I went 13-11-1 against the spread in Week 14 of the 2024-25 College Football season.

I have struggled down the stretch. I opened the year with some big weeks, but the tail-end of conference play has been rough.

We only have a handful of games this week, so we will pick every single game against the spread.

There were a lot of teams that shuffled to new conferences last offseason. Will any of those new teams take home their conference trophy?

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick EVERY college football games against the spread for Conference Championship Weekend of the 2024-25 NCAA Football season (November 30th, 2024).

Iowa State Cyclones vs Arizona State Sun Devils (-2) – My pick is Arizona State Sun Devils -2

The Iowa Cyclones (10-2, 7-5 ATS) are coming off a 29-21 home win over Kansas State, which covered the -2 spread. Their running game was too much for Kansas State to handle. They didn’t rack up an absurd amount of yards, but they extended drives. The negative was the play of QB Rocco Becht, who only completed 13 of 35 attempts, which is unacceptable.

The Arizona State Sun Devils (10-2, 10-2 ATS) are coming off a dominant 49-7 win over Arizona, which easily covered the -7.5 spread. ASU were underrated going into the season, so they’ve been a solid betting team all year. The Sun Devils defense has been playing well. Also, QB Sam Leavitt has been smart with the ball and will land on draft boards next year.

The Sun Devils continue to be underrated, the betting line is the evidence. Becht will have issues against ASU’s defense. I’m taking Arizona State to cover at this neutral site game.

Georgia Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns (-2.5) – My pick is Texas Longhorns -2.5

The Georgia Bulldogs (10-2, 3-9 ATS) are coming off a close 44-42 win over Georgia Tech, which wasn’t close to the -17 spread. QB Carson Beck has regained his elite form after a midseason turnover spell. He hasn’t thrown an interception in his last three games. I feel like I need to point out that two of those three teams don’t have a great defense.

The Texas Longhorns (11-1, 7-5 ATS) are coming off a 17-7 win over Texas A&M, which covered -4.5 spread. It was a good win over a very good A&M squad. RB Quintrevion Wisner has been outstanding the last two weeks. He’s a big reason why they escaped A&M with the win. The defense gets the biggest share of the win.

The first time these teams met, Georgia won 30-15 on the road. Beck had a horrid game, but it still wasn’t enough to lose the game. The Longhorns defense had a bad first-half, but played much better the rest of the game. I expect this game will be much closer. I think Texas will avenge that loss. I’m taking the Longhorns to cover at this neutral site.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Oregon Ducks (-3.5) – My pick is Oregon Ducks -3.5

The Penn State Nittany Lions (11-1, 6-5 ATS) are coming off a 44-7 home win over Maryland, which covered the -26.5 spread. Penn State has beaten up on low-tier Big Ten teams this year, but has failed to cover against any above-average conference foes. QB Drew Allar has stepped up to narrowly outright win in those contests.

The Oregon Ducks (12-0, 6-6 ATS) are coming off a 49-21 home win over Washington, which covered the -17 spread. It was a nice rebound after escaping Wisconsin with a 16-13 win. This year’s Oregon squad is different than some of their other great squads since their defense is legit.

It looks like Oregon could win the Big Ten in their first year in the conference. They are clearly the best in the group and will be able to cover in Indianapolis. I’m taking the Ducks to cover at the neutral site.

Clemson Tigers vs SMU Mustangs (-2.5) – My pick is SMU Mustangs -2.5

The Clemson Tigers (9-3, 5-6 ATS) are coming off a 17-14 loss to South Carolina, which also failed to cover the -2.5 betting line. The Gamecocks are an underrated team and I don’t view the loss as that big of a negative. The Tigers have won a lot of games outright in the ACC, but they had trouble covering against many of those teams. QB Cade Klubnik regained some of his past top QB prospect juice, but this Clemson team is the most-flawed teams under Dabo Swinney.

The SMU Mustangs (11-1, 8-4 ATS) are coming off a 38-6 home win over California, which covered the -12.5 spread. The Mustangs seemingly came out of nowhere in the ACC. They were perfect in conference play with their only loss coming at home against BYU. SMU’s defense has gotten better as the season moved along.

We are getting some value in the SMU line. The Mustangs continue to be underrated and it’s not surprising going against a public team like Clemson. It wouldn’t surprise me if SMU limited Clemson like South Carolina did last week. I’m taking SMU to cover at this neutral site game.

Ohio Bobcats vs Miami (OH) RedHawks (-1.5) – My pick is Ohio Bobcats +1.5

The Ohio Bobcats  (9-3, 8-4 ATS) are coming off a 42-21 home win over Ball State, which covered the -17.5 betting line. QB Parker Navarro has been a solid dual-threat quarterback this year. He lacks a little in the passing part, but he’s an elusive quarterback. Ohio has been able to take care of business in the MAC as they have won and covered in five-straight games (their last lost was at Miami (OH) in mid-October.

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (8-4, 5-6-1 ATS) are coming off a 28-12 win at Bowling Green, which was also a win against the +2.5 spread. It was a nice upset win over a very good BGSU squad. QB Brett Gabbert has been a mainstay at Miami and it would be great for him to end his collegiate career with a MAC Championship.

I believe this is going to be a very un-MAC-like game. These are two of the best defenses in the conference. It wouldn’t surprise me if the first team to 20 points will win this game. I’m betting on Ohio’s defense forcing Gabbert into some bad throws. I’m taking the points in this game.

QUICK HITS

Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State (-5) – My pick is Jacksonville State -5

Tulane at Army (+5) – My pick is Tulane -5

UNLV at Boise State (-4) – My pick is Boise State -4

Marshall at Louisiana (-5.5) – My pick is Marshall +5.5

Sweetbob’s college football picks against the spread record in previous seasons:

2013: 134-79-8
2014: 148-118-4
2015: 149-118-3
2016: 196-145-6
2017: 183-159-13
2018: 177-157-6
2019: 187-141-8
2020: 170-160-5
2021: 167-151-8
2022: 185-150-5
2023: 155-144-10
2024: 177-162-11

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About the Author…

Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on X at @Sweetbob