I went 11-14 against the spread in Week 13 of the 2024-25 College Football season.

I’ve had some rough weeks down the stretch. The schedule is full of rivalry games this week. You can mostly throw out the records since a lot of upsets occur when many of these teams meet every year.

Will any College Football Playoff teams trip over their own feet this week?

We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 14 of the 2024-25 NCAA Football season (November 30th, 2024).

Louisville Cardinals at Kentucky Wildcats (+4) – My pick is Louisville Cardinals -4

The Louisville Cardinals (7-4, 5-6 ATS) are coming off a 37-9 home win over Pittsburgh, which covered the -7 spread. The Cardinals took advantage of a short-handed Pitt team. It wasn’t much of a contest. Louisville QB Tyler Shough continues to impress in his seventh-year in college.

The Kentucky Wildcats (4-7, 7-4 ATS) are coming off a 31-14 road loss to Texas, which was a close win against the +18 spread. Thanks to a defensive touchdown in the second-half, the loss didn’t look bad on paper. For those who watched this game, it was clear that Texas laid off the gas in the second-half. The Wildcats are finally going with QB Cutter Boley, which is a step in the right direction.

Kentucky has won the last five meetings, but this Wildcats team isn’t on par with any of those squads. Louisville’s offense will cause problems and I don’t see this one being a back-and-forth battle. I’m taking Louisville to cover on the road.

Michigan Wolverines at Ohio State Buckeyes (-19) – My pick is Michigan Wolverines +19

The Michigan Wolverines (6-5, 4-7 ATS) are coming off a 50-6 home win over Northwestern, which covered the -10.5 spread. It was the first time Michigan has controlled the game from start to finish this year. QB Davis Warren was smart with the ball and the Wolverines defense strangled Northwestern.

The Ohio State Buckeyes (10-1, 6-5 ATS) are coming off a 38-15 home win over Indiana, which covered the -10.5 betting line. The Buckeyes took advantage of a Hoosiers team that wasn’t quite ready for the spotlight. The Hoosiers shot themselves in the foot many times early. The hopes of a win was a lock for Ohio State when they ran back a punt near the beginning of the second-half.

Michigan was decimated by the NFL Draft and graduation, but throw out the records when the Wolverines and Buckeyes meet. I don’t think Michigan has a shot of an outright win, but I think they score a garbage-time touchdown to get it within the spread. I’m taking the points in this game.

Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5) – My pick is Auburn Tigers +11.5

The Auburn Tigers (5-6, 6-5 ATS) are coming off a 43-41 overtime home win over Texas A&M, which was a win against the +2.5 spread. Auburn got out to a 21-0 lead and it was tied-up in the third quarter. The overtime periods were as wild as can be without much scoring at all. Kudos to A&M QB Marcel Reed for having a solid game all-around.

The Alabama Crimson Tide (8-3, 6-5 ATS) are coming off a 24-3 road win over Oklahoma, which failed to cover the -13.5 spread. This was the shocker loss of the week. QB Jalen Milroe was awful by throwing three picks. The offense was just stagnant. The Sooners relied on their defense to help put up points, as their offense wasn’t humming either. 

I wouldn’t call Alabama’s loss to Oklahoma as a trap game, but it’s hard to describe what happened. Auburn is playing better than they were even in October. They will keep this one close, so I’m taking the points.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at USC Trojans (+7.5) – My pick is Notre Dame Fighting Irish -7.5

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-1, 9-2 ATS) are coming off a 49-14 home win over Army, which covered the -14 betting line. The Irish have been taking care of business against the spread. They have covered seven-straight games, and have covered against every non-MAC school on their schedule. Notre Dame knows how to handle gimmicky running teams and stopped the then-undefeated Army squad.

The USC Trojans (6-5, 7-4 ATS) are coming off a 19-13 road win over UCLA, which covered the -5 point spread. The Trojans needed a big fourth quarter to seal the outright win and cover. QB Jayden Maiava had some growing pains in this one. He wasn’t very efficient and didn’t find the end zone until midway through the fourth quarter.

The Irish have been one of the best betting teams in the country. I think they travel out West and take care of a USC team, who should be double-digit underdogs. Irish QB Riley Leonard will take care of the ball and cover on the road.

Purdue Boilermakers at Indiana Hoosiers (-29) – My pick is Indiana Hoosiers -29

The Purdue Boilermakers (1-10, 3-8 ATS) are coming off a 24-17 road loss to Michigan State, which was a win against the +14 spread. Purdue has been the doormat of the Big Ten. They honestly don’t do anything well. Their offense is dreadful and their defense gives up 49+ points most games. 

The Indiana Hoosiers (10-1, 8-3 ATS) are coming off a 38-15 road loss to Ohio State, which is a loss against the +10.5 betting line. It was a rough outing for the Hoosiers. It looked like they were nervous going into this one. They played better in the second-half, but it was too late. QB Kurtis Rourke will bounce back this week.

Purdue has little-to-no chance at winning this game outright, and I don’t think it will be near the spread. The Hoosiers will cover this large spread at home.

Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles (+16.5) – My pick is Florida Gators -16.5

The Florida Gators (6-5, 7-4 ATS) are coming off a 24-17 home win over Ole Miss, which was a win against the +13 spread. QB DJ Lagway has all the raw skills to be a very good college quarterback. He’s currently good enough to handle good SEC defenses. He could be a Heisman candidate down the road.

The Florida State Seminoles (2-9, 3-7-1 ATS) are coming off a 41-7 home win over Charleston Southern, which was a push against the -34 line. It’s been a long season for the Seminoles. Remember, this team was ranked this preseason, so expectations were not met. They need to find a capable quarterback on the transfer portal.

The Gators have the talent to be a solid team next season. I think they take care of business here move onto their bowl game. I’m taking the Gators to cover against a bad FSU team.

Texas Longhorns at Texas A&M Aggies (+5) – My pick is Texas A&M Aggies +5

The Texas Longhorns (10-1, 6-5 ATS) are coming off a 31-14 home win over Kentucky, which failed to cover the -18 spread. It was a weird non-cover since the Longhorns put their offense in neutral after halftime. QB Quinn Ewers just fed his backfield and cruised to an outright win.

The Texas A&M Aggies (8-3, 3-8 ATS) are coming off a 43-41 road loss to Auburn, which failed to cover the -2.5 betting line. Kudos to QB Marcel Reed for not throwing in the towel after going down 21-0 in the second quarter. The final outcome didn’t do the Aggies way, but he really impressed me. He didn’t try to do too much and went through his progressions on offense. The Aggies may have a gem with him,

I’m expecting at least one of the College Football Playoff Teams will fall this weekend. I’m not saying that Texas will be that team, but I believe this one will be close. I’m taking the points in this game.

South Carolina Gamecocks at Clemson Tigers (-3) – My pick is Clemson Tigers -3

The South Carolina Gamecocks (8-3, 8-3 ATS) are coming off a 56-12 home win over Wofford, which covered the -43 betting line. Many SEC teams had their gimme game last week, and Wofford was an easy opponent. That being said, the Gamecocks needed a big second-half to run up the score.

The Clemson Tigers (9-2, 5-5 ATS) are coming off a 51-14 home win over The Citadel, which had no betting line. The Tigers made short work of The Citadel and got QB Cade Klubnik out of there fast. You can’t glean anything from this game, expect they performed as planned.

I think this game will be a coinflip. I think Clemson may have a slight edge in talent and I like that that they are at home in this one. I’m taking the Tigers to cover at home.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Georgia Bulldogs (-18) – My pick is Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +18

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-4, 5-5-1 ATS) are coming off a 30-29 home win over NC State, which failed to cover the -7.5 spread. The Yellow Jackets really turned their program around. Their defense is keeping them in games and have pulled off a few upset wins this season.

The Georgia Bulldogs (9-2, 3-8 ATS) are coming off a 59-21 home win over UMass, which failed to cover the -42.5 betting line. QB Carson Beck righted the ship after a string of awful performances. He now has back-to-back games without an interceptions, after throwing 12 in the middle of their SEC schedule.

Georgia is the better overall team, but I think Tech’s defense will cause Beck to make some poor decisions. I think the points are the smart play in this game.

Marshall Thundering Herd at James Madison Dukes (-3.5) – My pick is Marshall Thundering Herd +3.5

This is the section where we pick a smaller conference game.

The Marshall Thundering Herd (8-3, 9-1-1 ATS) are coming off a 42-35 road win over Old Dominion, which was a win against the +3 spread. QB Braylon Braxton is an underrated talent. He’s been outstanding during conference play. The Tulsa-transfer has only threw two picks in 156 passing attempts. He’s also elusive on his feet with 529 rushing yards.

The James Madison Dukes (8-3, 6-5 ATS) are coming off a 34-20 road loss to Appalachian State, which was a loss against the -7 point spread. The Dukes will be trying to bounce-back from this upset loss. The Dukes made some mistakes in the second quarter and the team couldn’t make up for those. They even had a blocked punt returned for a touchdown right before halftime.

James Madison will have trouble stopping Marshall’s Braxton, who will be the difference maker in this game. The Dukes haven’t been a great betting team this year and Marshall continues to fly under the radar. I’m taking the points in this game.

QUICK HITS

Nebraska at Iowa (-3) – My pick is Iowa -3

Stanford at San Jose State (-2.5) – My pick is Stanford +2.5

UConn at UMass (+10) – My pick is UConn -10

Illinois at Northwestern (+7.5) – My pick is Illinois -7.5

Arizona State at Arizona (+8.5) – My pick is Arizona +8.5

NC State at North Carolina (-3.5) – My pick is NC State +3.5

Arkansas at Missouri (-3) – My pick is Arkansas +3

Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky (-1.5) – My pick is JSU +1.5

Wyoming at Washington State (-17) – My pick is Wyoming +17

Houston at BYU (-13) – My pick is BYU -13

BONUS PICKS!

Liberty at Sam Houston (+2.5) – My pick is Liberty -2.5

Louisiana-Lafayette at Louisiana-Monroe (+9.5) – My pick is UL-Lafayette -9.5

North Texas at Temple (+10.5) – My pick is North Texas -10.5

Texas-San Antonio at Army (-6.5) – My pick is Army -6.5

Southern Miss at Troy (-17.5) – My pick is Troy -17.5

Sweetbob’s college football picks against the spread record in previous seasons:

2013: 134-79-8
2014: 148-118-4
2015: 149-118-3
2016: 196-145-6
2017: 183-159-13
2018: 177-157-6
2019: 187-141-8
2020: 170-160-5
2021: 167-151-8
2022: 185-150-5
2023: 155-144-10
2024: 164-151-10

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About the Author…

Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on X at @Sweetbob