Category Archives: Kansas City Chiefs

Betting Picks: 2021 NFL Over/Under Season Wins

The NFL added an extra game to their regular season schedule and teams will now play seventeen games. It makes the over/under win totals a little extra tricky.

These win total prop bets have been out there for months now, but I wanted to see the final 53-man rosters for every team before I made my picks.

This year’s strong rookie quarterback class made this offseason more interesting than most. It’s hard for a team to sit a first-round quarterback these days. The life-cycle of a front office is shorter than ever, so these general managers want to see their rookie QBs make them look smart.

Will the Rams or Lions benefit the most from their quarterback swap?

Continue reading →

Super Bowl 55 – Betting Picks Against Spread & Prop Bets

Super Bowl 55 is this Sunday and it’s a prop bets smorgasbord.

I LOVE prop bets. I actually get more joy out of betting Super Bowl prop bets than betting against the spread. Yes, most are a crap shoot, but with the right research, you can end up winning bets with very favorable odds.

I’m not saying you can research who will win the coin toss, but there are many other player and team prop bets out there that have nice odds.

Some prop bets aren’t worth the money (the juice isn’t worth the slight risk), but sometimes you just have to lay a few bucks down, cross your fingers and wish for the best.

I picked out some of the most popular prop bets for Super Bowl 55 (or Super Bowl LV for Roman numeral fans)…and we also pick the game against the spread.

Continue reading →

2021 NFL Conference Championship – Betting Picks Against Spread

These are the most-competitive NFL Conference Championship games in a long, long time.

Even though both point spreads are just a field goal, they will be very different games. The Bucs vs Packers game will pit two Super Bowl-winning, veteran quarterbacks against each other. The Bills vs Chiefs game have two young quarterbacks that could meet each other in the postseason many times this decade.

Will Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes recover from last week’s concussion and play against the Bills?

Can Bucs QB Tom Brady cover against the Packers and earn another Super Bowl appearance?

Continue reading →

2021 NFL Divisional Playoff Games – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 6-5-1 against the spread and with over/under point totals last week.

We are back to a four-game playoff schedule this week. It’s unfortunate that we won’t have an extra game on Nickelodeon this week. I really enjoyed their presentation of the Bears/Saints game on Sunday.

The Packers and Chiefs will be fresh this week since they benefitted from the revised playoff schedule this season. They were the only two teams in the NFL that had a first-round bye this year.

There is a lot of experience at quarterback in this year’s divisional round, but we do have some young quarterbacks like Baker Mayfield, Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, who were still playing in college just a couple years ago.

Can Drew Brees cover against Tom Brady this week?

Continue reading →

2020 NFL Week 15 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 11-5 against the spread last week.

I was actually 8-1 against the spread at one point, but the late games on Sunday afternoon/evening made the record a little less remarkable. I’m still happy with the overall outcome. I also benefitted from the late safety in the Ravens/Browns game.

There are a handful of double-digit point spreads this week. We have been able to avoid a lot of those this year, but December is always filled with some lopsided point spreads, so it is expected at this point.

Can the Dolphins cover the spread at home against the Patriots?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 15 of the 2020 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2020 NFL Week 12 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 6-8 against the spread last week.

This was my first week that I went under .500 this season. I had a rough stretch of afternoon games that really tanked my record for the week.

The Steelers/Ravens game was going to be the best game on Thanksgiving (by far), but due to Baltimore’s COVID-19 outbreak, it was moved to the early game schedule on Sunday.

Can I get another clean Thanksgiving sweep against the spread?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 12 of the 2020 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2020 NFL Week 11 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-4-3 against the spread last week.

There have been some COVID-19 activity this week. There have been a few teams that have transferred players to the COVID-19 reserve list. The Las Vegas Raiders could miss many key players on defense this week.

The marquee game this week is the Los Angeles Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers game on Monday Night Football.

How will Tom Brady fare against the Rams stout defense?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 11 of the 2020 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2020 NFL Week 9 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-7 against the spread last week.

I was able to make a comeback last week after having a rough stretch in the early games, but nearly ran the table the rest of Sunday.

There are some COVID-19 issues on the Ravens right now, but they think it’s under control. They added seven to the COVID-19 reserve list. They haven’t had any positive tests since.

A few teams are dealing with quarterback injuries and we will see two new faces starting this week for the Cowboys and Jaguars.

How will Jaguars rookie QB Jake Luton fare against the Texans?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 9 of the 2020 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2020 NFL Week 8 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-7 against the spread last week.

There were a ton of games that came down to the final play of the game to ruin covers. The last-second Lions win and a late missed extra-point in the Browns/Bengals game ruined a lot of bets.

There currently aren’t any games in jeopardy due to COVID-19 positive tests right now. It’s only Wednesday, so things could change since positivity rates have increased all around the country.

Will the Steelers fare well against QB Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 8 of the 2020 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2020 NFL Week 7 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-6 against the spread last week.

As of Wednesday night, it looks like all these games are set to be played at their scheduled time. We haven’t seen as many positive COVID-19 tests this week, but considering the entire country has seen a sharp increase, we could see some before Sunday’s slate of games.

The marquee game this week appears to be the Pittsburgh Steelers versus Tennessee Titans contest. The Titans have had a string of marquee games and they’ve came out on top in all of them so far. Can they hold off Pittsburgh on Sunday?

Can Jimmy Garoppolo lead the Niners to a cover in New England?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 7 of the 2020 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2020 NFL Week 6 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-6 against the spread last week.

We are starting to get an firm grasp on which teams are potential playoff teams and which teams look like they could be headed in the ‘Tank for Trevor Lawrence’ direction.

We don’t have a Thursday night game this week, but we have two games Monday evening. They moved the game since the Bills played on Tuesday and it would have been insane if they were forced to play just two days later.

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers heads to Tampa Bay on Sunday to face QB Tom Brady. Can the Bucs give the Packers their first loss?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 6 of the 2020 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2020 NFL Week 5 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-7 against the spread last week.

Last week, we had one cancelled game due to COVID-19 and it was rescheduled. The later these COVID-19 cancellations happen, the harder it will be to find a proper date to reschedule the game.

We aren’t free from more potential cancelled games this week. There are two games that are currently ‘off the board’ as of late Wednesday night. If those games aren’t cancelled, I will have picks up once the lines are available.

Can Chargers rookie QB Justin Herbert cover against the spread on Monday Night Football?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 5 of the 2020 NFL season.

Continue reading →