I went 8-6 against the spread last week. 

I only had one loss after the early games on Sunday, but the late games really destroyed my hopes of a huge week. I did hit a nice Lions moneyline play which kept me in the black this weekend.

The primetime games on Sunday and Monday nights are great. The Bills/Bucs and Rams/Cardinals games will have playoff implications. 

Can the Washington Football Team win their fifth game in-a-row and cover against the Cowboys?

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 14 of the 2021 NFL season.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) – My pick is Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers are 6-5-1 outright and 5-7 against the spread this season. They are coming off a 20-19 home win against the Ravens. They scored 17 points in the fourth quarter after playing poorly through the first three. The Ravens tried to go for two to take the lead with 12 seconds left, but they failed to convert. The Vikings are 5-7 outright and 6-6 against the spread. They are coming off a 29-27 road loss to the then-winless Lions. It was an embarrassing loss on paper, but the Lions were better than your normal winless team. They lost WR Adam Thielen injured his ankle in the game and will most likely be without him this week. The Steelers have their own injury issues, but it looks like QB Ben Roethlisberger (shoulder) and WR Chase Claypool (toe) will be available on Thursday as they were a participated in practice today. The Vikings offense isn’t the same without RB Dalvin Cook and Thielen and will have trouble covering, so I’m taking the points.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Football Team (+4) – My pick is Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys are 8-4 outright and 9-3 against the spread. They are coming off a 27-17 road win against the Saints on Thursday. They were able to run the ball well against New Orleans and their defense forced QB Taysom Hill to throw four interceptions. Washington is 6-6 outright and 5-7 against the spread. They are coming off a 17-15 road win against the Raiders. Washington has now won four games in a row and have covered them all (they were underdogs in all of those games). Their defense has stepped up and their running game has helped QB Taylor Heinicke move the ball. Other than their win over the Bucs, they’ve beaten some struggling teams. I wouldn’t categorize the Cowboys as struggling, especially now that all their stars are healthy. I’m taking the Cowboys to cover on the road.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-8.5) – My pick is Tennessee Titans

The Jaguars are 2-10 outright and 4-8 against the spread. They are coming off a 37-3 road loss to the Rams. They haven’t scored more than 17 points in a game since mid-October. Their offense is broken and honestly, their defense is just going through the motions. The Titans are 8-4 outright and 7-5 against the spread this season. They are coming off their bye week, and in their previous game, they lost to the Patriots 36-13. Titans QB Ryan Tannehill has struggled without RB Derrick Henry, but I think they might have something in RB Dontrell Hilliard. They will rebound from their losing streak and cover against the struggling Jaguars.

Seattle Seahawks at Houston Texans (+7.5) – My pick is Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks are 4-8 outright and 6-6 against the spread. They are coming off a 30-23 home win against the Niners. It was the first game since QB Russell Wilson returned that he looked like his former self. He was able to throw it farther down the fields and it helped. The Texans are 2-10 outright and 5-7 against the spread this season. They are coming off a 31-0 home loss to the Colts. Texans QB Tyrod Taylor injured his wrist in the loss and it appears that QB Davis Mills will most likely be the starter on Sunday. I like what I saw from Wilson last week and I’m taking the Seahawks to cover on the road.

Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5) – My pick is Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders are 6-6 outright and 5-7 against the spread. They are coming off a 17-15 home loss to Washington. The Raiders have been a below average team since the Henry Ruggs incident. They’ve had one shining moment with their win on Thanksgiving, but that looks like an aberration. The Chiefs are 8-4 outright and 5-7 against the spread this season. They are coming off a 22-9 home win against the Broncos. Kansas City is on a five-game winning stream (3-2 ATS). Their defense has played a lot better, even if their offense isn’t breaking records right now. The Chiefs beat the Raiders 41-14 last month, but I don’t see it being as big of a blowout this time. The Chiefs will most likely win, but I think the Raiders score in garbage-time to keep it within the spread.

New Orleans Saints at New York Jets (+5.5) – My pick is New Orleans Saints

The Saints are 5-7 outright and against the spread. They are coming off a 27-17 home loss to the Cowboys on Thursday. They are on a five-game losing streak (1-4 ATS). They’ve struggled with injuries and their offense has been broken for most of their futility streak. The Jets are 3-9 outright and against the spread this season. They are coming off a 33-18 home loss to the Eagles. They just couldn’t stop Eagles backup QB Gardner Minshew when it counted. Also, Jets QB Zach Wilson wasn’t impressive in the game. The Jets struggle against the run and the Saints and Saints QB Taysom Hill could be a problem for them. I’m taking the Saints to cover in New York.

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (-3) – My pick is Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons are 5-7 outright and against the spread this season. They are coming off a 30-17 home loss to the Buccaneers. The game was close at the half, but Tampa Bay was dominant on defense in the second-half. Falcons QB Matt Ryan was efficient, but he wasn’t able to close out drives. The Panthers are 5-7 outright and against the spread. They are coming off they bye week, and in their previous game, they were beaten by the Dolphins 33-10. They lost RB Christian McCaffrey (ankle) for the season and they fired their offensive coordinator during their bye week. QB Cam Newton wasn’t good in their loss to the Dolphins and I worry that he may not be long for the starting job. I’m taking the points in this game.

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (-2.5) – My pick is Cleveland Browns

The Ravens are 8-4 outright and 5-7 against the spread. They are coming off a 20-19 road loss to the Steelers. They tried to go for two after they scored a touchdown late, but failed to convert it. Head coach John Harbaugh said that he went for two to try to win the game because he didn’t think he had a healthy cornerback left. They lost CB Marlon Humphrey (pectoral) for the season and a few others are banged up. The Browns are 6-6 outright and 5-7 against the spread this season. They are coming off their bye week, and in their previous game, they lost to the Ravens 16-10…so this rematch is happening QUICK. The Ravens are missing some key players on defense now and Browns QB Baker Mayfield had an extra week to help heal his ailments. I’m taking the Browns to cover.

New York Giants at Los Angeles Chargers (-10.5) – My pick is Los Angeles Chargers

The Giants are 4-8 outright and 6-6 against the spread. They are coming off a 20-9 road loss to the Dolphins. They were without starting QB Daniel Jones in the game and had to start QB Mike Glennon. They could be down to their third-stringer this week as Glennon suffered a concussion in the loss. Who is next on the depth chart? Former Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm. Also, the Giants have one of the longest injury reports I’ve seen in recent memory, so they could be in trouble. The Chargers are 7-5 outright and 6-6 against the spread. They are coming off a 41-22 road win over the Bengals. Chargers QB Justin Herbert threw for 317 yard and three touchdowns in the win. Their defense sacked Bengals QB Joe Burrow six times in the win. The Chargers are healthy and should cover this double-digit spread against the limping Giants.

Detroit Lions at Denver Broncos (-8) – My pick is Denver Broncos

The Lions are 1-10-1 outright and 8-4 against the spread. The Lions are coming off their first win of the season when they beat the Vikings 29-27. Detroit had a 20-6 lead at halftime, but nearly lost the game in the second-half. They need a touchdown as time expired to get the win. The Vikings had a lot of injuries and the Lions are better than their winless record would suggest, so it wasn’t a surprise to me. The Broncos are 6-6 outright and against the spread this season. They are coming off a 22-9 road loss to the Chiefs. Denver QB Teddy Bridgewater only completed 22 of 40 passes and threw a costly pick-six in the second-half to basically seal the loss. The Broncos have struggled against good teams, but have taken care of business against the bottom-third in the league. Denver’s defense should limit Detroit and they won’t need to score many points to cover this spread.

San Francisco 49ers at Cincinnati Bengals (-1) – My pick is Cincinnati Bengals

The Niners are 6-6 outright and 5-7 against the spread. They are coming off a 30-23 road loss to the Seahawks. They are rivals and those games always seem to be close. Niners QB Jimmy Garoppolo struggled with turnovers and Seattle scored 16 unanswered points in the final 15:12 of the game. The Bengals are 7-5 outright ad 6-6 against the spread this season. They are coming off a 41-22 home loss to the Chargers. They allowed too many yards through the air and the Bengals couldn’t replicate their recent success on the ground. The Niners secondary doesn’t impress me much and Burrow should be able to move the ball. I’m taking the Bengals to cover at home.

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) – My pick is Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bills are 7-5 outright and 6-5-1 against the spread. They are coming off a 14-10 home loss against New England Patriots. The game was played in extremely windy weather and both teams had to rely mostly on their running game. New England broke three big runs, but were mostly stopped outside of those runs, but they were enough. The Buccaneers are 9-3 outright and 6-6 against the spread. They are coming off a 30-17 road win against the Falcons. Bucs QB Tom Brady had a big game throwing four touchdowns in the win. They have now won three-straight games (3-0 ATS) since losing to Washington. This should be a fun one to watch. Both teams have good defenses and the ability on offense to break one at any moment. The Bucs are playing better at the moment and they will force Bills QB Josh Allen into some mistakes. I’m taking the Bucs to cover at home.

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers  (-12.5) – My pick is Green Bay Packers

The Bears are 4-8 outright and against the spread this season. They are coming off a 33-22 home loss against the Cardinals. Bears backup QB Andy Dalton played for injured rookie QB Justin Fields (ribs), but he threw four interceptions in the loss. The Bears are now 1-6 in their last seven games (1-6 ATS). The Packers are 9-3 outright and 10-2 against the spread. They are coming off their bye week, and in their previous game, beat the Rams 36-28. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (toe) hasn’t been 100% since COVID, so the week off could be huge for his production. He owned the Bears the last time they played and the Bears are arguably worse now. I’m taking the Packers to cover.

Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (-3) – My pick is Arizona Cardinals

The Rams are 8-4 outright and 5-7 against the spread. They are coming off a 37-7 home win against the Jaguars. They were on a three-game skid, so the Jags were a welcomed sight. Rams RB Sony Michel got added carries when RB Darrell Henderson Jr. healed from a thigh injury. Their backfield will be 100% this week. The Cardinals are 10-2 outright and 9-3 against the spread. They are coming off a 33-22 road win against the Bears. It was their first back-to-back win since October 24th. They a much better team with a healthy QB Kyler Murray, which comes to no surprise. The Rams are still trying to gel after some trade deadline moves and the addition of WR Odell Beckham Jr.. It’s weird that they have been a worse team with those additions. This will be a tight game, but I’m going with the home team in this one.

*These picks are for entertainment purposes

Sweetbob’s NFL picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
2013: 133-95-10
2014: 131-114-9
2015: 150-108-9
2016: 143-120-13
2017: 144-115-16
2018: 141-118-13
2019: 159-119-7
2020: 152-121-8
20210: 102-83-3

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About the Author…

Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob