Last week was up and down. You had a handful of games that didn’t live up to the billing (Bama/A&M & UK/LSU) mixed with some out-of-nowhere upsets (UNC/GA Tech). I went 10-10 and now sit at 74-63-2 on the season.
The weather is becoming colder and weather reports are becoming more and more important with each following week. Also, look at teams who faced the same team.
We were 134-79-8 against the spread betting on college football games last season. We hope to keep it going and help you guys out again this season.
We pick against the spread for all the big college football games on Saturday (October 25th, 2014), and picked some smaller conference games as well. Enjoy!
Mississippi State at Kentucky (+14) – My pick is Mississippi Bulldogs
I have no confidence in Kentucky right now. I was skeptical of them before, but after LSU’s beat down, I’m completely out. I felt Kentucky was overrated since their overtime loss at Florida. Yes, they did have a nice win against South Carolina, but I knew it couldn’t last. Dak Prescott will have a career day.
Mississippi at LSU (+4) – My pick is Ole Miss Rebels
Both teams are coming off blowout wins. They both have games in which their defense was impossible to score upon. I think the edge in this game is Ole Miss QB Bo Wallace. He’s efficient and has the ability to throw for big gains if needed. I love LSU running back Leonard Fournette, but the Ole Miss defense is too good for the freshman to handle this year.
West Virginia at Oklahoma State (-1) – My pick is West Virginia Mountaineers
The Mountaineers beat Baylor and shocked the world. The team is moving in the right direction. They haven’t proven to be a good road team. They barely edged Texas Tech and Maryland on the road and lost to Alabama by ten points. Oklahoma State was smoked by TCU last week and squeaked by Kansas the week before. They aren’t themselves and I’m avoiding them this week.
Ohio State at Penn State (+14) – My pick is Ohio State Buckeyes
Historically, Ohio State vs. Penn State games have been ugly. The weather is usually bad and something odd usually happens. Ohio State is currently 5-1 ATS, which is hard to do with a public team. Their only loss against the spread was their actual loss to Virginia Tech. Penn State has only scored a total of 32 points in their three Big Ten games this season. Those games were against Rutgers, Northwestern & Michigan…not exactly the cream of the crop. Ohio State should leave Happy Valley with a blowout win.
Texas Tech at TCU (-23) – My pick is Texas Tech Red Raiders
TCU is on a warpath this season. Baylor and Oklahoma are the only teams this season to score more than 14 points against them. They are 6-0 ATS so far, but this line appears to be a tad high. It might be time to abandon ship. Texas Tech’s offense is slowing improving. They couldn’t quite get going during their four-game losing streak. They had a close game against West Virginia and beat Kansas. TCU will definitely beat Tech, but 23 points seems a bit lofty. I’ll take the points.
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh (-4) – My pick is Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Georgia Tech is coming off back-to-back losses to Duke and North Carolina. Those losses were both within a touchdown. They are still better than most of the ACC, including Pittsburgh, who struggles against the run. It’s time to jump back on the Georgia Tech bandwagon.
South Florida at Cincinnati (-11) – My pick is South Florida Bulls
This line is a joke. Cincinnati did win big last week, but they faced SMU. Every team should dominate SMU. South Florida is better than this line. Cincy might win, but I’ll take the points.
UCLA at Colorado (+13.5) – My pick is UCLA Bruins
UCLA is 1-6 ATS and should have lost their last three games outright (sorry, Cal fans). This line is more manageable for the Bruins to cover. Colorado has put up at least 28 points the last three games, but are also on a three-game losing streak. We definitely overrated UCLA this preseason, but they will right the ship and cover at Colorado.
Michigan at Michigan State (-17.5) – My pick is Michigan State Spartans
This game is becoming more and more of a rivalry. It’s been easy to have Michigan State in your state when you’re also doing well. When the Wolverines are down in the dumps, the Michigan State game becomes extremely important. It’s not at the Ohio State/Michigan level, but when Michigan loses blue chip recruits to State, it’s time to panic. I’ll take Sparty to blowout Brady Hoke and the boys.
Ohio at Western Michigan (-10.5) – My pick is Western Michigan Broncos
This is where we pick an under-the-radar smaller conference game. Western Michigan is on a little offensive tear. They have won two road games in a row. That is hard to do in the MAC. Ohio hasn’t scored more than 23 points since late-September. They did manage to beat Akron by a field goal last week, but WMU is the better team. A double-digit point spread is a bit advantageous, but I think the Broncos cover.
North Carolina at Virginia (-7) – My pick is North Carolina
Memphis at SMU (+23) – My pick is Memphis
Alabama at Tennessee (+18) – My pick is Alabama
UAB at Arkansas (-23.5) – My pick is Arkansas
Akron at Ball State (+2.5) – My pick is Akron
Oregon State at Stanford (-13.5) – My pick is Stanford
Old Dominion at Western Kentucky (-11) – My pick is Old Dominion
South Carolina at Aubun (-18.5) – My pick is Auburn
Arizona State at Washington (pk) – My pick is Arizona State
USC at Utah (-1) – My pick is Utah
*These picks are for entertainment purposes
Bobby Roberts (otherwise known as Sweetbob) is the creator of ‘America’s White Boy’ and contributor at Project Shanks. His writing has been featured on ESPN’s ‘SportsNation’, Sports Illustrated’s Hot Clicks, Guyspeed, and various other sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @Sweetbob.