starts for their new teams this weekend. Veteran quarterbacks like Kirk Cousins, Alex Smith and Sam Bradford hope to lead their new teams to successful seasons. Also, quarterbacks Andrew Luck, Deshaun Watson and Ryan Tannehill return from injuries. Which quarterback will make the biggest impact in Week 1?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 1 of the 2018 NFL season.

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Betting Picks: 2018 NFL Over/Under Season Wins

We are just a few days away from the start of the 2018 NFL regular season. This is the very last minute to start thinking about possible bets for over/under regular season team wins. I wanted to wait until all the ‘this guy will miss the season due to an injury that occurred in a game that doesn’t count’ announcements. Also, it was helpful to know that Buffalo is already punting the season by naming Nathan Peterman as the starting quarterback.

We didn’t just look at the lines and guess at our over/under picks. We went through the entire schedule in the NFL and picked every game.

A lot can happen from now until the end of the season (injuries, coaching changes, etc). We will attempt to help you make a better decision on which teams to lay bets on.

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Betting Picks: 2018 College Football Over/Under Season Wins

The 2018-19 NCAA football regular season kicks off this week and there are a lot of sleeper buzz around many teams this year. 

There an abnormally large numbers of major programs change head coaches this offseason. Jimbo Fisher is now at Texas A&M, Chip Kelly is at UCLA, Willie Taggart is at Florida State, etc…will any of these experienced coaches make huge Year 1 improvements?

I’ve been working on these picks for quite awhile. I underestimated the amount of time these picks would take. I penciled in two days to really tackle these, but it ended up taking six days. I’m a bit of a perfectionist when it comes to picking over/under totals…and a stomach bug didn’t help.

There are a lot of even win totals, so if I pick ‘PUSH’, it’s mostly just advising you to avoid betting on this team, since the win total will most likely be the real win total. I don’t want you to basically loan your betting site x-amount of dollars just to get back the same amount in early-December.

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 1 Betting Picks Against Spread

I rarely do Week 1 college football gambling picks, but I feel like I’ve done so much research, it’s time I do it this year.

The reason I rarely do Week 1 college football picks is because I like a little more information. I can see how teams do and a lot of college coaches like to wait until the last minute to officially name a starting QB (I’m looking at you UCLA & Alabama). Teams can vary so much in college that there’s a lot of risk in Week 1…but on the other hand, if you’re prepared, there’s also a lot of value in betting heavy in the first two weeks of the season.

There are some big games this week as Notre Dame, Florida State, Auburn, Washington and Michigan all face tough opponents to start the season.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 1 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (September 1st, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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Early Heisman Trophy Betting Favorites

It’s only June, but it’s never too early to start thinking about your college football betting strategy.

The betting odds for the 2018-19 Heisman Trophy were released today. This list is full of many new names, but one of this year’s favorites isn’t new to preseason Heisman buzz. Last year’s Heisman runner-up Stanford RB Bryce Love is near the top of this year’s early Heisman favorites.

Is is a lock for Love will win the Heisman this season? Early Heisman favorites haven’t been so lucky in recent years. Oregon QB Marcus Mariota is the only early top favorite in the last decade that went on to win the Heisman. Last year’s winner Oklahoma Baker Mayfield had the second-best odds of winning it going into last season, behind USC QB Sam Darnold.

Who are this year’s early Heisman favorites? Do any standout as a nice value bet?

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