I’ve already done pretty darn well picking games against the spread in the postseason. I find it to be easier than picking the games straight up. Injuries will play a huge factor this week as two teams are playing backup quarterbacks.
Three of the four playoff games are being played outdoors, so check weather reports before kickoff.
Will the teams that finished hot this year stay hot when the pressure is on?
Will the backup quarterbacks make a name for themselves and pull off upsets this weekend?
We pick every NFL Wild Card Weekend game against the spread.
Since there are only four games this weekend, as a bonus I will also pick the over/under for each game.
Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans (-3.5) – over/under (36.5) – My pick is Houston Texans & UNDER
It’s unfortunate what happened to Raiders QB David Carr. Oakland was having such a great year, but they can’t just plug the next guy up and keep the train moving. Backup Matt McGloin is having his own injury issues, so rookie Connor Cook’s number could be called. I understand Houston hasn’t exactly been lighting up the world on offense either. They will need to rely on the running game as QBs Brock Osweiler and Tom Savage are replacement-level quarterbacks at this point. I think Houston squeaks out a cover in a low-scoring affair.
Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks (-8) – over/under (43) – My pick is Detroit Lions & OVER
The Lions are on a three-game skid heading into the postseason. All three of those games were against playoff teams, so none of them were bad losses. Seattle isn’t playing their best football right now either. They had trouble with San Francisco and Arizona in back-to-back weeks. Seattle is a difficult place to play, especially in the postseason…but eight points is a tall task. I think they each will get the best of each other for awhile and the over is a good possibility. I think Seattle will still win, but won’t cover.
Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers (-10) – over/under (45.5) – My pick is Miami Dolphins & OVER
Miami has given up quite a bit on the ground this year. It hasn’t affected their win/loss record and have been able to overcome their issue. The Steelers will live and die with their running game, so they shouldn’t have trouble moving the ball. I’ve been a fan of Miami QB Matt Moore since he took over for Ryan Tannehill. The ten-point spread here means Vegas doesn’t have much respect for Moore. I think both teams will score more than expected and I have to take the points.
New York Giants at Green Bay Packers (-4.5) – over/under (44.5) – My pick is New York Giants & OVER
Green Bay comes into this game on a six-game winning streak. QB Aaron Rodgers turned his season around after looking flat to start the year. They also relied heavily on a RB/WR Ty Montgomery to play a new position due to all the injuries in their backfield. The Giants aren’t a one-dimensional team, but all you hear about is how many studs they have at wide receiver. QB Eli Manning has so many options and it’s scary how much talent they have catching balls. I think the Packers luck will run out and this will be a very tight game. I think the Giants could pull off the upset in a high-scoring contest.
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Sweetbob’s NFL picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob