I went 5-2-1 with my NFL picks against the spread and over/under picks last weekend.
The East Coast got a bunch of snow dumped on them the last few days. Charlotte didn’t get as much as the D.C. area, so the playing conditions for the Carolina/Arizona game shouldn’t be too horrible. I don’t see it affecting the spread or over/under too much.
Both conference championship games have the top two seeds facing off. It should be a fun slate of games (although I wish the Carolina/Arizona game didn’t come on as the same time as the Royal Rumble).
We pick both NFL Conference Championship games against the spread.
Since there are only two games this weekend, as a bonus I will also pick the over/under for both games.
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (+3.5) – over/under (44.5) – My pick is Denver Broncos & UNDER
Denver beat New England in overtime earlier in the year with Peyton Manning on the sideline. New England also had a few key players out (Julian Edelman, Danny Amendola, Jamie Collins). Manning looked ‘okay’ in last week’s game, but he’s clearly not anywhere near his prime. I believe Denver’s defense will be the squad that keeps this game close. If they pressure Brady and make sure Gronk doesn’t kill them, they will stay in this game. I don’t think it will be the shootout many expect. I’m taking the points and the under.
Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers (-3) – over/under (47) – My pick is Arizona Cardinals & UNDER
I love Carolina, but there’s something about their offense that seems vulnerable. I want to point at their wide receivers, but I believe it’s more their offensive line. Cam Newton used his athleticism to avoid pressure more and more as the season went on. Arizona didn’t look very good for a large portion of the Green Bay game, but Larry Fitzgerald’s catch in overtime sealed the victory. I think Arizona could squeak out a win, but I’m just going to take the points and the under in this one…but the Arizona moneyline does look intriguing.
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Sweetbob’s NFL picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob