I don’t expect weather to be an issue this weekend. It might be the first official ‘Fall Weather’ football game for most of the Midwest though. I don’t think that really bothers anyone at all.
I’m really looking forward to the Texas A&M/Alabama game this weekend. There are some dominoes that need to fall during the season and one will fall in this battle between unbeaten teams.
We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick against the spread for all the big college football games on Saturday (October 22nd, 2016) and a few Thursday games. We also pick five extra games as a bonus.
Oklahoma at Texas Tech (+14) – My pick is Oklahoma Sooners
OU QB Baker Mayfield is coming back ‘home’. The Texas Tech-transfer will be playing in Lubbock for the first time since transferring to Oklahoma after the 2013 season. Texas Tech’s defense gives up a lot of yards and West Virginia proved that last week. Also, Tech’s offense isn’t as potent to counteract their poor defense. I’m taking the Sooners to cover this one on the road.
Ohio State at Penn State (+19.5) – My pick is Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State squeaked out a win in overtime at Wisconsin last week. I thought they would win a little easier, but the Badgers were able to run the ball against Ohio State. Penn State has a very good ground attack, but it was also easily squashed by Michigan a few weeks ago. Ohio State’s defense isn’t quite on the same level as Michigan, but they are still one of the best in the conference. This cover will be close, but I’ll take Ohio State.
Mississippi State at Kentucky (+2.5) – My pick is Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State just finished a pretty difficult part of their schedule and has a running attack that doesn’t pick up a bunch of yards per attempt, but they inch their way down the field. Kentucky’s defense is bad and it won’t take much to wear them down. I think Mississippi State runs at them while scoring and draining the clock. I really don’t like the Wildcats defense at all this season.
Arkansas at Auburn (-9.5) – My pick is Arkansas Razorbacks
I talked some shit about Auburn earlier this year, but they have been a very good betting team (5-1 ATS). I just think they are going to get eaten up when they start playing beastly SEC opponents. I think Arkansas is actually better than Auburn. The Razorbacks may not win straight up on the road, but I’m taking the points.
TCU at West Virginia (-6.5) – My pick is West Virginia Mountaineers
TCU aren’t as dominant as many of the previous TCU teams…they might be one of the worst TCU squads this decade. That might be a little hyperbolic, but it wasn’t meant to be. TCU is still a very good team, but not a title contender like many of the recent TCU teams. West Virginia is a very, very good team. Last week’s drubbing of Texas Tech looked easy for them. They haven’t been blowing out opponents, so it was nice to see them not just playing up to their competition like they were previously blamed. I think the Mountaineers will cover at home.
Texas A&M at Alabama (-18) – My pick is Texas A&M Aggies
I can’t remember the last time two undefeated teams faced each other this late in the season and the point spread was this extreme. It opened up at -16.5, so it has even been bet up a little. Alabama is damn good and their defense could make this an easy spread to cover, but I have a little more faith in A&M than most. The Aggies are coming off a big win in OT against Tennessee two weeks ago. They had a week off to prepare for the Tide. I think I have to take the points in this one.
Oregon at California (-3) – My pick is California Golden Bears
The Ducks are coming into this game extremely defeated. They were destroyed (at home) by Washington 70-21. The Ducks are more used to giving that kind of beating than receiving one of that magnitude. Oregon’s defense is really bad right now. They were outgained by over 200 yards in back-to-back weeks. Cal has their own issues, but I don’t see them having a problem covering a field goal cover. Their passing game should make that happen for Cal. I’m taking the cover.
Syracuse at Boston College (-4.5) – My pick is Syracuse Orange
Syracuse is coming off a huge upset win against Virginia Tech. It wasn’t a fluke win, they dominated the entire game. Boston College is a team that I’ve done well betting against this season. The Eagles haven’t won an ACC game this season. Their only wins came at home against Buffalo and Wagner and on the road at UMass. Their offense struggles against any team from a power conference. I actually think Syracuse has a shot at winning this game outright, but for the purposes of this post, I’m taking the points.
Miami at Virginia Tech (-7) – My pick is Miami Hurricanes
Miami has fell off a cliff after losing back-to-back games at home. They lost to good teams (Florida State & North Carolina), but their offense never really got going in those games. Virginia Tech were rolling since losing to Tennessee at Bristol Motor Speedway, but then were victims of a huge upset by losing to Syracuse. The Hokies were favored to win that game by 23 points, but lost by 14. I think Miami QB Brad Kaaya will have a good game against the average Hokie secondary. I’m taking the points.
Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan (-23.5) – My pick is Western Michigan Broncos
This is when we pick a game with smaller conference teams. I really have to reign in the part of my brain that wants to historically bet the farm against Eastern Michigan every week. The Eagles are actually pretty decent this year. Both Eastern and Western are an astounding 6-1 ATS this season. Eastern’s run defense is pretty bad and Western has a prolific run game. I think Western will cover at home…and it will be done on the ground.
BYU at Boise State (-7.5) – My pick is BYU
Ole Miss at LSU (-6) – My pick is LSU
Wyoming at Nevada (+4.5) – My pick is Wyoming
UL Lafayette at Texas State (+6) – My pick is UL Lafayette
Utah at UCLA (-7) – My pick is Utah
Colorado at Stanford (-2.5) – My pick is Colorado
Tulane at Tulsa (-10.5) – My pick is Tulsa
Illinois at Michigan (-36.5) – My pick is Illinois
Buffalo at Northern Illinois (-21.5) – My pick is Buffalo
Memphis at Navy (+2.5) – My pick is Navy
UL Monroe at New Mexico (-17.5) – My pick is UL Monroe
Louisiana Tech at Florida International (+16.5) – My pick is La Tech
Middle Tennessee at Missouri (-7) – My pick is Middle Tennessee
Miami (OH) at Bowling Green (-4.5) – My pick is Miami (OH)
Hawaii at Air Force (-16.5) – My pick is Hawaii
Sweetbob’s college football picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob.