I went 13-12 against the spread with my college football picks last week.
I am really due for a big week as I’ve hovered around .500 for a few weeks in a row.
Their are two big games this weekend. Notre Dame hosts USC and Oklahoma faces Texas in the Cotton Bowl. You could even add Penn State at Iowa or Michigan State Wisconsin to the list, but I don’t see Michigan State as a potential Big Ten contender.
Will any of the top teams fall to an upset this weekend?
We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick 25 college football games against the spread in Week 7 of the 2019-20 NCAA Football season (October 12th, 2019). We also pick some smaller conference games.
Rutgers at Indiana (-28) – My pick is Indiana Hoosiers
Rutgers is a team that has given up. The Hoosiers aren’t a bad team and were right with Michigan State last week until the fourth quarter. If they can get their no-huddle offense going as well as they have the last couple games, the Hoosiers should cover against Rutgers.
Oklahoma vs Texas (+10.5) – My pick is Oklahoma Sooners
This game is being played in the Cotton Bowl. The Longhorns are much better than they have been in quite some time. QB Sam Ehlinger is turning into a legit NFL prospect. Texas has one loss on their resume and that was a touchdown loss to LSU. The rest of their schedule has been a bit cupcake-ish, but they’ve taken care of business. I just feel like Oklahoma is on another level right now. Alabama and Oklahoma are #1a and #1b in my eyes (with Clemson in at #2). I don’t see the Texas linebackers spying QB Jalen Hurts effectively. I’m taking the Sooners to cover on Saturday.
Maryland at Purdue (+3) – My pick is Maryland Terrapins
Purdue is struggling right now and it’s all due to injuries. The Boilermakers offense lives and dies with their passing game and QB Jack Plummer isn’t quite up to par with the talent needed for Purdue to succeed. Maryland isn’t the best of the best in the Big Ten, but they can get the job done against below average teams. They are coming off beating Rutgers 48-7 and they took out their starters early in the game. This will be a closer contest, but I still think Maryland will cover in West Lafayette, Indiana.
Michigan State at Wisconsin (-10.5) – My pick is Wisconsin Badgers
I knew when Michigan State failed to stop Ohio State’s run game, they will struggle the following week against Wisconsin. Badgers RB Jonathan Taylor is playing like he did in 2017. The Spartans clearly struggle against top running backs and this is just a bad match-up…I’m taking the Badgers to cover a home.
Washington State at Arizona State (+1) – My pick is Arizona State Sun Devils
Washington State struggles against competent offenses. Their defense is nowhere near on par with their offense. The Sun Devils will most likely put up the most points they’ve scored all season. I’m taking the point and going with Arizona State.
Florida State at Clemson (-27) – My pick is Florida State Seminoles
Last October, Clemson smoked Florida State 59-10. The Tigers are still stacked, but they lost an insane amount of defensive talent to the NFL. They haven’t been consistently covering point spreads, but people blindly put money on them. Clemson will most likely win, but this game will be closer than the bloated point spread, so I’m taking the points.
Texas Tech at Baylor (-11) – My pick is Texas Tech Red Raiders
Baylor is a bit overrated right now. They are undefeated outright, but are 3-2 against the spread. They’ve struggled to cover double-digit point spreads. Texas Tech QB Jett Duffey is starting due to injuries and he led the Red Raiders to a win against Oklahoma State last week. This could be a shoot-out and I have to take the points.
Iowa State at West Virginia (+10) – My pick is Iowa State Cyclones
West Virginia is getting a lot of action on this point spread, but I don’t see it. The Mountaineers have struggled against some below-average teams. They haven’t once impressed me this season. Their defense is going to struggle against ISU QB Brock Purdy, who can do damage with his legs and arm. I’m taking the Cyclones to cover on the road.
USC at Notre Dame (-10) – My pick is Notre Dame Fighting Irish
USC will have QB Kedon Slovis back under center after dealing with concussion symptoms. He has largely been inconsistent, but has shown flashes of being very good. He’s only a freshman, so the consistency will come with time. Notre Dame is coming off a 52-0 win against Bowling Green. ND QB Ian Book threw five touchdowns and he was pulled due to the score getting out of hand. The Irish are crazy talented and the overall talent level is far greater than USC. I don’t see this game being very close and I’m taking the Irish to cover at home.
Ball State at Eastern Michigan (-1) – My pick is Ball State Cardinals
This is where we pick a game between smaller conference teams. This used to be the place where I would pick against Eastern Michigan nearly every week. I haven’t done much of that in about three years, but I have to do it when I see fit. Ball State can move the ball through the air and on the ground and tend to gameplan accordingly. They barely passed the ball last week in their 27-20 win at Northern Illinois, but in the game before, Ball State QB Drew Plitt threw the ball 57 times. They will throw everything at Eastern Michigan and I predict they will go back to the running game to beat the Eagles.
QUICK HITS
Colorado at Oregon (-21) – My pick is Colorado
New Mexico State at Central Michigan (-10) – My pick is Central Michigan
Kent State at Akron (+14) – My pick is Kent State
San Jose State at Nevada (-2.5) – My pick is San Jose State
Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic (-10) – My pick is FAU
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina (-5.5) – My pick is Georgia State
UAB at Texas-San Antonio (+12) – My pick is UAB
Army at Western Kentucky (+5.5) – My pick is Western Kentucky
Charlotte at Florida International (-5) – My pick is FIU
Mississippi at Missouri (-12) – My pick is Missouri
BONUS PICKS!
Penn State at Iowa (+3.5) – My pick is Iowa
Navy at Tulsa (pk) – My pick is Navy
Hawaii at Boise State (-11.5) – My pick is Boise State
Florida at LSU (-13.5) – My pick is Florida
Wyoming at San Diego State (-4) – My pick is Wyoming
Sweetbob’s college football picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
2013: 134-79-8
2014: 148-118-4
2015: 149-118-3
2016: 196-145-6
2017: 183-159-13
2018: 177-157-6
2019: 79-68-4
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About the Author…
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob.