It’s rivalry week! Alabama/Auburn, Ohio State/Michigan, Florida/Florida State and…the Egg Bowl. Yes, Ole Miss/Mississippi State means something this year. I expect a fun week of college football. I picked a lot of favorites this week, but I’m not worried.
We were 134-79-8 against the spread betting on college football games last season. We hope to keep it going and help you guys out again this season.
We pick against the spread for all the big college football games on Saturday (November 29nd, 2014), and picked some smaller conference games as well. Enjoy!
Auburn at Alabama (-9.5) – My pick is Alabama Crimson Tide
Neither of these teams have been very kind to bettors. Auburn (4-7 ATS) and Alabama (3-8 ATS) are extremely ‘public’, so it’s always hard to find value. Alabama was shaky in early October, but found their swagger after beating Texas A&M 59-0. Coach Saban circled that game before the season and his team delivered. I expect the same high-level of play against Auburn. I’m sure coach has played the Auburn yokel screaming “AUBURN’S GONNA WIN THE FOOTBALL GAME!” when the Tigers returned Alabama’s missed field goal for a touchdown. This game will be close to the line, but I can see Alabama covering 27-17.
Michigan at Ohio State (-21) – My pick is Ohio State Buckeyes
The Michigan hate is real in Columbus, folks. I lived near campus for a half decade and it gets nasty the week leading to the game. The Buckeyes have the opportunity to do two things to Michigan. First, a Ohio State win would prevent Michigan from being bowl-eligible. Secondly, and most important, Ohio State could send a Michigan coach packing. I’m sure Brady Hoke’s future is already set in stone, but if Ohio State embarrasses Michigan, that would make the exit that much sweeter for Buckeye fans. I expect a score somewhere around the final score of the 2010 OSU/UM game. The Buckeyes won that game 37-7 in Columbus.
Mississippi State at Ole MIss (+3) – My pick is Mississippi State Bulldogs
This is the first time the Egg Bowl has been nationally-televised since 1964. The home crowd will be rowdy. The home team has won nine out of the last 10. It does sound a bit risky to pick the road team, but MSU is the better team. The Rebels lost their confidence. I thought maybe destroying Presbyterian would do them well, but they were immediately shutout by Arkansas 30-0. Bo Wallace hasn’t been playing well. Dak Prescott will outshine Wallace and lead Mississippi State to a cover on the road.
Florida at Florida State (-7.5) – My pick is Florida Gators
Will Muschamp has a legacy to save. If he’s able to beat Florida State on his way out, his time at Florida won’t be looked at as a total loss…also it will be much easier for him to land another job (i.e. Ron Zook). Florida quarterback Treon Harris suffered a knee injury last week, but he is expected to play. Florida State has only covered one game at home this season. Florida’s offense can drain the clock and help keep the ball out of Jameis Winston’s hands. I’m taking the points.
Oregon at Oregon State (+20) – My pick is Oregon Ducks
Heisman candidates have been falling off the radar. Marcus Mariota could break away from the pack with a big game against Oregon State. I didn’t like how the Beavers played against Washington last week. They’ve had issues stopping the run all season, but they were embarrassed by the Huskies. Oregon should be able to do what they want on the ground. I’m taking Oregon to cover on the road.
Notre Dame at USC (-7) – My pick is USC Trojans
Notre Dame has lost their last three games outright and have lost four straight against the spread. They’ve been able to put up points, but their defense has been inconsistent. USC quarterbacks have made a name for themselves by having big games against the Irish. I feel like it is Cody Kessler’s turn to do just that. Kessler has throw 19 touchdowns in the last five games. He has only thrown four interceptions all season. I’m picking the Trojans to cover.
Georgia Tech at Georgia (-12.5) – My pick is Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
I’ve done well betting on both teams this year. Georgia Tech’s funky rushing attack frustrates defenses. Georgia had a stretch of games without Todd Gurley and they covered most of those games. They find themselves without him again, but I don’t see the outcome being the same. Tech’s defense is better than advertised. This game will be close, so I’m taking the points.
Stanford at UCLA (-5) – UCLA Bruins
Ugh. I’ve lost money this year betting on Stanford and UCLA. The market finally corrected and I’ve been on the winning side lately. UCLA has won its last five games outright and have won against the spread in their last three games. Stanford has been an inconsistent shit-show of a team all year. They can’t string together two good games back-to-back. They beat Cal last week 38-17, but they are consistently inconsistent. Brett Hundley has FINALLY started to play up to his preseason hype. I’m picking UCLA to cover at home.
Baylor at Texas Tech (+26) – My pick is Baylor Bears
TCU beat Texas Tech 82-37 earlier this season. I don’t see Tech giving up another 82-point game, but Baylor will do their best to get close to that total. The Red Raiders have trouble stopping the run. Baylor don’t have one specific running back to fear, they have four or five that share the workload. I expect a Baylor cover on the road.
Toledo at Eastern Michigan (+23) – My pick is Toledo Rockets
This is where we pick a smaller conference game. Ball State nearly pulled out a cover against Eastern Michigan last week, but failed by two points. Ball State, who only scored 31 points in their two previous games combined, put up 45 points on them. Toledo has ran a pass-happy offense for years, but they are running the ball more this season. Kareem Hunt is a name you will be hearing a lot the next two years. He’s a talented running back. Toledo will cover on the road.
Kentucky at Louisville (-13) – My pick is Louisville
LSU at Texas A&M (+3.5) – My pick is Texas A&M
Purdue at Indiana (-3) – My pick is Indiana
Kansas at Kansas State (-28) – My pick is Kansas State
TCU at Texas (+7) – My pick is TCU
Syracuse at Boston College (-11.5) – My pick is Boston College
Michigan State at Penn State (+13.5) – My pick is Michigan State
Washington at Washington State (+3.5) – My pick is Washington
Minnesota at Wisconsin (-14) – My pick is Minnesota
NC State at North Carolina (-6.5) – My pick is North Carolina
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob.