I went 6-6 against the spread last week (and over/under picks).
We have a slate of four games this weekend and the point spreads predict that all four games should be pretty close, as all of them are under a touchdown.
The Tennessee Titans and Green Bay Packers had first-round byes and come into this week healthier. It looks like they could get some key players back from long absences. The biggest name would be Titans RB Derrick Henry, who led the league in rushing when he went down with a foot injury.
Can the Cincinnati Bengals upset the Titans?
We pick every NFL Divisional Playoff game against the spread and over/under point totals.
Since there are only four games this weekend, as a bonus I will also pick the over/under for each game.
Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans (-3.5) – over/under (47) – My pick is Cincinnati Bengals and UNDER
The Bengals are 11-7 outright and against the spread. They are coming off a 26-19 home win over the Raiders. It was a sloppy game with poor officiating. The Raiders defense held up against the run, but didn’t have an answer for WR Ja’Marr Chase. The Titans are 11-7 outright and 10-7 against the spread this season. They are coming off their bye week and will have RB Derrick Henry back for this game. Their offense struggled without him, but I doubt he’s 100% right now. This should be a close game and I’m taking the points. Also, I don’t think they will hit the 47-point mark, so I’m taking the under.
San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (-6) – over/under (47.5) – My pick is Green Bay Packers and UNDER
The Niners are 11-7 outright and 10-8 against the spread. They are coming off a 23-17 road win over the Cowboys. San Francisco was the better team last week, but the Cowboys nearly pulled off the comeback. Dallas just didn’t show up in the first-half of the game. The Packers are 13-4 outright and 12-5 against the spread this season. They are coming off a bye and could have CB Jaire Alexander and LB Za’Darius Smith back for this game. Alexander played great early in the season, but has been out for a long time with a shoulder injury. I don’t expect the Niners to put up many points if the Packers can get either of these players back. I’m taking the Packers to cover and I’m going with the under.
Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) – over/under (48.5) – My pick is Tampa Bay Buccaneers and OVER
The Rams are 13-5 outright and 9-9 against the spread. They are coming off a 34-11 home win over the Cardinals. Arizona hasn’t been a great team in the second-half of the season. The Rams were able move the ball on Arizona with ease. The Rams defense put a lot of pressure on Cardinals QB Kyler Murray. The Bucs are 14-4 outright and 10-8 against the spread this season. They are coming off a 31-15 home win over the Eagles. It wasn’t a competitive game as Tampa Bay had this game in hand by halftime. I think Tampa Bay may have found some depth in the backfield with a healthy Giovani Bernard and Ke’Shawn Vaughn. They really stepped up after running backs Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones II both went down. I think this could be a shoot-out. It’s really hard to bet against Tom Brady in the playoffs. I’m taking the Bucs to cover and give me the over.
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (-2) – over/under (54.5) – My pick is Buffalo Bills and UNDER
The Bills are 12-6 outright and 10-6-2 against the spread. They are coming off a 47-17 blowout home win over the Patriots. Buffalo had this game won by halftime and took away the Patriots running game. Patriots rookie QB Mac Jones isn’t good enough to carry postseason games, yet. The Chiefs are 13-5 outright and 9-9 against the spread. They are coming off a 42-21 home win over the Steelers. They were favored by double-digits and the outcome was not surprising. The Steelers was arguably the worst playoff team and the Chiefs took care of business. This should be a fun game to watch. The Bills struggled mid-season, but they are playing their best football at the right time. I think they will upset the Chiefs and I’m taking the under.
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Sweetbob’s NFL picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
2013: 133-95-10
2014: 131-114-9
2015: 150-108-9
2016: 143-120-13
2017: 144-115-16
2018: 141-118-13
2019: 159-119-7
2020: 152-121-8
20210: 148-124-6
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About the Author…
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob