I went 11-13-1 against the spread last week.

I would have been down this week, but I was able to hit on a Purdue moneyline to keep me in the black.

There are some big games in the Big Ten this week. Purdue at Ohio State and Michigan at Penn State have Big Ten Championship-altering potential.

Can Oklahoma stay perfect on the year with a win at Baylor?

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 11 of the 2021-22 NCAA Football season (November 13th, 2021).

Purdue at Ohio State (-20.5) – My pick is Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue is 6-3 outright and 5-4 against the spread this season. They are coming off an impressive upset win over Michigan State. The Spartans haven’t faced a good passing offense all season and I expected this game to be close. Purdue QB Aidan O’Connell passed for 536 yards and three touchdowns in the win. Ohio State is 8-1 outright and 4-4-1 against the spread. They are coming off a 26-17 road win against Nebraska. The Buckeyes have had close games in back-to-back weeks. OSU QB C.J. Stroud cracked 400+ passing yards for the third time this season in the win, but did throw two interceptions. Purdue is on one hell of a tear since promoting O’Connell. Ohio State may get their hands raised at the end of the game this week, but the Boilermakers will keep this within the spread, so I’m taking the points.

Michigan at Penn State (+1) – My pick is Michigan Wolverines

Michigan is 8-1 outright and 7-2 against the spread this season. They are coming off a 29-7 home win against injury-plagued Indiana. The game wasn’t that competitive and Michigan had control the whole game. Penn State is 6-3 outright and against the spread this season. They are coming off a 31-14 road win against Maryland. The game was tied until early in the fourth quarter when Penn State QB Sean Clifford hit WR Jahan Dotson for an 86-yard touchdown. The Terrapins played pretty solid defense through the first three quarters, which was unexpected. This game could be tight, but Michigan’s edge on defense is massive. I think the Wolverines will pull this one out.

Oklahoma at Baylor (+5.5) – My pick is Oklahoma Sooners

Oklahoma is 9-0 outright and 4-5 against the spread (OU QB Caleb Williams is 3-1 ATS since taking Rattler’s job). They are coming off a 52-21 home win over Texas Tech. It was a total blowout with Williams taking a seat in the fourth quarter. Baylor is 7-2 outright and 6-3 against the spread this season. They are coming off a 30-28 upset road loss to TCU. Baylor QB Gerry Bohanon played well against lower level talent early in the season, but he’s struggling against good teams right now. He threw two interceptions last week against TCU, who I wouldn’t even classify as a good team. He will struggle against the Sooners. I don’t think this one will be very close, so I’m taking Oklahoma to cover on the road.

Mississippi State at Auburn (-5.5) – My pick is Auburn Tigers

Mississippi State is 5-4 outright and against the spread. They are coming off a 31-28 road loss to Arkansas. It was a letdown since they were coming off an upset win at Kentucky. MSU were down early and QB Will Rogers tried complete the comeback, but his defense allowed a final-minute touchdown. Auburn is 6-3 outright and 5-4 against the spread this season. They are coming off a 20-3 road loss to Texas A&M. I’ve had a hate/hate relationship with Auburn QB Bo Nix. He has let me down numerous times over the years, and he has also came up big in games when I’ve bet against him. I do successfully bet on him after he’s had a stinker of a game, which he did against A&M. He will have a dud of a game maybe once every three or four games, then bounces back with a good enough game to make you forget his dud. I can’t explain it, but I’ll be glad when he graduates. I’m taking Auburn to cover at home.

Texas A&M at Mississippi (+2.5) – My pick is Ole Miss Rebels

Texas A&M is 7-2 outright and 6-3 against the spread. They are coming off a 20-3 home win against Auburn. The Aggies stepped up big on defense and made Nix look like he doesn’t belong at the FBS level. They have a bigger challenge this week and I don’t expect a similar outcome. Ole Miss is 7-2 outright and 5-3-1 against the spread. They are coming off a 27-14 home win against Liberty. It was a battle between potential first-round quarterbacks. Liberty QB Malik Willis may have dropped down a few rounds with his performance. Ole Miss QB Matt Corral threw for 300+ yards and a touchdown in the win. I expect Corral will be more mobile against the Aggies. A&M had issues against Arkansas mobile QB K.J. Jefferson early this season. I’m taking the points in this game.

NC State at Wake Forest (-2) – My pick is Wake Forest Demon Deacons

NC State is 7-2 outright and 6-3 against the spread. They are coming off a 28-14 road win against Florida State. NC State’s defense limited FSU McKenzie Milton and RB Jashaun Corbin could barely get the ball across the line of scrimmage. Wake Forest is 7-2 outright and 6-3 against the spread. They are coming off a 58-55 road loss to North Carolina. The Demon Deacons fell apart on defense in the fourth quarter. North Carolina were able to run the ball at-will and scored 24 points in the fourth quarter. UNC RB Ty Chandler was a beast in that game and rushed for four touchdowns (three in the fourth quarter). Wake Forest shouldn’t have to deal with a prolific running game in this contest. This game will be fought through the air. WF QB Sam Hartman has thrown 13 touchdown pass (with just two interceptions) over his last three games. I’m taking Wake Forest to cover in this one.

Northwestern at Wisconsin (-24) – My pick is Wisconsin Badgers

Northwestern is 3-6 outright and against the spread. They are coming off a 17-12 home loss to Iowa. Both teams struggled to move the ball as their offenses have been a work-in-progress this season. The Wildcats have one of the worst total offenses in the FBS. Wisconsin is 6-3 outright and 5-4 against the spread this season. They are coming off a 52-3 road win over Rutgers. The Badgers are 4-1 ATS since changing their offense to run-first. Wisconsin QB Graham Mertz is only throwing 12-18 times per game and hands the ball off around 40 times every Saturday. Northwestern is awful against the run this season. Opposing teams are averaging 226 rushing yards against them this season. The Badgers are about to eat them up and cover at home.

Connecticut at Clemson (-41) – My pick is UConn Huskies

UConn is 1-8 outright and 4-5 against the spread this season. They are coming off a 44-13 home loss to Middle Tennessee. The Huskies are a bad team, but they are 4-2 ATS in their last six games. Bettors just aren’t betting on a team with an interim head coach. Clemson is 6-3 outright and 2-7 against the spread this season. Clemson is coming off a 30-24 road win against Louisville. The Tigers offense is nowhere close to the same offense head coach Dabo Swinney has had at Clemson. Clemson QB D.J. Uiagalelei had a lot of hype coming into the year, but he has been extremely underwhelming. Clemson has covered in back-to-back games after failing to cover a game in their first seven games. You would think that Vegas has finally corrected their course on Clemson, but I still think they are roughly a touchdown overvalued in this game. Their offense just isn’t going to score enough to cover this spread, so I’m taking the points.

Minnesota at Iowa (-5.5) – My pick is Minnesota Golden Gophers

Minnesota is 6-3 outright and 5-3-1 against the spread. They are coming off a 14-6 home loss to Illinois. Their offense was putting up crooked numbers on the scoreboard in previous games, so it was a bummer to see them take a step backwards. Iowa is 7-2 outright and 5-4 against the spread this season. They are coming off a 17-12 road win against Northwestern. It was an ugly outright win and they’ve no failed to cover in three-straight games. It doesn’t help that starting QB Spencer Petras is out with a shoulder injury. This could be a defensive battle and could be a low-scoring affair. Iowa may need to lean on RB Tyler Goodson, but he’s been inconsistent this year. I’m taking the points in this game.

UL-Lafaytte at Troy (+7) – My pick is Troy Tojans

This is the section where I pick a smaller conference game. Louisiana-Lafayette is 8-1 outright and 3-6 against the spread. They are coming off a 21-17 home win against Georgia State. Lafayette are 2-4 against the spread in their last six games. Troy is 5-4 outright and 4-5 against the spread this season. They are coming off a 31-24 home win over South Alabama. Troy has been depending on their defense to keep games close. They were a bad betting team midseason, but they’ve turned it around and have covered in back-to-back games. The Trojans will need their defense to step up once more. If this point spread drops in ULL’s favor, they could be a smart play, but as the point spread currently stands, I’m taking the points.

QUICK HITS

Miami (FL) at Florida State (+2.5) – My pick is Miami (FL)

Duke at Virginia Tech (-11.5) – My pick is Virginia Tech

Boston College at Georgia Tech (-2) – My pick is Boston College

Maryland at Michigan State (-13) – My pick is Michigan State

Stanford at Oregon State (-13) – My pick is Stanford

Air Force at Colorado State (+2.5) – My pick is Air Force

Arkansas at LSU (+2.5) – My pick is Arkansas

Colorado at UCLA (-15.5) – My pick is UCLA

Georgia Southern at Texas State (-2) – My pick is Texas State

UAB at Marshall (-4.5) – My pick is Marshall

BONUS PICKS!

Florida International at Middle Tennessee (-10) – My pick is MTSU

Utah State at San Jose State (-4.5) – My pick is Utah State

Wyoming at Boise State (-13.5) – My pick is Boise State

East Carolina at Memphis (-5.5) – My pick is East Carolina

Georgia State at Coastal Carolina (-10.5) – My pick is Coastal Carolina

Sweetbob’s college football picks against the spread record in previous seasons:

2013: 134-79-8
2014: 148-118-4
2015: 149-118-3
2016: 196-145-6
2017: 183-159-13
2018: 177-157-6
2019: 187-141-8
2020: 170-160-5
2021: 128-118-5

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About the Author…

Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob.