Category Archives: ncaa football

2018 NCAA Football – Week 4 Betting Picks Against Spread

Thanks to some cancelled games last week, I went 11-11-1 with college football picks against the spread in Week 3. I usually pick 25 games, but a few went unplayed thanks to the hurricane that hit the East Coast.

There are some marquee games this weekend. Texas A&M vs Alabama, TCU at Texas and Stanford at Oregon starts the first week of a lot of conference games. Most teams start to play conference games next week, so we won’t get many out-of-conference games going forward.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 4 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (September 22nd, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 2 Betting Picks Against Spread

I kicked off the season with a limp. I only went 11-13-1 with my college football gambling picks last week.

I don’t usually bet the first week of college football, but I gave it a go this year. I made some smart plays, but a few teams just pulled their starters too early in blowout games. I missed a few blowout covers by less than a touchdown.

There are some big rivalry games this week. USC at Stanford is an interesting game. You should know each team’s talent by the end of that contest. Can Stanford RB Bryce Love brush off a rough start to the season?

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 2 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (September 8th, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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Betting Picks: 2018 College Football Over/Under Season Wins

The 2018-19 NCAA football regular season kicks off this week and there are a lot of sleeper buzz around many teams this year.

There an abnormally large numbers of major programs change head coaches this offseason. Jimbo Fisher is now at Texas A&M, Chip Kelly is at UCLA, Willie Taggart is at Florida State, etc…will any of these experienced coaches make huge Year 1 improvements?

I’ve been working on these picks for quite awhile. I underestimated the amount of time these picks would take. I penciled in two days to really tackle these, but it ended up taking six days. I’m a bit of a perfectionist when it comes to picking over/under totals…and a stomach bug didn’t help.

There are a lot of even win totals, so if I pick ‘PUSH’, it’s mostly just advising you to avoid betting on this team, since the win total will most likely be the real win total. I don’t want you to basically loan your betting site x-amount of dollars just to get back the same amount in early-December.

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2018 NCAA Football – Week 1 Betting Picks Against Spread

I rarely do Week 1 college football gambling picks, but I feel like I’ve done so much research, it’s time I do it this year.

The reason I rarely do Week 1 college football picks is because I like a little more information. I can see how teams do and a lot of college coaches like to wait until the last minute to officially name a starting QB (I’m looking at you UCLA & Alabama). Teams can vary so much in college that there’s a lot of risk in Week 1…but on the other hand, if you’re prepared, there’s also a lot of value in betting heavy in the first two weeks of the season.

There are some big games this week as Notre Dame, Florida State, Auburn, Washington and Michigan all face tough opponents to start the season.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 1 of the 2018-19 NCAA Football season (September 1st, 2018). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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Early Heisman Trophy Betting Favorites

It’s only June, but it’s never too early to start thinking about your college football betting strategy.

The betting odds for the 2018-19 Heisman Trophy were released today. This list is full of many new names, but one of this year’s favorites isn’t new to preseason Heisman buzz. Last year’s Heisman runner-up Stanford RB Bryce Love is near the top of this year’s early Heisman favorites.

Is is a lock for Love will win the Heisman this season? Early Heisman favorites haven’t been so lucky in recent years. Oregon QB Marcus Mariota is the only early top favorite in the last decade that went on to win the Heisman. Last year’s winner Oklahoma Baker Mayfield had the second-best odds of winning it going into last season, behind USC QB Sam Darnold.

Who are this year’s early Heisman favorites? Do any standout as a nice value bet?

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2018 NFL Draft: Best Undrafted Players

256 players were drafted in the 2018 NFL Draft over a three-day period. Some of those players will never play one down in a regular season NFL game. On the other side of the coin, many college players that went undrafted could end up having long careers in the NFL.

Kurt Warner went undrafted in the 1994 NFL Draft. He was a training camp invitee with the Green Bay Packers. He was released before the season and then found himself in the Arena Football League. He was successful there and then signed by the St. Louis Rams. Starting QB Trent Green suffered an ACL injury in the preseason and Warner was named the starter. He went on the win the Super Bowl that season. Warner is now a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

Other recent undrafted players that had success in the NFL: RB Thomas Rawls, LB Zach Orr, WR Willie Snead, CB Malcolm Butler, RB Corey Clement, WR Robbie Anderson and many others.

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2018 NFL Draft: Which Quarterback Will Be Best Pro?

Quarterbacks are always at a premium in the NFL Draft. Teams reach for signal callers every single year. Some years work out great (2004) and some years are a disaster (2007).

Thanks to the NFL Rookie Wage Scale, teams have jumped at the chance of getting a possible franchise-changing quarterback in the early first round at a discount. Teams have traded huge hauls and mortgaged their future by trading up for a quarterback. The Redskins gave the Rams a large package of picks for Robert Griffin III (which didn’t work out long-term) and the Eagles gave the Browns a litany of future picks for Carson Wentz (too early to call).

The 2018 NFL Draft quarterback class is being touted as one of the best in many years. There are four quarterbacks that could be taken within the first five picks. Which one will be the best pro?

Here is our somewhat novice look at which quarterback in the 2018 NFL Draft class will be the best pro.

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2017 NCAA Football – Week 14 Betting Picks Against Spread

I bounced back last week after a disastrous Week 12 and hit on some big games and a couple upset moneylines.

I went ahead and picked every single games this weekend. Conference Championship games are on the schedule as well as some smaller school games.

Many of the conference championship games are rematches from games that happened early in the season. That is not always the case, so we have some data to study. Study with caution since a lot has changed since the previous game and it’s also pretty hard to beat a team twice-in-a-row.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick every college football games against the spread in Week 14 of the NCAA Football season (December 2nd, 2017). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2017 NCAA Football – Week 13 Betting Picks Against Spread

Your boy had a really rough week. I missed on a couple embarrassing blowouts, injuries hurt two games and weather was a huge factor. I thought weather would miss some of these games, but nope, the middle of the country was just pounded by rain and poor playing conditions.

It’s officially rivalry week. The country’s biggest programs face their rivals this week. These games have a reputation for being closer than normal games, but it’s not an ‘end all, be all’ rule one must obey. Good teams still blow out their rivals on a consistent basis. There is always at least one big upset to keep the attitude of ‘throw the record books out when these two teams meet’ alive.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 30 college football games against the spread in Week 13 of the NCAA Football season (November 25th, 2017). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2017 NCAA Football – Week 12 Betting Picks Against Spread

I finished 19-10-1 last week. My strategy of staying away from Pac 12 games paid off. I did end up picking one…and lost. I don’t know what it is about that conference, but I have little confidence in my handicapping ability in the Pac 12 this season. I’ve done very well with the conference in the past, but I (sort of) know when to throw in the towel. I STILL ended up picking a Pac 12 game again this week…I just couldn’t help myself.

Last week’s experiment of picking 30 games worked in my favor. I picked an additional five games this week as well. It made my attempt at avoiding the Pac 12 rather difficult.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 30 college football games against the spread in Week 12 of the NCAA Football season (November 18th, 2017). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2017 NCAA Football – Week 11 Betting Picks Against Spread

I finished 13-11-1 last week.

I’ve struggled picking Pac 12 games this season. I need to avoid that conference for at least one week. I tend to jump on the road teams when they are large underdogs. Pac 12 teams have been pretty darn good at home since conference play started. I still picked a couple Pac 12 games this week, but way less than usual.

I decided to add five more games this week. There were some ACC and Big Ten games that I really liked, so it wasn’t too much extra work.

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 30 college football games against the spread in Week 11 of the NCAA Football season (November 11th, 2017). We also pick some smaller conference games.

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2017 NCAA Football – Week 9 Betting Picks Against Spread

Your boy had another .500 week, actually a game above that mark. I nailed nearly every marquee game, but my smaller school bets didn’t go very well. This is the opposite of how it usually goes for me. In my years of betting on college football, I’ve made most of my money betting small schools. I can usually find value there, something that is rarely ever there in SEC or Big Ten games.

There are some big rivalry games this weekend. The biggest is #3 Penn State traveling to Columbus to take on Ohio State. Can the Buckeyes ruin Penn State’s perfect season? Can they cover the -6.5 spread in a big pressure game?

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 9 of the NCAA Football season (October 28th, 2017). We pick some smaller conference games.

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