Category Archives: buffalo bills

2018 NFL Week 6 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-7-1 against the spread last week.

I nearly had a heart attack after whiffing on most of the early games last week. I came back and made it back to even after nailing the late games and the Monday night game.

I decided to focus on home underdogs this week. They have been paying pretty well this year and I’ve missed on some this year. I’ve also been underrating defense. It’s easy to do since there are so many excellent offenses in the NFL.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 6 of the 2018 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2018 NFL Week 4 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-9 last week and missed two games by a half-point. I was also surprised by the Bills/Vikings and Jaguars/Titans outcomes. I did not have a very good overall week. I guess it should have been expected in a week with a ton of -3 games. It was going to be a difficult week to handicap.

This is another week with plenty close games. There are also some home underdogs worth keeping an eye on.

There are a handful of new quarterbacks starting this week. Rookie quarterbacks Baker Mayfield and Josh Rosen make their first starts and Niners second-year QB C.J. Beathard takes over for injured Jimmy Garoppolo.

Will any of the new faces make an impact for their teams?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 4 of the 2018 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2017 NFL Week 17 – Betting Picks Against Spread

Week 16 was a rough one for us. We took a couple risks that didn’t pay off. I honestly thought the Browns would play much better against the Bears and that the Lions would show up to play against the lowly Bengals.

Week 17 is full of landmines since some last-minute changes could mean players end up resting and taking the week off. Keep track of possible playoff outcomes and what their head coaches are saying this week.

Every game this week is on Sunday, so this could be a rare time to completely waste your money and put a few jellybeans on a 16-team parlay…which would have odds somewhere in-between astronomical and impossible. I don’t recommend anyone ever do this unless it’s a gag and is only a few bucks.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 17 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2017 NFL Week 16 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 10-3-3 last week in an extraordinary week with favorite-heavy covers.

I really, really hate double-digit point spreads in the NFL…but they are unavoidable at this time of the year.

Vegas is really sticking it to bettors this week since nearly every favorite won last week and they have to make their money back.

There isn’t a Thursday game this week, so I delayed my post by a day. I was surprised all the betting lines were on the board since Week 16 and 17 games are often last-minute adds with injuries and other roster changes evaluated through the week.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 16 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2017 NFL Week 12 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I had a pretty sad all around betting experience last weekend. I was rocked in college football and was just so-so in the NFL. I hit on a nice parlay that saved the weekend.

I’ve historically done very well on Thanksgiving. I’ve went a perfect three-for-three in many years. I can’t promise that will happen this season as Thursday games are the bane of my existence. It’s becoming a gimmick at this point.

There are quite a few double-digit point spreads this week. We will see more and more of those as teams start to drop out of playoff contention.

Can I win a damn Thursday game? Let’s do this!

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 12 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2017 NFL Week 9 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I had a solid week picking NFL games against the spread last week. I went 9-4, but totally whiffed on the Thursday game (again). Miami ended up playing one of the worst games this season.

There are thirteen games on the schedule again with six teams on bye. There are only two more weeks of byes and then we are back to a full 16-game schedule.

The slate of games last week was very enjoyable. I especially loved the Seattle/Houston game. Hell, the Colts/Bengals game was even unexpectedly close in the final minutes.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 9 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2017 NFL Fantasy Football Start/Sit – Week 9

Another week with six teams on bye. We only have to deal with byes for two more weeks. The last two weeks have been crazy since so many elite fantasy players have had the week off.

Chicago, Cleveland, L.A. Chargers, Minnesota, New England and Pittsburgh are off this week. You will need to find replacements for studs like Steelers WR Antonio Brown and Patriots QB Tom Brady.

Here is our Fantasy Football Sit/Start for Week 9 of the 2017 NFL season…and enjoy our ~~weird~~ magnificent MS Paint masterpiece of Bills QB Tyrod Taylor.

I want to explain what I mean by “sit” and “start.” Of course you are going to start some of the guys i say to bench this week, because you probably used high draft picks or a lot of money in an auction for them. My ‘sit’ players are guys I am just not completely sold that they will have good weeks. If you have a guy that you are on the fence about, maybe this will help you pick between the players.

Continue reading →

2017 NFL Week 8 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 7-6-2 against the spread last week. I am due for a big week and hopefully it happens this week.

There are thirteen games on the schedule with six teams on bye.

Last week’s slate of games were kind of disappointing. There were a lot of games I was excited to see, but there were too many non-competitive games for my taste.

There are some whopper double-digit spreads this week. There’s even one in the London game, which could be a tough cover for the Vikings.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 8 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2017 NFL Week 4 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 9-7 last week against the spread.

As many of you know, I’m a Colts fan. I’m often quite overly negative and pessimistic about the team. I’m not happy that Andrew Luck will miss this marquee game against the Seahawks on Sunday Night Football. Russell Wilson and Luck has only faced each other one other time and it may be a few more years until they play each other again.

When Luck had his shoulder surgery, I never heard a single word that the recovery would eat into the regular season. It wasn’t until the Summer and we heard that hey may not be ready for the start of the season and now it looks like he may be out another few weeks. It just blows that we have to see Jacoby Brissett in Luck’s spot in what I expect to be a blowout.

Can Cam Newton break out of his slump and upset the reigning Super Bowl champions?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 4 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2017 NFL Week 2 – Betting Picks Against Spread

After missing two games by a half-point this weekend, I went 10-5 against the spread. I can’t be too sore about the half-point misses cause the ball will fall in my corner at some point this season. I still had a good week.

Week 1 had a lot of new faces making an impact. Marshawn Lynch was trucking defensive lineman for Oakland after sitting out last season. Rookies like Chiefs RB Kareem Hunt also stole the show.

There are so many good games this week. Vegas doesn’t even know what to do with a lot of these games. They gave way too many games point spreads in-between 4 and 5.5.

Will we see more blowouts like the Rams 46-9 win over the Colts?

How many of these gaudy double-digit point spreads will cover?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 2 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2017 NFL Week 1 – Betting Picks Against Spread

It’s finally time to start picking NFL games against the spread!

A lot of playoff teams from last year come into this year with either relatively the same roster, or even better. Not many of the top teams are expected to fall out of the playoff race this season. The rich got richer this offseason, especially the New England Patriots.

A few rookies are already in impact roles like Deshone Kizer who was named the starting quarterback in Cleveland and players like Myles Garrett, Leonard Fournette and Christian McCaffrey should make an impact in Week 1 of the season.

Can Aaron Rodgers defeat Russell Wilson for a third time in a row?

Will the Colts get blown out in Los Angeles without Andrew Luck?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 1 of the 2017 NFL season.

Continue reading →

2016 NFL Week 17 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I finished 9-7 last week and suffered a few bad beats. I want to end the regular season with a strong week, but Week 17 is usually a crap shoot.

I’ve spent the last couple days battling a horrible flu. I did have a chance to study who may sit Week 17. I also explain which teams still have something to play for this Sunday.

A lot of weird stuff happens during the last week of the season. We are almost guaranteed to have some receiver or running back have 200+ yards or some backup quarterback pull a ‘Matt Flynn’ and throw for a ton of yards. Can Raiders backup QB Matt McGloin be this year’s Week 17 surprise?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 17 of the 2016 NFL season.

Continue reading →