Sorry I didn’t post a ‘college football picks against the spread’ post last week. I never bet on the first week of college football. It’s too risky and honestly, a lot of it is just dumb luck. You don’t get a preseason to watch the teams and it’s a crapshoot. I like going into a ‘betting season’ with more knowledge than just what comes in a media guide.
I’ve been making college football picks against the spread for the last five or six years. I’ve only been keeping a running total the last two years. I am 282-197-12 during that time.
I’ve been on a hot streak the last two years. Any year in which you have a 60%+ success rate on your bets. it is a successful year. I hope I helped you guys out.
We pick against the spread for all the big college football games on Saturday (September 12th, 2015), and pick some smaller conference games as well. Enjoy!
Oregon at Michigan State (-3.5) – My pick is Michigan State Spartans
Their matchup last year was one of the more entertaining games of the season. Oregon no longer has Marcus Mariota under center. I’m not quite sure if new Oregon starting quarterback Vernon Adams is up for the task. I like Michigan State quarterback Connor Cook more than most. I could see him playing on Sundays next year. Give me the Spartans to cover at home.
Kentucky at South Carolina (-7.5) – My pick is Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky upset South Carolina last season. The Wildcats seem to have found their stride with Patrick Towles at quarterback. The Gamecocks defense is more than ready to do their job, but I’m not sure if their offense can put up the points to cover this spread. Give me the points in this contest.
Oklahoma at Tennessee (+1) – My pick is Oklahoma Sooners
Bowling Green quarterback Matt Johnson threw for over 400 yards against Tennessee last week. The Vols still beat them by nearly 30 points, but that is a huge red flag. Oklahoma quarterback Baker Mayfield has an arm on him. The Sooners should be able to carve up Tennessee’s secondary to win this game.
Iowa at Iowa State (+3.5) – My pick is Iowa Hawkeyes
You can usually throw the records out when these two teams get together. They each give their best effort in this game. Iowa State was a bad, bad team late last season. I don’t see Iowa losing this one in Ames, Iowa.
Notre Dame at Virginia (+13) – My pick is Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame was impressive last week against Texas. They lost starting running back Tarean Folston for the season, but the rest of the backfield dominated the Longhorns. The Irish offense is well-rounded and will have success this year. I expect the Irish to cover the spread on the road.
Houston at Louisville (-12.5) – My pick is Houston Cougars
Louisville had a tough game against Auburn last week. Their defense held their own, but still lost by a touchdown. Houston is known for their aerial attack and a 12.5 point spread seems a little high. Louisville may still win the game, but I’m taking the points.
Buffalo at Penn State (-21) – My pick is Buffalo Bulls
I once thought Penn State quarterback Christian Hackenberg was a future NFL quarterback. I am not sure what went wrong, but after the third or fourth game last season, he has been awful. Last week’s game against Temple was another stinker from him. I don’t see Penn State scoring 21 points, let alone covering a spread of that amount. I’m taking the points all day.
Bowling Green at Maryland (-10.5) – My pick is Maryland Terrapins
As I said earlier, Bowling Green had a great passing day against Tennessee last week. Unfortunately, they couldn’t stop the run…at all. I expect Maryland running backs Brandon Ross, Ty Johnson and Wes Brown to all get their touches. I’m taking Maryland to cover.
Temple at Cincinnati (-7) – My pick is Cincinnati Bearcats
Temple beat Penn State last week in what many said was the upset of the week. I don’t think Penn State is as good as people thought, so I wasn’t too surprised. This point spread should probably be around 10, but people are now aware of Temple. I like Cincy quarterback Gunner Kiel. He was once a highly-touted prep quarterback and transferred from Notre Dame to be closer to home. I like the Bearcats in this one. Their offense is more explosive.
Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky (+1) – My pick is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
This is when we pick a smaller conference game. The bane of my existence is now the quarterback at Louisiana Tech, Jeff Driskel. He cost me a lot of money as the starting quarterback at Florida. I can’t believe I’m picking a Driskel-quarterbacked team again, but they should win at WKU.
Utah State at Utah (-14) – My pick is Utah
Ball State at Texas A&M (-30.5) – My pick is Ball State
Florida International at Indiana (-8) – My pick is Indiana
South Alabama at Nebraska (-27) – My pick is Nebraska
Memphis at Kansas (+13) – My pick is Memphis
Arizona at Nevada (+11.5) – My pick is Nevada
East Carolina at Florida (-20.5) – My pick is Florida
Pittsburgh at Akron (+13) – My pick is Pittsburgh
San Diego State at California (-13.5) – My pick is California
Fresno State at Ole Miss (-29.5) – My pick is Ole Miss
Sweetbob’s college football picks against the spread record in previous seasons:
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob.