I had a pretty decent year picking college football games against the spread. My record is now 148-118-4 on the season.
When betting on bowl games, make sure to Google if the team still has their head coach. Not many coaching changes have happened, but Nebraska, Pittsburgh, Wisconsin and a few others, won’t have their coach for the bowl.
We were 134-79-8 against the spread betting on college football games for the 2013-14 season. We hope to finish this season strong.
We pick against the spread for every bowl game. Enjoy!
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl: Nevada vs Louisiana-Lafayette (-1) – My pick is UL-Lafayette
This game is being played in UL-Lafayette’s backyard. I usually don’t factor that in, but this is pretty extreme.
Gildan New Mexico Bowl: UTEP vs Utah State (-10) – My Pick is Utah State
UTEP barely has a program. Utah State is a legit team.
Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl: Colorado State vs Utah (-3) – My pick is Utah
Utah has played against stiff competition all year. Colorado State is playing without their head coach.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Western Michigan vs Air Force (-1.5) – My pick is Western Michigan
I’ve made money on betting with Western Michigan this season. I’m going to ride them one last time.
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl: Bowling Green vs South Alabama (-3) – My pick is Bowling Green
South Alabama will be glad they made it. Bowling Green’s non-conference schedule was pretty good. They will be ready.
Boca Raton Bowl: Marshall vs Northern Illinois (+9.5) – My pick is Marshall
There will be no defense played in this game. I hate that this line is so high, but Marshall should cover this one.
San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl: Navy vs San Diego State (-3) – My pick is San Diego State
Navy finally has an opponent that can go toe-to-toe with them on the ground. If San Diego State running back Donnel Pumphrey bulks up, he will be a nice NFL prospect. The Aztec will cover in the “Our Name Is Too Long Bowl”.
Popeye’s Bahamas Bowl: Western Kentucky vs Central Michigan (+4) – My pick is Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky beat Marshall a few weeks ago and it was one of the best college football games I’ve watched this season. WKU quarterback Brandon Doughty has a cannon and he distributes the ball all over the place. Their receivers get open. I’m picking the Hilltoppers to cover.
Sheraton Hawaii Bowl: Fresno State vs Rice (-2.5) – My pick is Rice
Fresno State has been up and down all season. Rice did suffer two blowout losses late, but those were against teams that had elite running games. Fresno State’s ground attack isn’t on that level. It will be close, but Rice will cover.
Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl: Louisiana Tech vs Illinois (+6) – My pick is Lousiana Tech
Louisiana Tech was one of the teams that demolished Rice on the ground. Illinois is horrible against the run. La Tech will cover this one.
Quick Lane Bowl: North Carolina vs Rutgers (+3) – My pick is North Carolina
North Carolina was fairly consistent by the end of the season. Rutgers was 2-4 in their last six games. All of their losses came against eventual bowl teams, but they were utterly torched in a few of those games. I’m picking the Tar Heels to win this bowl game.
BITCOIN St. Petersburg Bowl: UCF vs N.C. State (+2) – My pick is North Carolina State
NC State started to find their identity in their last two games. They just focused on the run game. If they do that, they will beat Central Florida.
Military Bowl: Virginia Tech vs Cincinnati (-2.5) – My pick is Cincinnati
Va Tech mailed it long before the season ended. Cincinnati are on a seven game winning streak. They are 6-0-1 ATS during that stretch. Give me the Bearcats all day.
Hyundai Sun Bowl: Duke vs Arizona State (-7) – My pick is Arizona State
I loved Duke for a long stretch this season. I was lucky to jump off the bandwagon before the wheels fell off. I thought about picking them here, but the beatdown ASU put on Notre Dame is scorched in my memory. I have to go with the Sun Devils to cover.
Duck Commander Independence Bowl: Miami (FL) vs South Carolina (+3.5) – My pick is South Carolina
Neither of these teams earned anyone money this season. They are both under-.500 ATS this season. If South Carolina stacks the box and stops UM running back Duke Johnson, the Gamecocks win this game.
New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Boston College vs Penn State (+3) – My pick is Boston College
I’ve stayed away from Penn State for most of the year. They never won ATS in back-to-back games this season. I loved Boston College this year. I’ve done well with them this season and I’m going to ride them one more game.
National University Holiday Bowl: Nebraska vs USC (-7) – My pick is USC
Bo Pelini was fired and went on an expletive-laced rant against the AD in his last players’ meeting. I’m not entirely sure the Cornhuskers care at this point. USC will roll Nebraska.
AutoZone Liberty Bowl: West Virginia vs Texas A&M (+3.5) – My pick is Texas A&M
A&M has been a disaster this year. They have only covered once in the last eight games. I would normally stay away from them, but I feel the market has corrected. If this game happened two months ago, A&M would have been a six point favorite.
Russell Athletic Bowl: Oklahoma vs Clemson (+3.5) – My pick is Oklahoma
Clemson earned their bowl bid by taking care of business at home. They were not a very good road team this season. Oklahoma travels well and think they will cover.
AdvoCare Texas Bowl: Texas vs Arkansas (-6.5) – My pick is Arkansas
I wasn’t feeling Texas before the season. They had too many question marks. They won me over near the end of the season. The program is much better than I thought. I’ve been high on Arkansas all year. They showed up in big games and covered against Alabama, LSU, Ole Miss and Mississippi State. The Razorbacks will cover against the Longhorns.
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl: Notre Dame vs LSU (-7.5) – My pick is LSU
Notre Dame has lost five-straight games outright and were 0-5 ATS in those games. They haven’t been the same since their loss to Navy. LSU’s defense will smother the Irish.
Belk Bowl: Louisville vs Georgia (-6.5) – My pick is Georgia
Louisville has been squeaking by opponents. They did impress me with their 38-19 win at Boston College, but the close wins against Notre Dame and Kentucky that followed, worry me. Georgia did lose Todd Gurley, but they are still a strong team. I’m picking the Bulldogs to cover.
Foster Farms Bowl: Maryland vs Stanford (-14) – My pick is Stanford
I feel like this pick should come with a disclaimer. I’ve been all over the place with Stanford this year. I tend to be on the wrong side when it comes to the Cardinal. They did finish the season with strong wins on the road against Cal and UCLA. I’ve watched plenty of Maryland games this season. They aren’t a very good team.
Outback Bowl: Wisconsin vs Auburn (-6.5) – My pick is Wisconsin
Hear me out…Barry Alvarez is making a return to the sidelines for this game. The players really wanted him to coach the bowl game. Alvarez loves the run game. As long as they keep feeding Melvin Gordon the ball, they should keep it close. Auburn has been overrated for most of the season. They are only 4-8 ATS this season. I think the Badgers will make this close. I’m taking the points.
Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl: Minnesota vs Missouri (-5.5) – My pick is Missouri
I love Missouri in this game. This is where you see the difference between the SEC and Big Ten. Yes, you see it when the best team from each conference plays each other, but the discrepancy is huge when you take the fifth-best from each conference and have them play. The SEC is deep. Mizzou is very underrated. This line should be closer to a touchdown.
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl: Houston vs Pittsburgh (-3) – My pick is Pittsburgh
I struggled with this pick. I think this game could very well end near this line. Neither team will have its head coach. Pitt has more talent and think they will edge this cover out.
TaxSlayer Bowl: Iowa vs Tennessee (-3.5) – My pick is Iowa
Iowa is 7-5, but it’s a strong 7-5. They had close losses to Nebraska and Wisconsin to the end the year. Tennessee doesn’t have any marquee wins on their résumé. The overtime win at South Carolina would be marquee any other year, but not this one. The Hawkeyes will cover.
Valero Alamo Bowl: Kansas State vs UCLA (-1) – My pick is Kansas State
I’ve been wrong on UCLA more than any other team (yes, even Stanford). I went into the year really high on them, but week after week, they just fail to cover. They were 3-1 ATS in their final four games of the season, but it was too late to drag me back on the bandwagon. I rode Kansas State for most of the season. KSU should be favored by a few points, but UCLA is a public team. I’m picking Kansas State in this one.
Cactus Bowl: Oklahoma State vs Washington (-5.5) – My pick is Washington
I don’t trust Oklahoma State. They were smart to start freshman quarterback Mason Rudolph over Daxx Garman. They were actually able to put up points against Baylor and Oklahoma. I don’t trust OSU’s defense. U-Dub will pull out this cover.
Birmingham Bowl: East Carolina vs Florida (-6.5) – My pick is Florida
East Carolina can score in bunches, but they haven’t faced an SEC defense this season. The Gators finished strong and they did knowing their coach was out the door. Florida will pull out a cover.
GoDaddy Bowl: Arkansas State vs Toledo (-3.5) – My pick is Toledo
Toledo played a tough non-conference schedule. They played Missouri and Cincinnati, but were unable to come out of those games with a win. They only had one conference loss and it was to the eventual MAC champion. They are better than their record indictates. I’m picking the Rockets to cover.
Fiesta Bowl: Boise State vs Arizona (-3.5) – My pick is Boise State
Boise State loves to play power conference teams in major bowl games. They’ve made magic a few times and this team could pull off some more. They can put up a lot of points. I expect this game to be closer than expected. I’m picking Boise State to upset Arizona.
Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl: TCU vs Ole Miss (+3.5) – My pick is TCU
Ole Miss fell off the face of the Earth once they started to face the meat of the SEC. TCU deserve to be playing in the four-team playoff. They are legit. TCU will cover against Mississippi.
Capital One Orange Bowl: Mississippi State vs Georgia Tech (+7) – My pick is Georgia Tech
I can’t wait for this game. Georgia Tech’s triple option isn’t found in the SEC. The closest Mississippi State came to seeing an elite running game was when they beat Arkansas 17-10. Arkansas doesn’t run a triple-option, but their running backs are damn good. The Yellow Jackets nearly beat Florida State in the ACC Championship. Their run scheme gives teams fits. You can’t adequately practice against it. I’m taking the points.
AT&T Cotton Bowl Classic: Michigan State vs Baylor (-3) – My pick is Baylor
Michigan State gets by on scheme and great coaching. They don’t get the best players in their own state, but they make it work. Baylor is just too much on offense for the Spartans to contain. I’m picking Baylor to cover.
Rose Bowl Game: Florida State vs Oregon (-9) – My pick is Oregon
Damn. I wish this point spread was a touchdown. Florida State is the most underwhelming undefeated defending champion in the history of college football. FSU’s defense isn’t as stout as last season. They lost talent to the NFL Draft. I don’t think they can hang. I’m taking the Ducks to cover.
Allstate Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs Ohio State (+9) – My pick is Alabama
I’ve seen this story before. Powerhouse Big Ten team advances to major bowl game against the best of the SEC…it always ends bad for the Big Ten. Nick Saban will have OSU’s third-string quarterback begging for mercy. I’m taking the Tide to cover.
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob.