I went 12-8 last week. I missed on Oklahoma, but nearly ran the table on my ‘Quick Hits’ last week. The SEC hasn’t been kind to me so far. The MAC and Big Ten has made up for it though.
The weather isn’t expected to be a huge issue this weekend. The Midwest is due for regular seasonal weather. It will be nippy, but it looks clear.
We at ‘America’s White Boy’ pick against the spread for all the big college football games on Saturday (October 17th, 2015), and pick some smaller conference games as well. Enjoy!
Louisville at Florida State (-7.5) – My pick is Florida State Seminoles
Miami QB Brad Kaaya carved up Florida State’s secondary last week…because that was the only thing that worked for Miami. Florida State still won the game, but Kaaya showed how a team could beat the Seminoles. Unfortunately for Louisville, QB Lamar Jackson doesn’t have the ability right now to throw for 400+ yards. Florida State’s run defense is pretty good, so Jackson’s arm will need to do more damage than his legs. Florida State will cover at home on Saturday.
Penn State at Ohio State (-18.5) – My pick is Penn State Nittany Lions
I’ve been talking crap about Christian Hackenberg the last few weeks. He’s come through week after week. I guess I have to eat crow. I really liked him as a freshman and he just stunk up the joint last season. At this point, I just have to assume he was playing hurt. Big Ten games have been close this year. Ohio State is 1-5 ATS and hasn’t blown anyone out. I don’t see them starting now. This spread seems about a touchdown too high. I’m taking the points.
Michigan State at Michigan (-7) – My pick is Michigan State Spartans
Michigan’s defense has been insane since their opening week loss to Utah. They haven’t allowed a single point in their last three games. Their schedule has been a bit light at this point, but they have proven to be legit. Michigan State was a preseason pick to appear in College Football Playoff. They’ve been ‘good’ so far, but they haven’t pulled away from any opponent. They are 0-6 ATS, but they shouldn’t be a touchdown underdog. I’m taking the points and possible Sparty moneyline play.
Alabama at Texas A&M (+4) – My pick is Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama beat A&M 59-0 last year. I doubt a ‘more mature’ A&M QB Kyle Allen could combat Nick Saban’s strategy against the Aggies. I just don’t get this line. Alabama’s defense has stepped up the last few weeks and are playing as good as ever. I’m taking Bama to cover in College Station.
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech (-3.5) – My pick is Pittsburgh Panthers
I rode Georgia Tech all last year and had great success doing so. Their running game is a mess right now and isn’t effective. Clemson actually out-rushed them last week…something that hasn’t happened in a long time. Pitt has been taking care of business and has used QB Nathan Peterman as a game manager. Their running game has been what has helped them win games. The Yellow Jackets have issues against the run. Pitt will keep this game close or win outright.
West Virginia at Baylor (-22.5) – My pick is West Virginia Mountaineers
The Mountaineers ruined Baylor’s season last year. They can both put up a lot of points. Baylor will probably get around 50, but West Virginia will also score more than 30. Baylor will win this game, but I don’t think they can cover this lofty spread.
Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State (-13.5) – My pick is Mississippi State Bulldogs
Dak Prescott needs to have a big game to put him back on the map. He’s kind of been the forgotten quarterback so far this year. La Tech has a good offense, but I don’t trust QB Jeff Driskel at all. This line could be close, but I believe Mississippi State will squeak out a cover.
USC at Notre Dame (-6.5) – My pick is USC Trojans
USC had a rocky week. They are moving on with Clay Helton as the interim head coach moving forward. The Trojans owned Notre Dame for a stretch, but the rivalry has become more even. They did smoke the Irish last year, but Notre Dame won the previous two meetings. I’m still a big fan of USC QB Cody Kessler. He was horrible last week against Washington, but he’s been solid up to that point. The Trojans need a big win right now. I’m taking the points.
Arizona State at Utah (-6.5) – My pick is Arizona State Sun Devils
Utah has been fantastic this year. Their opening week win against Michigan could end up being one of the most important games of the year (it didn’t seem like it was at the time). Both ASU and Utah depend on their running game. Arizona State’s secondary is weak and have allowed a few big passing games this year. Utah QB Travis Wilson has the arm to do the same, but I don’t see them using that gameplan. They match up well on both sides of the ball. I’m taking the points.
Kent State at UMass (-7) – My pick is Massachusetts Minutemen
This is when we pick a smaller conference game. I rarely pick UMass, because they’ve been a dumpster fire for many years. Kent State is the dumpster fire in the MAC this year. I’m not going to pretend that I’ve watched any UMass game this year, but QB Blake Frohnapfel has looked good in highlights. The Minutemen will cover at home.
Arizona at Colorado (+8.5) – My pick is Arizona
Texas Tech at Kansas (+32) – My pick is Texas Tech
Eastern Michigan at Toledo (-29) – My pick is Eastern Michigan
Marshall at Florida Atlantic (+6) – My pick is Marshall
Georgia State at Ball State (-13.5) – My pick is Ball State
TCU at Iowa State (+21) – My pick is TCU
Nebraska at Minnesota (-2) – My pick is Minnesota
Oklahoma State at Kansas State (+3.5) – My pick is Kansas State
Syracuse at Virginia (-7) – My pick is Syracuse
Boise State at Utah State (+10) – My pick is Boise State
Sweetbob’s college football picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob.