I went 5-3 last week with my picks against the spread and over/under point totals during Divisional playoff games.
Last week’s games weren’t as crazy as the Wild Card weekend, but they were still a fun watch. The outcomes made for two interesting rematches from earlier this season.
Can Packers QB Aaron Rodgers spoil the Niners playoff run in his return to his hometown area?
Can the Titans use RB Derrick Henry’s legs to win their third-straight upset win and make it to the Super Bowl for the first time in 20 years?
Will Titans QB Ryan Tannehill pull a ‘Kurt Warner move’ and lead his team to the Super Bowl as a backup-turned-starting QB?
We pick both NFL Championship games against the spread and the over/under totals.
Since there are only two games this weekend, as a bonus I will also pick the over/under for each game.
Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5) – over/under (52.5) – My pick is Tennessee Titans and OVER
The Titans have been just spamming the ball to RB Derrick Henry on the ground this postseason. You can’t question their methodology as they’ve taken out the Patriots and Ravens while being the road team in both contests. QB Ryan Tannehill hasn’t been needed much, but has came through when called upon in both games. They will most likely employ the same strategy this week, but the Chiefs have an offense that can score on you fast. They may not need a ton of possession time to score a lot of points. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes has speedy receivers and a cannon of an arm. He is great with throwing on the run and can pass accurately from just about every throwing angle. This will be a fun game to watch and think it will be a tight game. The Chiefs are playing their best football right now, but I can’t rule out the Titans right now. Teams know what they are going to do on offense and teams still can’t do anything about it. I have to take the points and I think the point total will be over.
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-7.5) – over/under (45) – My pick is San Francisco 49ers and UNDER
The Packers finished the season strong and took care of business at home against the Seahawks last week. The game was closer than it should have been, but a win is a win, I suppose. The last loss the Packers suffered was back in late-November on the road to the Niners. It was a disaster of a game and the Packers lost 37-8. The Packers also lost a game in Los Angeles to the Chargers three weeks before that game. They stunk it up both times they had to travel out West this season. The Packers offense was horrible in those games. They couldn’t get open deeper than five yards and Rodgers had to just dink and dunk it to his receivers. Rodgers just didn’t have enough time in the pocket to let anything develop down field. I feel confident that this game will be closer than the 29-point blowout the last time they played, but I still don’t see the Packers handling the Niners defense much better in this game.
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Sweetbob’s NFL picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
2013: 133-95-10
2014: 131-114-9
2015: 150-108-9
2016: 143-120-13
2017: 144-115-16
2018: 141-118-13
2019: 155-115-7
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Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob