Category Archives: Baltimore Ravens

Is the Longer Extra-Point Hurting NFL Bettors?

The NFL moved their extra-point try back to a 33-yard attempt before the 2015 season. They first tried it during the preseason and found that moving it back gave the game a little extra drama that extra-points lacked. Also, kickers weren’t having any trouble connecting with the point after touchdown, the move wasn’t expected to have much more than just the appearance of drama.

Fans and NFL officials realized that kickers were becoming too darn good. Not only were kickers rarely missing extra points, but field goal success rate beyond 45 yards was at an all-time high. You would think that moving back extra-points to the 15-yard line wouldn’t be a huge change, but kickers started to miss them more than expected.

Through eight weeks of football, there have been 32 missed extra-points. In Week 8 alone, there were five missed, two in the Bengals/Bucs game on Sunday.

With all the missed extra-points the last three-and-a-half years, has the new rule cost bettors a win from what used to be a gimme point?

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2018 NFL Week 8 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 8-5-1 against the spread last week.

I started out 0-2 against the spread, but went 8-2-1 after the London game ended on Sunday. I really needed that.

It might be time to abandon a team or jump on the bandwagon on a team that has struggled against the spread. Market corrections are coming soon for some of these teams.

Can Jacksonville QB Blake Bortles make a huge turnaround and keep his starting job? He will need a huge performance in London.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 8 of the 2018 NFL season.

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2018 NFL Week 2 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I started the year off on a good note by going 9-6-1 against the spread in Week 1.

Not only did some teams surprise everyone (Jets & Bucs), but there were some nice underdog moneylines that paid out.

We didn’t get out of Week 1 without dealing with some injuries. RB Leonard Fournette, WR Doug Baldwin and TE Delanie Walker all may miss multiple weeks due to injuries. It’s important to keep an eye on injury reports early in the year. There are some big names on there this week.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 2 of the 2018 NFL season.

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2018 NFL Week 1 – Betting Picks Against Spread

Were you one of those guys who bet on NFL preseason games?

I get it. You were excited to wager on football again and just jumped the gun a little. It’s now time to bet on some games that count!

We had a pretty good year betting on NFL games last year. We went 144-115-16 and hit on a few underdog moneylines to come out in the black for the season.

There are a ton of new quarterbacks making their first starts for their new teams this weekend. Veteran quarterbacks like Kirk Cousins, Alex Smith and Sam Bradford hope to lead their new teams to successful seasons. Also, quarterbacks Andrew Luck, Deshaun Watson and Ryan Tannehill return from injuries. Which quarterback will make the biggest impact in Week 1?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 1 of the 2018 NFL season.

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2017 NFL Week 17 – Betting Picks Against Spread

Week 16 was a rough one for us. We took a couple risks that didn’t pay off. I honestly thought the Browns would play much better against the Bears and that the Lions would show up to play against the lowly Bengals.

Week 17 is full of landmines since some last-minute changes could mean players end up resting and taking the week off. Keep track of possible playoff outcomes and what their head coaches are saying this week.

Every game this week is on Sunday, so this could be a rare time to completely waste your money and put a few jellybeans on a 16-team parlay…which would have odds somewhere in-between astronomical and impossible. I don’t recommend anyone ever do this unless it’s a gag and is only a few bucks.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 17 of the 2017 NFL season.

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2017 NFL Fantasy Football Start/Sit – Week 17

It’s officially CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK! I know some leagues ended last week, but those leagues are lame. A team has to really go the extra effort to win if the championship game includes Week 17.

Week 17 can often be extremely difficult to navigate since teams take out their stars if they have nothing to play for and there are sometimes unreal performances from young, hungry players that are playing for big contracts this coming offseason. It’s just a weird week and a team should have to play this week to deserve the title as ‘fantasy football champion.’

Here is our Fantasy Football Sit/Start for Week 17 of the 2017 NFL season…and enjoy our strange MS Paint masterpiece of Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles.

I want to explain what I mean by “sit” and “start.” Of course you are going to start some of the guys i say to bench this week, because you probably used high draft picks or a lot of money in an auction for them. My ‘sit’ players are guys I am just not completely sold that they will have good weeks. If you have a guy that you are on the fence about, maybe this will help you pick between the players.

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2017 NFL Week 16 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 10-3-3 last week in an extraordinary week with favorite-heavy covers. 

I really, really hate double-digit point spreads in the NFL…but they are unavoidable at this time of the year.

Vegas is really sticking it to bettors this week since nearly every favorite won last week and they have to make their money back.

There isn’t a Thursday game this week, so I delayed my post by a day. I was surprised all the betting lines were on the board since Week 16 and 17 games are often last-minute adds with injuries and other roster changes evaluated through the week.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 16 of the 2017 NFL season.

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2017 NFL Week 15 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I went 10-6 last week, but thought I was going have an even better week. I thought I was well on my way to one of my upset moneyline picks paying off, but the Browns coughed up the game. I probably jinxed it since I was already counting my money…then saw the update during the Colts/Bills snowball fight

There are few too many double-digit point spreads this week. It’s common this time of the year, but was spoiled last week with a lot of competitive betting lines.

A couple teams have injury issues at quarterback and will need to rely on backups to keep them in the playoff race.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 15 of the 2017 NFL season.

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2017 NFL Week 14 – Betting Picks Against Spread

Even though I missed the Thursday game (again), I still finished the week 9-5-2. I forgot to update last week’s post since there wasn’t a line for last week’s Tampa Bay game at the time I wrote the post. I marked it up as a tie, just to keep things on track with past year-to-year win totals. 

I missed on a few underdogs with both the Browns and Seahawks performing better than the lines would suggest.

There are a lot of close point spreads this week. There is only one double-digit game and the rest are at or under a touchdown. This could be a difficult week to handicap.

Another speed bump we must navigate is the fact that the lion’s share of the games aren’t division games, so they are first-time meetings.

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 14 of the 2017 NFL season.

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2017 NFL Week 12 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I had a pretty sad all around betting experience last weekend. I was rocked in college football and was just so-so in the NFL. I hit on a nice parlay that saved the weekend.

I’ve historically done very well on Thanksgiving. I’ve went a perfect three-for-three in many years. I can’t promise that will happen this season as Thursday games are the bane of my existence. It’s becoming a gimmick at this point.

There are quite a few double-digit point spreads this week. We will see more and more of those as teams start to drop out of playoff contention.

Can I win a damn Thursday game? Let’s do this!

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 12 of the 2017 NFL season.

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2017 NFL Week 11 – Betting Picks Against Spread

I managed to not take a loss last Thursday…because it was a push. I hate Thursday games and I’ve pulled out my hair watching those games. They are just poorly played and have been difficult to handicap.

I finished last week .500, but it’s time to have a big week. I feel pretty good about the lines this week. There’s only one double-digit point spread, which is pretty rare this late in the season.

There are fourteen games on the schedule for the last week. There will be sixteen games a week starting next weekend.

Can the Patriots (-6.5) cover on the West Coast?

We pick ever NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 11 of the 2017 NFL season.

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2017 NFL Fantasy Football Start/Sit – Week 11

This is the last week of byes, so it’s now time to start figuring out your rosters for the rest of the season. Streaming is still a viable option going forward because you’re still going to have some bad match-ups, especially with defenses and kickers. A roster should always be fluid, but after this week, you’re going to have 80% of your roster set in stone.

Carolina, Indianapolis, NY Jets and San Francisco are off this week. You will need to find replacements for studs like Panthers QB Cam Newton and Colts WR T.Y. Hilton.

Here is our Fantasy Football Sit/Start for Week 11 of the 2017 NFL season…and enjoy our oddball triumphant MS Paint masterpiece of New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara.

I want to explain what I mean by “sit” and “start.” Of course you are going to start some of the guys i say to bench this week, because you probably used high draft picks or a lot of money in an auction for them. My ‘sit’ players are guys I am just not completely sold that they will have good weeks. If you have a guy that you are on the fence about, maybe this will help you pick between the players.

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