I had an up & down week. I went 10-10, but hit on a couple moneyline underdogs. I didn’t foresee the Melvin Gordon’s record day or I would have picked Wisconsin over Nebraska. My record is now 120-96-3 on the season.
Snow blanketed many parts of the Midwest and Northeast this week. Those areas are expected to thaw out and shouldn’t be huge problems. Please keep an eye on weather forecasts in case weather patterns shift.
We were 134-79-8 against the spread betting on college football games last season. We hope to keep it going and help you guys out again this season.
We pick against the spread for all the big college football games on Saturday (November 22nd, 2014), and picked some smaller conference games as well. Enjoy!
Stanford at California (+6) – My pick is California Golden Bears
I was all over Stanford early this year, but Kevin Hogan has disappointed me. I don’t want to paint him with the ‘Jeff Driskel Brush of Hate’, but I’m getting close. They are having trouble scoring points. Cal’s offense is hard to stop. The Bears have trouble stopping teams, but the way Stanford is playing, it shouldn’t be too difficult. Hogan hasn’t looked good since mid-October when they beat Washington State 34-17. I’m taking the points.
Minnesota at Nebraska (-10.5) – My pick is Minnesota Golden Gophers
Wisconsin destroyed Nebraska last week. Melvin Gordon broke an FBS record for most rushing yards in a game with a 408-yard performance. Minnesota running back David Cobb is currently drowning in his own drool. I know Nebraska is at home, but a double-digit point spread is a bit absurd after that beating. The Cornhuskers are still a fairly public team, so Vegas will still get action, but I’m not biting. I’m taking the points.
Ole Miss at Arkansas (+3.5) – My pick is Arkansas Razorbacks
Arkansas has played much better than their 5-5 record suggests. They are 8-2 ATS while forcing overtime against Texas A&M and losing to Alabama by a single point. They could easily be 7-3 outright as we speak. Ole Miss have lost three straight games against the spread and are 1-2 in those games. The Arkansas defense finally found out how to win games. They struggled early in the year, but they are coming off a shutout against LSU. Ole Miss will continue to tumble. I’m taking the points.
Louisville at Notre Dame (-3.5) – My pick is Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Louisville will be without starting quarterback Will Gardner for the rest of the year. Freshman Reggie Bonnafon will be starting in his place. He has played some this season, but hasn’t been as effective. He has some wheels on him, but tends to hold onto the ball too long. Michigan quarterback Devin Gardner has some of those same characteristics and Notre Dame shut him out. I expect the Irish to bounce back after back-to-back losses.
USC at UCLA (-3.5) – My pick is UCLA Bruins
UCLA is my betting kryptonite. I picked them a lot early in the year, but then finally got away from them. They have covered their last two games and have won their last four games outright. This is one of the biggest rivalry games in the country. I have a hard time forgetting those early UCLA losses, but it makes sense to pick them this week. Brett Hundley is playing much better and hasn’t thrown an interception since mid-October. I’m picking UCLA to cover.
Boston College at Florida State (-20) – My pick is Boston College Eagles
BC is coming off a bad loss to Louisville. Tyler Murphy had his worst collegiate game and threw four interceptions. I don’t see him being that careless with the ball against Florida State. I expect Murphy to keep it on the ground by either running it himself or feeding Jon Hillman. They need to own the clock. This spread is just a too large and I’m taking the points.
Penn State at Illinois (+6.5) – My pick is Illinois Fighting Illini
What the hell happened to Christian Hackenberg? He started out the year with three straight 300+ passing games and hasn’t sniffed that mark since. He has thrown twice as many interceptions than touchdowns. I know Illinois hasn’t looked great, but I’m not putting a penny on Hackenberg right now. I’m taking the points.
Indiana at Ohio State (-35) – My pick is Ohio State Buckeyes
IU is playing a true freshman at quaterback who is the son of a ‘Bold & the Beautiful’ soap opera star. Zander Diamont has no chance against Ohio State. His goal is to just hand the ball to Tevin Coleman until the end of the game. OSU is currently outside the four-team playoff and will need to earn as many brownie points as possible. I expect the Buckeyes to slaughter the Hoosiers at home and cover.
Arizona at Utah (-4) – My pick is Arizona Wildcats
Utah has a knack for keeping games close. They have played in three overtimes games (2-1 outright) and are 8-2 ATS. In their last seven games, only one game wasn’t within six points. That game was a blowout loss to Oregon at home 51-27. Arizona has trouble against teams with powerful running games. Utah running back Devontae Booker needs 30+ carries to accumulate significant rushing totals, so the Utes don’t fit the bill. I’m taking the points in a close game.
Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-17) – My pick is Ball State Cardinals
This is when we pick a smaller conference game. Eastern lost their last two games by a combined 75 points. Ball State lost a lot of talent due to graduation and haven’t been dominant. They are still able to put up points, so they should cover this game. Eastern just can’t stop anyone.
Wisconsin at Iowa (+10) – My pick is Wisconsin
Miami (FL) at Virginia (+6) – My pick is Miami (FL)
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State (-30) – My pick is Vanderbilt
Oklahoma State at Baylor (-28) – My pick is Baylor
Missouri at Tennessee (-3.5) – My pick is Mizzou
Oregon State at Washington (-7) – My pick is Oregon State
Western Michigan at Central Michigan (-1.5) – My pick is Western Michigan
Washington State at Arizona State (-16.5) – My pick is Washington State
Virginia Tech at Wake Forest (+15) – My pick is Wake Forest
Rutgers at Michigan State (-22.5) – My pick is Michigan State
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob.