After many of the top teams were beaten, you should be able to find some favorable lines. Good teams can have a bad week. It’s our job to try to figure out if a team just had a hiccup or if they were exposed.
After this week, you should have a better idea which teams are legit. Many of the top teams face each other again, so after the dust settles, we should know which SEC and Pac-12 teams are contenders.
We were 134-79-8 against the spread betting on college football games last season. We hope to keep it going and help you guys out again this season.
We pick against the spread for all the big college football games on Saturday (October 11th, 2014), and picked some smaller conference games as well. Enjoy!
Texas at Oklahoma (-15) – My pick is Oklahoma Sooners
Texas beat Oklahoma in the Red River Shootout last season. It was an emotional victory by a team trying to save their coach’s job. Mack Brown didn’t keep his job and now it is Charlie Strong’s job to beat the Sooners. If Oklahoma didn’t lose to TCU last week, this line would probably be -21, so I’m glad they lost. Oklahoma has revenge on their mind. Texas won’t be able to stop OU running back Samaje Perine. Oklahoma will win big in Norman.
TCU at Baylor (-8) – My pick is Baylor Bears
It’s extremely difficult to bet against TCU after beating Oklahoma last week, but they have only played one game on the road and that was against poor SMU. Baylor has been winning on the road and are finally back home. TCU (4-0 ATS) and Baylor (4-0-1 ATS) are out-playing Vegas at this point in the year. My advice if you really like one of these teams, hit it hard. I’m personally going with Baylor. This line opened at -10 and should be closer to a touchdown by kickoff. TCU is a popular upset pick right now.
Auburn at Mississippi State (+3) – My pick is Auburn Tigers
Mississippi State quarterback Dak Prescott has definitely played well enough to put his name in the Heisman conversation. They manhandled Texas A&M last week, but they did have an extra week to prepare for that game, since they were coming off bye. They caught the Aggies after a tough overtime win over Arkansas. They don’t have the same advantage against Auburn. It’s no secret that I love Auburn QB Nick Marshall. He’s a better version of Prescott. Auburn is just a little bit more than MSU can handle right now.
Oregon at UCLA (+2.5) – My pick is Oregon Ducks
Oregon ran into an Arizona team that appears to have their number. They just haven’t played well against them the last few years. UCLA has been overrated so far and haven’t quite lived up to their preseason hype. Neither Oregon or UCLA have been kind to bettors (both are 1-4 ATS). I don’t see Oregon losing two games in a row. Marcus Mariota will outplay Brett Hundley on Saturday.
Ole Miss at Texas A&M (-2.5) – My pick is Mississippi Rebels
I’ve been trying to fight the Ole Miss hype, but then I remembered last year’s A&M/Ole Miss game. Johnny Manziel had to lead the Aggies down the field to get in position for a game-winning field goal at the end of regulation. A&M pulled out the victory, but Ole Miss quarterback Bo Wallace was great. He lead the Rebels back after being down 21-10 in the 3rd quarter. He nearly beat them. Since Johnny Football is currently holding a clipboard in Cleveland, I’ll pick the Rebels to upset the Aggies in front of the 12th Man in College Station.
Illinois at Wisconsin (-26) – My pick is Wisconsin Badgers
There’s no doubt that Wisconsin is much better than Illinois. We all know this. That being said, if Illinois quarterback Wes Lunt didn’t break his fibula last week, I would have considered Illinois. Reilly O’Toole hasn’t shown that he can do it. The offense slows down and won’t be able to keep up with Wisconsin.
West Virginia at Texas Tech (+6) – My pick is West Virginia Mountaineers
I keep waiting for Texas Tech to get going, but they can’t seem to do anything in big games. West Virginia hasn’t beat any top teams, but they hung in there against Alabama and Oklahoma. Their offense can hang with any team in the nation. They should cover on the road.
Duke at Georgia Tech (-3) – My pick is Duke Blue Devils
Georgia Tech has surprised the country by bring undefeated at this point in the season. Duke had issues stopping the run against Miami, but Duke Johnson is a step above the caliber of any running back on Georgia Tech. I’m predicting Duke to prevent to cover and I might put a few bones on the moneyline.
Toledo at Iowa State (-3) – My pick is Iowa State Cyclones
I know Toledo’s offense has looked good this year, but Iowa State has faced Big 12 offenses, so anything Toledo could do, wouldn’t surprise them. MAC teams have showed up against power conferences this season, but I like Iowa State quarterback Sam Richardson just enough to pick them to cover.
Bowling Green at Ohio (pk) – My pick is Bowling Green Falcons
This is where we pick an under-the-radar smaller conference game. I love random MAC conference games. You can usually throw out the records when the middle-of-the-road teams in the conference face-off. I’ve watched a few Bowling Green and Ohio games this year. Bowling Green’s offense can put up points when quarterback James Knapke is on point. Ohio can’t come back if they get down by double-digits.
Wyoming at Hawaii (-4) – My pick is Wyoming
Georgia at Missouri (+3) – My pick is Georgia
Northwestern at Minnesota (-4) – My pick is Northwestern
Alabama at Arkansas (+10.5) – My pick is Arkansas
Washington at California (-3.5) – My pick is California
Penn State at Michigan (-1.5) – My pick is Michigan
LSU at Florida (+2) – My pick is LSU
USC at Arizona (+2.5) – My pick is Arizona
Houston at Memphis (-9) – My pick is Houston
Oklahoma State at Kansas (+21) – My pick is Oklahoma State
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob.