2014 NCAA Football – Week 11 Betting Picks Against Spread

LSU football hot sexy cheerleaders gamblingI had a pretty nice week. I ended up going 13-7 and hit on some underdog moneyline plays. My record is now 98-78-3 on the season.

I haven’t heard much about the weather being a huge issue this weekend. It is expected to rain in the Midwest. The weather isn’t expected to fall below 33 degrees, but check the national weather map as Saturday approaches.

We were 134-79-8 against the spread betting on college football games last season. We hope to keep it going and help you guys out again this season.

We pick against the spread for all the big college football games on Saturday (November 8th, 2014), and picked some smaller conference games as well. Enjoy!

Alabama at LSU (+6.5) – My pick is LSU Tigers

Alabama is a public team, so it is hard to get a winnable line. They were finally brought back to Earth after losing to Ole Miss…but they were not down for long. After their 59-0 win versus Texas A&M, they had a 20-point line against Tennessee. Alabama is 2-6 ATS and didn’t cover either of the two single-digit point spreads they’ve had this season. LSU is 7-2 ATS and their defense steps up at home. In six home games, LSU’s defense has only allowed 51 points (34 of those points came in a single games against Michigan State). The Tigers are coming off a big win against Ole Miss. LSU will keep this game close. I’m taking the points.

West Virgina at Texas (+3.5) – My pick is West Virginia Mountaineers

This kind of feels like a sucker bet. Why isn’t this line a little higher? Texas is a public team, but I feel like it should be WVU -6.5. I’m not going to over-think this one. WVU nearly had TCU beat last week, but it wasn’t meant to be. They will not let a win fall through their hands this week.

Baylor at Oklahoma (-4.5) – My pick is Baylor Bears

This is another weird Big 12 betting line. I know Oklahoma is coming off a 59-14 drubbing of Iowa State, but it’s Iowa State. Baylor is a scoring machine. Oklahoma’s defense has been giving up nearly 30 points per game since mid-September. I don’t see where this line is coming from. I’m picking Baylor to cover and as a possible moneyline play.

Ohio State at Michigan State (-3.5) – My pick is Michigan State Spartans

ESPN talking heads have been making a huge deal of Michigan State’s ‘cake schedule’, yet there hasn’t been a peep about Ohio State’s easy schedule. The Buckeyes haven’t really played a marquee team since last year’s bowl game. Virginia Tech came into Columbus and beat them (and the Hokies have been horrible since). Michigan State is playing well and will bring Ohio State back down to reality.

Kansas State at TCU (-6) – My pick is TCU Horned Frogs

TCU squeaked by West Virginia last week. They also played Baylor tight in their previous road game. They lost that game in the final moments. TCU is a known quantity at home. Kansas State has a five-game winning streak, but only one of those games was on the road. The Wildcats have played six of their first eight games at home. On the road, they beat Oklahoma by a point and edged Iowa State by four. Not exactly a huge showing in either game. I’m picking TCU to lap Kansas State.

Duke at Syracuse (+3.5) – My pick is Duke Blue Devils

Duke is 7-1 and ranked in the Top 20. They also have a 5-2-1 record against the spread. Syracuse is 1-6 in their last seven games and are 3-4 against the spread in that span. I don’t get this line. Why are so many lines ‘off’? I would even pick this game if Duke was seven-point favorites.

Penn State at Indiana (+7) – My pick is Penn State Nittany Lions

Indiana is the most one-sided offense to have ever one-sided offense’d. They lost starting quarterback Nate Sudfeld to a shoulder injury and then second-string QB Nate Boudreau suffered a less-serious shoulder injury. Sudfeld is out for the year, but Boudreau is questionable this week. True freshman Zander Diamont has been thrown to the wolves. He’s 10 for 23 with 35 passing yards…in two full games. Even if Boudreau starts, there’s only so much Tevin Coleman can do. He’s really good, but he’s not God. I’m picking Penn State to cover.

Notre Dame at Arizona State (-2.5) – My pick is Notre Dame Fighting Irish

I’ve watched both teams a lot this season. ASU QB Taylor Kelly hasn’t played well since returning as the starter. I actually think they would be better off with Mike Bercovici under center. Notre Dame’s defense will cause Kelly problems on Saturday. They will be happy facing a non-Navy offense. I expect a nice day from ND QB Everett Golson. I’m taking the points.

Georgia Tech at NC State (+3.5) – My pick is Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

NC State hasn’t stopped the run all season. I expect GT to rack up 400+ yards on the ground and 35+ points. I’m picking Tech to cover.

UL Monroe at Appalachian State (-3.5) – My pick is UL Monroe Warhawks

This is where we pick an under-the-radar smaller conference game. The Warhawks are coming off a close loss at Texas A&M. They were five points away from the biggest win in the history of the program. It didn’t happen, but they are coming into this game confident. Appalachian State has a high-octane offense, but I’m going out on a limb and picking UL Monroe’s defense to stop them.

QUICK HITS

Louisville at Boston College (+3.5) – My pick is Boston College

Georgia at Kentucky (+10) – My pick is Georgia

Iowa at Minnesota (+2) – My pick is Minnesota

Tulane at Houston (-17.5) – My pick is Houston

Texas A&M at Auburn (-22) – My pick is Texas A&M

Washington State at Oregon State (-8) – My pick is Washington State

UCLA at Washington (+5) – My pick is UCLA

Oregon at Utah (+8.5) – My pick is Oregon

Colorado at Arizona (-16.5) – My pick is Colorado

Memphis at Temple (+7.5) – My pick is Temple

*These picks are for entertainment purposes

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sweetbob-author-picAbout the Author…

Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot ClicksGuyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob.

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