As a Colts fan, I was utterly embarrassed by the ‘snapfu’ fake punt they tried to convert against the Patriots on Sunday night. I’m beginning to think it wouldn’t be a bad idea if the Colts let head coach Chuck Pagano walk after this season.
I went 7-6-1 against the spread last week. I hit on a couple underdog moneylines and the Colts backdoor cover helped me out a bit.
It’s getting close to the time in which weather becomes a factor. It doesn’t appear that it will affect the games this weekend, but it will become an issue soon.
We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 7 of the 2015 NFL season.
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (+6.5) – My pick is Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is about where I thought they’d be at this point. I didn’t like their passing offense last year, but they managed. I still didn’t like it this year, even though they added TE Jimmy Graham. Their defense is also becoming less effective. That being said, they will still carve up Colin Kaepernick. I don’t trust him against a good secondary. Seattle will bounce back and cover on the road.
Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (+5.5) – My pick is Buffalo Bills
I want to pick the Jaguars here, but all my information points to a Buffalo cover. Weird things always happen in London. Tyrod Taylor may not play, but EJ Manuel wasn’t horrible last week. Blake Bortles is an interception machine and their running game is non-existent. I feel like this line should be a touchdown. I’m taking Buffalo to cover.
Cleveland Browns at St. Louis Rams (-6) – My pick is Cleveland Browns
Jeff Fisher usually does well after a bye week, but Cleveland is playing pretty good. Todd Gurley may turn out to be another Eddie George for Fisher. I just don’t trust Nick Foles right now. He threw four interceptions against Green Bay. Cleveland’s secondary is legit. Gurley would need to have a crazy game to cover. I’m taking the points.
Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins (-4.5) – My pick is Miami Dolphins
I was bullish on Miami this offseason. I still think they are good, but clearly just needed a new coach. The Texans are not good at football. It doesn’t matter which quarterback they throw out there. Miami’s defense will make it difficult for Brian Hoyer. Miami will cover at home.
New York Jets at New England Patriots (-9) – My pick is New York Jets
I’ve been wrong on the Jets for most of the season. Head coach Todd Bowles has the Jets defense playing very well. New England is coming off an emotional game against rival Indy. The Patriots rarely have ‘letdown’ games, but this screams for it to happen. The Jets are better than I thought. I’m taking the points.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Redskins (-3.5) – My pick is Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington was starting to look like a professional football team, but then Matt Jones went down with an injury. You would think they would just keep handing the ball to Alfred Morris, but they seem to have completely abandoned the run game. If they can’t/don’t run, they won’t be able to win on Sunday. Tampa Bay is a decent team and I liked how they played last week against Jacksonville. I’m taking the points.
Atlanta Falcons at Tennessee Titans (+6) – My pick is Atlanta Falcons
Both of Atlanta’s star receivers are banged up. Julio Jones and Roddy White are both still expected to play. Marcus Mariota suffered an MCL injury and is currently questionable, but I don’t see him playing. The Titans aren’t very good. I believe Atlanta is one of the best teams in the league. I’m taking the Falcons to cover.
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (+3) – My pick is Detroit Lions
Detroit played a brutal schedule to start the year. They also needed a little luck in last week’s win against Chicago. I liked Detroit this preseason and they haven’t shown me much so far. The one reason I’m hesitant to pick Minnesota is Teddy Bridgewater. I don’t know if he’s any good. Yes, the Vikings have won their last four games against the spread, but I wasn’t overly impressed by them in any game. It’s really hard for NFC North teams to sweep an in-division rival. I’m taking the points.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (OFF) – My pick is
This line is currently off the board. Once the Steelers starting quarterback is announced, we will pick this game against the spread.
New Orleans Saints at Indianapolis Colts (-5) – My pick is New Orleans Saints
The Colts are 3-3 on the season, but could easily be 1-5. Andrew Luck isn’t 100% and the secondary isn’t as good as last year. The Colts have been outgained in every game this season. Drew Brees might just be 80% healthy, but that’s more than Luck. I don’t like the Colts to cover in this contest. I’m taking the points.
Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (-4) – My pick is Oakland Raiders
Philip Rivers had a monster game against Green Bay last week. He is having a sneaky great year. The Raiders are coming off a bye week and have been pretty good against the pass. The Chargers haven’t been able to get anything from their running attack lately. The Raiders are a better overall team and have played close games on the road. I’m taking the points.
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (-3.5) – My pick is New York Giants
Matt Cassel is slated to start his first game for the Dallas Cowboys. I believe Dallas will get a better performance out of him than when Brandon Weeden started in place of Tony Romo. I just don’t like teams signing quarterbacks mid-season and throwing them out there with only a portion of the playbook. The Giants and Cowboys have played each other very close since 2012. The Giants are the better overall team right now. I’m picking the Giants to cover.
Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers (-3.5) – My pick is Philadelphia Eagles
I was on the Eagles bandwagon early, but jumped off quite disappointed. They have since won their last two games in easy fashion. Carolina is coming off a crazy come-from-behind win against Seattle. I hate picking teams after they’ve played at Seattle. They always seem to fail miserably the following week. I’m taking the Eagles because their offense has made necessary adjustments. Give me the points, sir!
Baltimore Ravens at Arizona Cardinals (-8.5) – My pick is Arizona Cardinals
Man, this spread scares me a little. I think Arizona is great, but just ran into a buzzsaw Pittsburgh team last week. The Ravens have played close to their opponents all year, but are 0-3-1 ATS on the road. The Cardinals are a solid home team and will cover this lofty spread.
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Sweetbob’s NFL picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob