2013 NFL Week 8 – Betting Picks Against Spread

Cincinnati-Bengals-NFL-CheerleaderI had a good week. I went 10-5 last week. I missed on the Colts game (like everybody else), but I also picked Buffalo on a moneyline play for the upset. Need betting advice for the NFL games this weekend? We pick every game against the spread in Week 8 of the NFL season.

Say goodbye to any value in the points spreads. The value is now in the decent teams with a bad record (Atlanta, NY Giants, Pittsburgh). Those plays are risky, but they’ll payoff again this week. Keep those teams in mind in the coming weeks.

Six teams are on bye this week, so there are three less games this weekend. Whoever made that decision in the NFL office should be fired. I’m sure he’s the same guy who’s pushing for more NFL games in London.

We pick every NFL game against the spread and throw out a few upsets in Week 8 of the NFL season.

Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions (-3) – My pick is Dallas

I’m not convinced Detroit is a good team. The spread is -3, so Vegas believes Dallas and Detroit are equal. The Lions are just getting the home-field three-point bump. I don’t see it that way. At the very least, this spread should be -1. I like a Dallas moneyline play here. They could easily upset the Lions.

Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints (-11) – My pick is New Orleans

I went out on a limb with a Buffalo moneyline pick last week, but I can’t do it in Week 8. New Orleans is considerably better than Buffalo’s opponent last week (Miami). Thad Lewis has a future as a #2 quarterback in the NFL, but Rob Ryan’s New Orleans defense will shut him down. New Orleans will cover this spread.

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-5.5) – My pick is NY Giants

The Giants will get some favorable point spreads until they start winning games. Their win on Monday Night Football against a bad Josh Freeman-led Minnesota team didn’t earn them any respect. The Eagles are banged up and the Giants will once again take advantage of a team with quarterback injury issues.

San Francisco 49ers at Jacksonville Jaguars (+16.5) – My pick is San Francisco

Jacksonville is bad. I’m sure I’ve said that phrase in every NFL picks post I’ve written this year. It hasn’t changed. San Francisco will go into Jacksonville’s half-empty stadium and ‘do work’.

Cleveland at Kansas City Chiefs (-7) – My pick is Kansas City

Out of all the NFL betting lines this week, this one stood out. Why is an undefeated team only favored by a touchdown against a team starting their third quarterback this season? I’m cautious of trap games, so I did my research…but I’m still confused by this line. Give me the Chiefs all day.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-6.5) – My pick is New England

New England has already burned me a few times this season. Their offense isn’t on-par with past teams, so they’re hard to handicap. If New England won last week’s game, I would assume this line would be closer to -10. So, you’re finally getting a little value here. I’m already on record with my anti-Dolphins stance. I just don’t see what other people saw this preseason. Give me the Patriots to cover at home.

New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5) – My pick is Cincinnati

I’ve been on the fence all week with my pick for this game. I was convinced the Bengals wouldn’t cover due to Leon Hall’s injury, but I’ve changed my mind. The Jets have yet to play well in back-to-back games this season. They did start out the season 2-0, but they barely squeaked by a bad Tampa Bay team. I pick the Bengals to cover, but bet cautiously and do your own research. I believe this game will be very close to the spread.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders (+2.5) – My pick is Pittsburgh

I’ve been riding home underdogs all season, but I don’t see the Oakland’s offensive line holding back Pittsburgh pass rushers. This game will be won in the trenches. The Steelers will make Terrelle Pryor run for his life all afternoon. The Steelers are playing good football right now. Forget about their bad start, they’ve corrected their early season mistakes.

Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos (-13) – My pick is Denver

The Redskins impressed me last week against the Bears. Chicago had no answer for Robert Griffin III and Alfred Morris…but Washington’s secondary couldn’t even stop Josh McCown when Jay Cutler was knocked out of the game. Denver can put up points with the best of them and Washington won’t be able to catch up. Denver will bounce back from last week’s loss in Indianapolis and cover at home.

Atlanta Falcons at Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) – My pick is Atlanta

I’ve missed on both of these teams this season. Atlanta was overvalued for most of the season and Arizona was the exact opposite. There is finally some value in picking Atlanta. Arizona hasn’t shown me they can move the ball consistently. They get beat up on offense and need their defense to bail them out. I’m picking Atlanta to make this game close and I may also put a few jellybeans on the Atlanta moneyline.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (+9.5) – My pick is Green Bay

This line could be as high as +14 and I’d still pick Green Bay. I really hate this Minnesota team right now. I wasted three hours of my life watching their horrible Monday Night Football game. Green Bay is a balanced team with Eddie Lacy looking like an All-Pro.

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) – [Thursday] – My pick is Carolina

Tampa Bay is a mess. They have players getting MRSA, their head coach is kicking former Super Bowl MVPs out of practice and their on-the-field play is a joke. Carolina has looked great lately, so this one could be over by halftime. Carolina will easily cover in Tampa.

Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams (+10.5) – [Monday] – My pick is Seattle

This game is easy to handicap. The Rams called Brett Favre about possibly coming out of retirement. If you call Favre AND sign Brady Quinn, you have little to no faith in Kellen Clemens to run your offense. Give me Seattle in another bad Monday Night Football game.

*These picks are for entertainment purposes

Sweetbob is currently 52-31-7 on the season.

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