I went 4-0 against the spread last week).

Last week’s slate of playoff games weren’t as good as the Wild Card week, but it was still a lot of fun.

Three of these four teams appeared in the conference championship last year. The Bengals and Chiefs met last year (with the Bengals winning outright) and the Niners make an appearance for the second season in-a-row. The Eagles find themselves in new territory as they got good in a hurry under first-year head coach Nick Sirianni.

We pick both NFL Conference Championship games against the spread and over/under point totals.

Since there are only two games this weekend, as a bonus I will also pick the over/under for each game.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-1) – over/under (47.5) – My pick is Cincinnati Bengals and OVER

The Bengals are 14-4 outright and 13-4-1 against the spread. They are coming off a 27-10 road win over the Bills. QB Joe Burrow continues to be solid in the postseason, but I was more impressed with RB Joe Mixon. The Bengals are a crazy dangerous team when they can get a running game going…and they did it against a stout Bills front-seven.

The Chiefs are 15-3 outright and 5-12-1 against the spread. They are coming off a 27-20 home win over the Jaguars. QB Patrick Mahones suffered a high-ankle sprain in the win. He had to miss a drive, but came back to finish the game. I thought RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire would have been activated last week, but he didn’t suit up.

The Chiefs have been an awful betting this year. They’ve been winning game outright, but failing to cover spreads. This betting line is just a single point, but I feel like there’s still no value in it. I’d rather take the Bengals moneyline in this game. I’m taking the points and the OVER.

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) – over/under (46.5) – My pick is San Francisco 49ers and OVER

The Niners are 15-4 outright and 13-6 against the spread. They are coming off a 19-12 home win over the Cowboys. The win wasn’t in line with the margin of victory they’ve been racking up since midseason. They couldn’t find the end zone and needed four field goals from Robbie Gould to secure the win. As long as rookie QB Brock Purdy keeps finding TE George Kittle, he will be just fine.

The Eagles are 15-3 outright and 9-9 against the spread. They are coming off a 38-7 home win over the Giants. It was out-of-hand early and the Eagles just coasted to the finish line. QB Jalen Hurts was able to hand the ball off 35+ times and didn’t take many hits. The defense showed up and the lead forced the Giants into attempting way too many passes.

It’s really hard to bet against the Niners right now. I suppose the clock may have struck midnight and Purdy could turn into a pumpkin, but I’ll be riding the hot hand. The Eagles are a very good team and this should be a close game. I’m taking the points and the OVER.

*These picks are for entertainment purposes

Sweetbob’s NFL picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
2013: 133-95-10
2014: 131-114-9
2015: 150-108-9
2016: 143-120-13
2017: 144-115-16
2018: 141-118-13
2019: 159-119-7
2020: 152-121-8
2021: 155-129-6
2022: 147-132-8

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About the Author…

Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob