I went 9-7 in the fourth week of the 2026 NFL season.

I finally got my first dub against the spread on a Thursday night game this year. It was long overdue.

Not that we are roughly a quarter of the season under out belts, we are starting to see which teams are better than expected – and some stinkers. The Jaguars have been a nice surprise so far. They have been a streaky team in the past. Let’s hope they can keep this up.

Can the Atlanta Falcons stay hot at home against the Baltimore Ravens?

We pick almost every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 5 of the 2026 NFL season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys (-9.5) – My pick is Dallas Cowboys -9.5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars (-7.5) – My pick is Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (+1.5) – My pick is Chicago Bears -1.5

New York Giants at Washington Commanders (-3.5) – My pick is Washington Commanders -3.5

Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins (+6.5) – My pick is Cincinnati Bengals -6.5

Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots (-3.5) – My pick is Las Vegas Raiders +3.5

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5) – My pick is Indianapolis Colts +2.5

Cleveland Browns at New York Jets (-1.5) – My pick is Cleveland Browns +1.5

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints (+2.5) – My pick is Minnesota Vikings -2.5

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (+7.5) – My pick is Houston Texans -7.5

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (+3.5) – My pick is Denver Broncos -3.5

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) – My pick is San Francisco 49ers +3.5

Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals (+4.5) – My pick is Detroit Lions -4.5

Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) – My pick is Baltimore Ravens +2.5

Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams (-2.5) – My pick is Los Angeles Rams -2.5

*These picks are for entertainment purposes

Sweetbob’s NFL picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
2013: 133-95-10
2014: 131-114-9
2015: 150-108-9
2016: 143-120-13
2017: 144-115-16
2018: 141-118-13
2019: 159-119-7
2020: 152-121-8
2021: 155-129-6
2022: 148-133-8
2023: 132-116-6
2024: 158-120-8
2025: 117-117-5
2026: 31-33-0

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About the Author…

Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on X at @Sweetbob